JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 4/17/19

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Mark

1:49

How did Steven Kwan not make your Indians list? What's the knock on him? Isn't he a big college version of your R. Palacios writeup?

Kiley McDaniel

1:51

Palacios is a plus-plus runner that plays middle infield and has some bat speed. Kwan has significantly less tools, mostly fringy, which to be fair he outperforms. Will be interested to see how Kwan performs at higher levels. Probably a bench OF at best and likely more of an inventory guy.

Oliver

1:51

Hi Kiley. Do you know of any signability concerns for players, or is it too soon? Also, are you allowed to tell us about them? Thank you!

Kiley McDaniel

1:54

We don't always report every piece of info we have about makeup and signability for various reasons, but it's all considered in rankings/mocks. Typically the guys committed to the best schools (combo of education/baseball) like UVA/Vandy, etc. are safe bets to all have a high number and the multi-sport guys are usually tougher signs as both groups have extra leverage. Jack Leiter is definitely the big one now, due in large part to Vandy/wealthy family and Ealy/Hampton as football guys are also concerns but both probably sign if they go in a good spot on day 1 as expected. There will be more that pop up later, but we mostly knew the tough signs at this point last year, like Cole Wilcox and Kumar Rocker. If prep RHP that slide 10 picks past their consensus/expectation, lots of them become kinda unsignable b/c the money starts to dry up.

Mark

1:54

Any draftees connected to the Indians?

Kiley McDaniel

1:55

Not specifically, but their type are 18.0 or younger and/or Northern HS kids along with college performers, so you can pick some names off the list that they probably like, such as Keoni Cavaco, Kyren Paris, Anthony Volpe

Freddy

1:56

Any news on players who are rising or falling in the draft for June, or is your board up to date on everything you've been hearing?

Kiley McDaniel

1:56

There's an update that's about to go live that's mostly expanding the 2020 and 2021 lists, so yes 2019 is basically what we think at this point

Ryan

1:56

Where did Josh Green of Arizona come from? How did that guy last to the 14th round?

Kiley McDaniel

1:57

Haven't heard why yet, but the stuff jumped in a relief role after being a solid senior sign that had about average stuff as a starter at a mid major school

William Eppler

1:57

I would imagine there is some interest for Swihart, who do you see getting him and what will it take?

Kiley McDaniel

1:57

I would imagine he's got another 1-2 years of teams claiming/trading for him and seeing if they can figure it out and if they can't then he turns in Dustin Ackley and kicks around AAA for a few more years

Jim

1:58

Will A. Shenton really drop out of the 3 rounds despite his track record or is your placement just bearish?

Kiley McDaniel

1:58

Off the Cape most teams had him in the comp to 2nd round and he's regressed this year to where if you had no history, you'd say he's a 6th round type that may actually just go in the 11th round. Not sure how those two things get squared, so I'll guess 4th round?

1:59

and I say 11th round since you can pay ~$200k more easily there than in the 6th round due to the bonus pool rules.

D back fan

1:59

Is Corbin Carroll at 16 realistic or is he long gone?

Kiley McDaniel

1:59

Probably gone unless you can buy him down

Jim

1:59

Who has the best change-up in this college draft class?

Kiley McDaniel

1:59

Evan McKendry at Miami

There's some chance, maybe 10% that he's Kyle Hendricks

2:00

bigger chance that he's a touch and feel backend guy

D back fan

2:00

Hearing anything for D-Backs at 16 and 26? Go underslot at 26 with a safe sign considering they forfeit the pick if unsigned? Are they in on Tommy Hunter or Stinson?

Kiley McDaniel

2:00

There's maybe 6-8 players they can't get to those picks, so really everyone else in the class is on the board. Don't think they even have an idea how they want to approach it yet in a specific sense.

2:01

Where we see their director, VP, GM, special assistants showing up in the coming month will tell us a lot

and we pay very close attention to that stuff, as do other clubs

Gary

2:01

What would be considered a good year for Osiel Rodriguez? Seems like you guys are aggressive in putting a 40+ on him already.

Kiley McDaniel

2:02

He basically already does everything you can ask him to do: good frame, good delivery, good feel, flashes 55 to 60 stuff, has performed everywhere. You just need him to keep it up and not get hurt or have mysterious stuff loss. That obviously happens more than anyone would like to see, so we have to get some track record to move him up, but the 40+ represents that very strong starting point he has.

Adam

2:02

If a relatively advanced pitcher can get away with throwing fastballs right past a minor league level of pitchers, how quickly do teams promote them to force/encourage the development of other pitches?

Kiley McDaniel

2:03

Often you have to literally make them do it by taking away/putting a quota on the pitch they already excel with, but have to be careful not to shelve it in such a way that they lose feel for it

Adam

2:03

It’s been interesting to read that two of the Padres more heralded pitching prospects, Mackenzie Gore and Chris Paddack, describe themselves as not really big believers in spin rate. If you’re on a coaching staff or in a front office, do you try harder to emphasize the importance to them or allow them the latitude to eventually come around, if at all?

Kiley McDaniel

2:04

They can't really change it, and neither of them have crazy spin rates, so if they just pitch in the way they need to pitch with their stuff, why would it matter if they "believe" in the number or not?

Jim

2:04

Who are the best seniors in this draft that are getting some mid round buzz?

Kiley McDaniel

2:04

They are marked with ** on THE BOARD

2:05

Noah Song, Ryne Olenek, Antoine Duplantis and Evan Edwards are the only ones on there right now, so that's you top tier

really, it's Song, then Olenek, then a bunch of other guy with Edwards and Duplantis among the top ones

Dude

2:05

Let's talk Michael Grove. How has he looked?

Kiley McDaniel

2:06

I haven't seen him but Eric either has or has talked to people that have. Sounds back to where he was pre TJ, 92-94, good breaker

howdy

2:06

most surprising, in a positive way, start from a prospect so far? also, most disappointing?

Kiley McDaniel

2:07

Rhett Wiseman has been going insane and it's not a fluke, but haven't done enough investigating to know if it's a hot streak or indicative of a new level of performance

Squirtle

2:07

Is there anyway we can organize the top 100 taking into account future value only offensively? Would Yordan be near the top?

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