JotCast | Kiley McDaniel Chat

Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/8/18

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Brandon M

1:01

How much attention should be paid to the 2019 draft board at this point? I know it’s still extremely in the process but I wasn’t sure if any of the summer showcases had moved the needle for the board at all yet.

Kiley McDaniel

1:02

It will get another update in a few weeks, as the summer stuff ends and we've seen everyone a few times, had a survey of the whole country, etc. It isn't exactly what we currently think right now, but it's pretty close

Jason

1:02

I'm just curious about you recent board update. Unless I misunderstand, you say you don't really mess with rankings of recent draftees based on pro results unless you see actual change, yet on the board it seems a few guys jumped into the top 100 above some they were ranked below on the draft rankings. I'm not going to bitch about rankings, definitely something petty like that, just curious if those jumps were more from what you've heard post-draft, or if they have all maybe made adjustments already? Or maybe for someone like Gorman, it's just seeing him succeed against pro velocity even if it is rookie level?

Kiley McDaniel

1:03

I haven't gone back to check this, but I think the rankings are in almost exactly the same order as they were pre-draft expect for some lower down guys where we got new info.

Bill

1:03

What are you seeing that you like about Kieboom to move him up to 14th prospect overall?

Kiley McDaniel

1:03

Super high probability bat with power and a nonzero chance to play SS in the bigs

Ronaldo Dong Hernandez

1:04

Can I stay at catcher in the future?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

That's the question right now, seems like a toss up

Bearry

1:04

Did you catch Glasnow’s starts for the Rays? Looks phenomenal. Change your evaluation at all?

Kiley McDaniel

1:04

Would like to see a couple more, but sure seems like something may have changed

Roger

1:05

Maybe Eric has greater insight, but was there any particular reason for the late decision to close Area Code Games to the public this year? Are showcases/events typically open for anyone to attend?

Kiley McDaniel

1:05

ECP was closed this year until the last day. I think it's a legal liability thing? Not sure why.

I know other events have continued to be open and I think these had been in the past.

Pine Needles

1:06

How would you change the service time rules to prevent Major League ready players from getting stuck in AAA?

Kiley McDaniel

1:06

I think so, the incentives to leave Acuna or Bryant down for 11 days to get another year of control is a really dumb loophole that benefits no one.

Cotty

1:07

Is there a pattern to how FanGraphs' prospect evaluations and rankings diverge from other scouting systems - like a skill or a type of prospect you value more than others? Or is it just entirely case by case and there's nothing systemic going on?

Kiley McDaniel

1:09

I think we lean to close to the bigs and hitters more than other rankings, but that's just a feeling, not sure it's entirely accurate. We also tend to be a little ahead of the curve on Arizona-based complex guys because Eric lives on those backfields and I think a little ahead of the curve for the draft on southeast-based guys since I'm down here.

DRL

1:09

So referring to Liberatore, the slide had zero to do with medicals?

Kiley McDaniel

1:09

Correct, it was just negotiation stuff

Bort

1:10

How fast can Gorman move? Is a 2020 debut unrealistic?

Kiley McDaniel

1:10

Yes. 2021 possible, would expect 2022.

GPT

1:11

FYI, Juan Sanchez is listed as a RHP on the board but is a LHP. Sent a tweet to the FG board account, but not corrected yet.

Kiley McDaniel

1:11

it is now, thanks

Larry

1:12

Regarding your tweet about UF trying to get guys to enroll early in spring, have you heard about whether or not it's expected to work? Do scouts think a kid or two will bite? Any names?

Kiley McDaniel

1:13

Jud Fabian (possible day 1 pick as a CF) and Nolan Crisp (college RH reliever type in the low 90's) were the two rumored names. Crisp seems much more likely, since Fabian could be passing up real money.

Mr. Fister

1:14

Getting a new pup on Friday. Any non cliche advice for a new pup parent?

Kiley McDaniel

1:15

All they really want is attention. Like, they seem mad when you're petting them and then grab your phone, even if you keep petting

Jeb

1:15

So, Deivi Garcia...all I see is the stat line and his height. What are your more nuanced thoughts?

Kiley McDaniel

1:16

Relief risk due to the height and approach/delivery, but the stuff has always been good. May go in that Touki/Abreu bin where there's stuff and you find a role that suits him, which may not be 1 IP or traditional starter

Erik

1:16

I was at the Northwoods League prospect showcase last night and learned that literally every scout looks identical. Young skinny dude with an under armor polo and a baseball cap, same radar gun and notepad and identical bored/focused expression. There's also one other version where all the words are the same except replace "young" with "old". Have you found this to be true in your experience or do scouts have unique and varied personalities?

Kiley McDaniel

1:16

The players and parents joke that they can see us coming a mile away. Backpack is another giveaway

ATL

1:17

Is Justin Upton not a great outcome for a top ten prospect?

Kiley McDaniel

1:17

No that was "here's the good outcome" on Adell

Kristen5

1:17

Higher floor - Leody Taveras or Bubba Thompson?

Kiley McDaniel

1:17

Taveras, more hit tool there

Erik

1:17

What can you tell me about Notre Dame's Joe Boyle? He was at the Northwoods League prospect showcase and was the one that seemed to rouse the scouts from their stupor and start taking video. I can tell you that he touched 100 but that's all I know.

Kiley McDaniel

1:19

I got him 97-100 this year when I saw him and I know he was that on Trackman multiple times this year. Also barely pitched because he couldn't throw strikes. We've had him high on the 2020 draft list even when he was barely pitching because he showed some starter traits in HS and pulled his name out of the draft, or else he might've gotten stupid money.

Mountie Votto

1:19

Any of the low-minors Reds guys catch your eye so far? Rylan Thomas, Muriel Bautista, etc.?

Kiley McDaniel

1:20

I'm a Rylan Thomas fan, have seen him a lot the last few years. 70 raw power, plus arm and may not be just a 1B-only guy, but has some contact trouble against good stuff

Ben Jamin

1:21

Do you have a comp for Victor Victor Mesa? Trying to understand what all the fuss is about

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