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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/21/19
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Keith
1:03
Is there a projected BA/OBP, number of HR's or SB's that are connected to the 20-80 scouting scale?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
There may be a newer version of this on the site, but I googled and this one popped up first: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/scouting-explained-the-20-80-scouting-scal...
there's a table with that stuff
SB has too much other stuff to consider to include on the scale in most cases
Sir Nerdlington
1:03
Would you consider doing org rankings of player development departments?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:04
I've been planning/working on this for awhile. Maybe this winter? Driveline did something like this
FRIEND
1:04
How much of aquino’s performance can be attributed to stance/swing change and how much can be attributed to randomness?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:04
I think there's been enough to say this isn't random
He's got huge power and was a top 100 prospect a few years ago, so there's ability and his swing changed drastically and now he's breaking HR records...I can't say this could've happened to anyone
Fang Raphs
1:05
Please rank the following sandwiches using any criteria you desire: Cuban, Montecristo, Cheesesteak, Chicken Salad
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:06
1. Cheesesteak
2. Cuban
3. Pass
Bo
1:06
Trey Harris anything more than a potential bench bat?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:06
Probably not, but that's a nice scouting/development find if that's all he is
Jason
1:06
Is Shane McClanahan near 50FV territory yet? Pitched very well this year showing some control gains (based on #s at least) while still maintaining a high k rate and a mid to hi 90s fastball and at least good curve. Do you have more confidence after this season that he can make it as a quality big league starter?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:06
We upgraded him last week to 45+, so he's as close as you can get
No Way Jose
1:08
Why is seemingly no one concerned about Nolan Jones (33.8% strikeout rate) and George Valera (26.7% strikeout rate) swinging and missing a lot?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:08
Valera is 18 years old and is crushing a league full of guys 3-4 years older than him while playing CF
I feel like there's way too much "yeah but there's one bad thing in his numbers" amongst prospect watchers that ignore the 3-4 "holy crap, look at these good things"
1:09
Nolan Jones is a late-count (lots of BB and K) power hitter that's performing, is young for the level and can play 3B
1:10
focus on that part, because the K's come with the BB/HR, so he could have lower K's and not be very good. would you prefer that?
Nick
1:10
Do you think Josh Stephen (PHI) is a legit prospect now? Or just an org guy?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:10
31st on the Phillies list, got added during the season, so he's a guy now: https://www.fangraphs.com/statss.aspx?playerid=sa918203&position=OF
Ryan
1:11
Luis Medina continued pitching well in his FSL debut last night. What are your sources saying about him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:12
He's probably at the top of the list of guys we're getting more info on. He'll be going up, but we don't want to move him once, then get more info and move him again.
Nick
1:13
How has Jeter Downs' defense looked this season and what position do you think he ends up at (either in LA or elsewhere)?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:14
Still likely 2B and he is also moving up, just figuring out where this week
Logan
1:17
When you talk about someone being young/old for their level, what are those ages at each level?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:18
For prospects, the baseline is
18 - Rookie
19 - short-season
20 - Low-A
21 - High-A
22 - Double-A
23 - Triple-A
if a prospect is younger than those benchmarks, its a notable feather in the cap and you can round up a bit
1:19
for top 100-type prospects, they tend to be a level/year ahead of this rubric, starting Low-A at age 19 in first full season after being a HS pick, 17 in rookie ball after being J2 signee
Guest
1:20
People were fairly critical of Andujar's defense last season, but is it really that absurd to think he can improve at playing 3B? Torres has improved from -8 dWAR last year to -1 dWAR this year in roughly the same number of games. Couldn't Andujar make a similar leap?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:21
Andujar is also unique because he has the tools to be good and often guys that aren't good as D in their 20's are just bad or need some work to improve agility
Arenado is the King of "wasn't good on D, had tools to be good, then became the best" but that's really unique. I wouldn't project a big league to go from terrible to good, I'd just hope for average.
Yanks19
1:22
The numbers aren't great but what kind of reports are you getting on Alexander Vargas and Kevin Alcantara in the GCL? Also Salinas who is having a pretty good season?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:22
really positive on Alcantara and Vargas, both have moved up this year from the winter ranking
Vargas was thin, glove-first SS with some feel to hit and has had more stick than we guessed he'd have out of the chute
Alcantara is very long, athletic CF that we also thought had unique feel to hit for that profile and he's also been better than expected
Lewis
1:24
Is there a guy out there with worse luck than Jameson Taillon?

To recap:

2014: Missed all of it due to TJ
2015: Missed all of it due to tailend of TJ and Sports Hernia issue
2017: Missed a quarter of his starts due to cancer
2019: Missed 80% of the season with various injuries; TJ
2020: Will miss the entire season due to TJ
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:24
Yeah that's a pretty unfortunate run
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