JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/15/18

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Kiley McDaniel

12:58

Brighter if they could spend $150M in payroll to keep any start they made internally...but still really bright because it'll be hard to mess up this amount of talent

Dan

12:58

which guys could we see at AFL? I heard Robert is going, Senzel said he might, what about Sixto, Vlad, Whitley, Bart, McKenzie, Pache? Anybody else with a shot?

Kiley McDaniel

12:59

All of those make sense. Vlad and Pache don't really need reps but some teams send guys there to get them used to the longer season if they will be in the bigs next September.

James

12:59

Saw you mention Nick Sandlin is pitching very well & should be the first guy from the '18 draft in the big leagues. Is he unique as a sidearm reliever or is a matchup guy what he is expected to be?

Kiley McDaniel

1:00

He has the elements to start, but I can't think of the last true sidearm starter, so I'd guess either 8th inning guy or multi-inning fireman when the other team is RHH heavy

1:01

Have an article coming soon (maybe today?) that talks about candidates in non-TB orgs that make sense for the 2nd to 5th inning pitcher the Rays are using and Sandlin is mentioned.

Tyler

1:01

Hudson Potts seems to be moving quickly, but I haven't heard much about him, is he just not that exciting as his age/level seem to indicate?

Kiley McDaniel

1:02

That part is good, tools are solid but probably not a 60 in there. Very quietly in Double-A at age 19. Would guess he'll end up a 50 FV this offseason.

Not working

1:03

CJ Alexander. 20th rounder hitting well already. Can you tell me more?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

Probably 1B fit, big power, questions about contact given competition level and age. He's 22, so is more like a 4-year college senior that was facing lots of 19 year olds, thus he should be moved quickly and challenged to see what it is. I'll sneak out to see him soon.

Reggie

1:05

Heard from someone who has an inside source that said the Braves offered Pache, Gohara, and Anderson for Archer, thoughts?

Kiley McDaniel

1:05

Don't believe that, because TB would've taken it

Mike O

1:05

Would you consider doing a team development system rankings? Maybe even by position (or position groups)

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

way ahead of you...

Guy

1:06

what purpose does the PTBNL serve? Are there ever any significant disagreements over who it will be, after a trade has already been completed?

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

There's a group of names that are agreed upon ahead of time and a deadline to make the decision, which MLB is looped into.

Greg

1:06

Do you think Ray-Didder has the tools to be a quality MLB utility player?

Kiley McDaniel

1:07

Yes, but the consistency and hit tool kinda come and go. Can play literally every position on the field, plus plus runner and thrower.

Alex

1:07

Did the Marlins make a mistake if the Nats truly offered Robles for Realmuto and they passed?

Kiley McDaniel

1:07

Well the trade value rankings say WSH would have to throw in one more solid piece, but I don't think MIA would get a better headlining piece than that

Eric

1:08

Could you see Austin Riley moving to the Outfield with the emergence of Camargo at 3rd base? (Or Camargo replacing Markakis)

Kiley McDaniel

1:08

I believe the idea is Camargo is the Zobrist/Marwin Gonzalez type if everyone pans out and is the everyday 3B if they don't.

Oyster Burns

1:09

How do perreria and Cabello compare to florial when he got stateside? You have a preference between the 3?

Kiley McDaniel

1:10

Cabello is an upside type, Pereira is the hit-tool first/skills one, Florial is also an upside type but with much more already proven https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx?draft=2018updated&type=0&pos...

v2micca

1:10

Before the last CBA, it seems that J2 signings were a massive market inefficiency that teams could exploit. Yet, it feels like few teams really took advantage of it. Am I just mis-remembering or was something else going on?

Kiley McDaniel

1:12

It took longer than it should have for teams to realize it was worth it to go way over and pay the penalty. Or maybe longer than it should have for ownership to agree with their execs.

I talked to one director who was in the first wave of going over and he explained his strategy to buscones and they didn't believe him, since no one had done it before and they didn't understand the rules. Buscones thought the team was cutting 10 deals and was gonna pull out of 7 of them.

1:12

When should the Nationals put Harper on waivers? What would stop a non-contender from putting a claim with no intention of striking a deal?

Kiley McDaniel

1:13

They'd get stuck with a hefty contract, so don't think they would. I'd do it sooner than later, since the amount of PAs you're selling will be cut in half at the end of the month.

Mr. Fister

1:13

What FV would you assign to Logan Gilbert if he were to sustain his end-of-season velocity up-tick?

Kiley McDaniel

1:13

He's a 50 FV if he's the 92-95 t97 guy he was on the Cape.

Jake

1:14

Can Wander Franco be the next guy to burst onto the scene at 19-20 like Soto and Acuna?

Kiley McDaniel

1:15

Yeah, he seems like the next possibility. Royce Lewis has a chance. Obviously Vlad Jr and Tatis, but I think everyone knew about them a while ago.

Kyle

1:15

Jeremiah Jackson would go top 15 in a redraft? Yes/No

Kiley McDaniel

1:16

We were the highest on him pre-draft and he would go higher, but probably not that high. Key piece of data was new glasses in the spring, so his summer performance could almost be tossed out and his spring performance (against weak competition) was insane. Had tools the whole time.

Kevin

1:17

Somewhat off topic question: when you guys write articles, do you have to hyperlink all the players’ names yourself or is that some poor intern’s job?

Kiley McDaniel

1:17

It is fully automated now, just a click or two. Used to be a little more involved. And it was a pain to link them to the player page so they showed up under their names as a recent article. That's now automated, too.

1:18

But I also have two interns that are doing other annoying work for me, there's always plenty to go around. You guys will especially appreciate the thing they're working on, though.

Mr. Fister

1:18

Is the 2019 draft as clear cut as Bobby Witt Jr. and then everybody else? Are there any players in the class who currently match or exceed his upside?

Kiley McDaniel

1:18

Funny you ask that because I have a list just for you: https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx?draft=2019mlb&type=0&pos=all...

1:19

and for 2020 and 2021, as well

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