JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 4/10/19

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Boone

12:50

What's the baseball version of the sumo-wrestler hockey goalie, and why wouldn't it work?

Kiley McDaniel

12:51

righty/lefty low-slot matchup guys that rotate for 9 innings between pitcher and first base? not a perfect analogy

Freddy

12:51

Korey Lee has been on fire recently for CAL. What's his draft stock looking like?

Kiley McDaniel

12:52

Saw him, liked him and listed him on the board last year, then he had a tough season. Good to see he's back. Catchers always get rounded up, so maybe 3rd-5th?

Red Sox

12:52

Not a prospects question but more for your industry expertise: why do my Red Sox suck?

Kiley McDaniel

12:53

LOL got a couple of these. I think they'll be fine this year, but we've discussed how the future is a little more risky with all the core players having contracts ending and no clear everyday guys in the system coming. They should be able to lock up Betts and some others, but there will be some losses.

Matt

12:53

Higher upside: Tirso Ornealas or Julio Rodriguez? Higher chance of reaching it?

Kiley McDaniel

12:53

Ornelas is more of a hit tool type and safer, Julio is more power-focused and riskier, but that may not be the case in a few months if Julio outperforms Ornelas

BlueJayMatt

12:54

The Blue Jays recently traded for some international bonus money - who can they sign with it? Will Trump's recent deal cancelling impact who they can sign?

Kiley McDaniel

12:55

The Cuba group was for the next period, starting July 2nd, so any trades of that money have to wait until July 2nd to happen...so trades now of int'l money don't impact that class

Low 3rd

12:55

Would you now consider Nick Senzel an injury-prone player? Will stints on the IL be the norm for him?

Kiley McDaniel

12:55

Starting to move that way, but I wouldn't say it yet.

Steve

12:55

Kiley, you guys stated yesterday that Rutschman and Vaughn right now are in line to go 1-2 and that both Chicago at 3 and Miami at 4 are seriously considering college guys — a development that would allow Witt to drop to Detroit at 5. If this scenario happens, based on what you’ve heard how likely are the Tigers to take Witt? What names have you heard Detroit connected to? Thanks!

Kiley McDaniel

12:56

Guys we talk to still have Abrams ahead of Witt, but any one team may disagree with that. Not clear what's happening outside of the top 4 to anyone, really

Kap

12:56

Is manoah a top 10 pick?

Kiley McDaniel

12:56

Possible, but I'd guess 11-15

Scout

12:56

Pupper update?

Kiley McDaniel

12:57

She is in the next room. I'm staying with a friend that has two more dogs, so the house is very pupperful

they're all napping quietly and the mini aussie that looks like a tiny fox has settled in as my armrest

Logan

12:58

You have Michael Busch listed as a 1B on the board now, and I think he was a RF on there previously. Is this because you now project he’s a 1B only fit? Has the athleticism deteriorated?

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

The corner OF looks were below average, so seems like 1B is more likely now. There's a nonzero chance a club could try him at 2B and do some aggressive shifting around him ala late stages of Daniel Murphy, which I'm very into. I'm told Busch played a little bit of 2B on the Cape.

Jo-Nathan

12:59

Should we be surprised that Drew Waters was assigned to AA?

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

I was, so I'll allow it

Ryan

12:59

What makes Michael Busch a top ten prospect? He seems like a bat first, 1B only and he is hitting under .300 this year... Is Matt Thaiss an accurate comp for him?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

Thaiss was a 50 raw power guy in college and Busch is a 60 and gets to most of it. I mean look at this swing https://www.instagram.com/p/BwAHFyAgyzp/ Thaiss did not swing like this in college and to a degree still doesn't.

Baloo

1:00

I have a weird fixation on Jacob Robson who has never been considered a prospect of any note. He's a small dude with little-to-no power, but he's apparently a 70 runner, has never put up a wRC+ below 119 over a season, with supposedly great plate discipline. Given the recent trends toward trying not to overlook guys just because they are smaller, shouldn't he get a little more credit, or am I missing something? Regardless, I'd really love to see if he could translate any of his success to the MLB. He's can't be much worse than Mikie Mahtook is right now, right? Give him a look until Jacoby is healthy.

Kiley McDaniel

1:01

He's a 4th OF for us, has lost a step since the 70 runner he was in college and there isn't another standout tool, but he's a good player. Was an others of note on the DET list: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/top-26-prospects-detroit-tigers/

Keith

1:02

Any players connected with the Angels in the upcoming draft? Is it likely they target another athlete like Hampton or Ealy this year?

Kiley McDaniel

1:02

There has been some buzz of this and upside/risky players in general have been mentioned. It's interesting, to me at least, that more progressive clubs that are into metrics on amateur players tend to look for good qualities and believe they can teach the rest, rather than the old version of progressive in the draft that wanted a polished performer

1:03

We keep getting told to move up possible relievers/smaller framed/iffy command types with velo and spin rates because someone will take them in the 2nd round. And athletes with raw power and some sense of the strike zone move past polished college hitters with average tools

Jo-Nathan

1:04

When can we expect your NHSI notes to be published?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

Well I wasn't at the event, so it may take awhile

1:05

Might be a dumb question but are baseball ops analysts and lower level employees required to attend all home games? It just seems like the work they do is important before the game and then the game

Kiley McDaniel

1:05

Generally not required but heavily encouraged, unless they're on the road for work

Pete Davidson

1:06

Can you give us a quick tools/scouting breakdown on Keoni Cavaco please? Is he a guy with average tools across the board or does he have any plus tools? How high can he realistically go right now?

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

All the tool grades are here: https://www.fangraphs.com/prospects/the-board/2019-mlb-draft?type=2&so...

60 raw, solid avg at 3B, 50 bat

Dylan

1:06

Would Andrew Vaughn still have been a top-3 pick 5 years ago? Or has the success off other R/R college 1B like Alonso and Hoskins lowered the stigma against that kind of profile?

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

Go look at his numbers. Almost no one has ever done this before.

SJGator75

1:07

What's the floor for Rutledge in this year's draft? Late day 1?

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