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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 8/8/18
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TopCat
12:37
How much of the soccer system (having academies that identify young talent from very early age and develop them) can be integrated into the international market? Instead of having the IPL & and the buscones per say. I understand that  we have the academies already, but imitating the soccer system will cut the middle man. These MLB academies will be open for parents to sign up their kids. They can have different categories of tournaments and teams within the academy. Such competition will help filter the talent. Scholarships for the academy is granted  based on talent. I know the business part is way more intricate than what we see over the surface. Growing up in the DR, I saw it every day... but there must be a way. Do you think taking a page from soccer is the way? Thanks for chatting Kiley. Sorry for the long post.  Greetings to your pup Scout.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:39
So MLB is making moves toward something like this with their rule changes the last few years and having MLB-sanctioned events BUT they don't seem to have the stomach to upend the whole system and also use that $100M+ in int'l bonus tax money to actually affect the system in a meaningful way. They seem more interested in marginal improvements, which in this market, come with plenty of unintended consequences
12:42
It would be complicated to basically put all the buscones out of business and run player development from ages 12-18 for every notable talent thru MLB instructors and academies until the clubs sign them. I mean that's tons of personnel and buildings and shutting down the existing system that has enriched so many agents.
It may be "better" for the kids, but you have to wonder if that drastic of a change would affect the incentives for training kids before they get in MLB's program and does the talent back up a bit? Currently, passable instructors (buscones) are heavily incentivized to make kids the kind of players that teams want. In general, I tend to favor the free market competing over one governmental-type situation taking over everything.
Rick Hahn
12:42
So, looks like my last several high draft picks have been pretty lousy - Fulmer to the pen, Anderson maybe average (flawed) player, Burger injured, Collins can't catch, Hansen struggling and injured.  Madrigal the savior?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:44
lol we have another rebuilding fan base hitting the panic button. A mid first rounder like Anderson turning into an average player is a success. Collins could be a 2-3 WAR DH/3rd catcher type. That's a pretty average track record on first rounders, not something to worry about per se
D
12:44
Does Jordan Groshans have any top 100 buzz? Or is it too early in his career?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:45
Little early but has the tools. Some elements of Carter Kieboom, so that's a best case scenario, but I'd say less feel to hit than Kieboom.
Jack
12:45
Who You think will be the more productive first baseman long term at the plate between Jake Bauer and Peter Alonso?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:46
Very different sorts of players, Bauers the better bat, Alonso with more power. I would tend to lean to the more athletic type (Bauers), but if you're jonesing for power, I could see taking Alonso.
GSon
12:46
A nooner with Kylie.. does life get much better?..
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:46
Man I hope so
Dave
12:46
How good is Tatis?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
In the same way that Alec Bohm has a CHANCE to be Kris Bryant (maybe 5-10%?) and that's why he was taken so high, Tatis has a great chance to be a Machado type. Obviously the industry is missing Jose Ramirez types and Cliff Lee types left and right, but a real chance for a teenager to be among the best in the game in a few years is pretty damn rare, even if it isn't likely
Just A Dude
12:49
Do you think the Braves might choose to retain Markakis until Pache is ready and use their funds on pitching or could Pache be ready as soon as next year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
Wouldn't expect that, but sure, at the right price. I think Duvall will slide in there and if Camargo and Riley are both hitting maybe one of them heads to the OF. Pache is more 2020 for me, he's still working on stuff and don't want to stunt that by bringing him up too soon.
Pine Needles
12:51
Do you buy Brandon Lowe's new power output?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:51
We do! 72 on our recent top 100, just ahead of the other two also solid hitting prospect Lowe brothers in the Rays system: https://www.fangraphs.com/scoutboard.aspx?draft=2018updated&type=0&pos...
Jesse
12:51
FG isn't as high on Adell as other outlets. Is that due to the K% or more the fact he's still 12 months into his pro career?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:52
Corner guy, still some contact questions. Could be Justin Upton.
DSL > Dialup
12:52
What do you do with a 16-17 y/o who you want to promote out of the DSL? Can you send a true minor to the GCL?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:54
Most 16 year olds sign on July 2 with a contract for next year. But yes, you can send kids that young to the States. Profar was in the Northwest league at 17, for example.
Guest
12:54
Some guys are "trending up" on the board who haven't played much or the stat line isn't really great- I'm referring to Raimfer Salinas and Ronny Rojas on the Yankees list- are they trending up based on ExSt performance or something else?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:54
Yes, based on scouting reports mostly if they are short season types, since those numbers can't really tell us much in these small samples
brian eno
12:54
do we really need 6 kolby allard questions? the dude's a swing arm/BORP, who cares
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
I mean like, a lot of people, by definition, given all the questions
David
12:55
For the "what should change about baseball" - recently heard on a podcast (can't remember which) someone say that baseball should do away with NL and AL and move to 8 divisions of 4 hyper-regional teams. Think NYY, NYM, BOS, and PHL in the same division. Do you think it'll ever get to that?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:56
Wonder if that would work because that would probably end up with all big market teams in one division and all small market ones in another. Not necessarily a problem, but can't think those owners will like it
Rollie's Mustache
12:56
What bothers me the most is old dudes in the booth ranting about infield shifts and not having the faintest clue what OPS+ means (for example). If baseball wants to connect with a younger, more information-driven generation, shouldn't improving TV broadcasts be near the top of the list?
Joe Simpson
12:56
I heard you were actually 50. True?
brad
12:56
Kiley, isn't 90% of the pace of play come down to two issues, rise in usage of bullpens, and commercials?  And would MLB even acknowledge the commercials as being part of the problem?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
I think you're forgetting shifts b/c that 10 seconds for everyone to get in position IS RUINING THE GAME
John Kreese
12:57
Thoughts on D'Shawn Knowles?  He is already in the Pioneer League
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
Still prefer Beyonce but he's on my radar
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:57
Glasnow, more like GlasWOW. Can you expand a little on what changes you're looking for in his fastball that will make it play better with his curve? All I've watched for is him throwing it up since the Rays do that and I believe the Pirates do not.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
Those two clubs may be the most extreme versions of that philsophy, actually. Same for Astros/Pirates and breaking ball use, historically, at least.
Joe
12:58
Instead of the smug/dismissive stuff about saying Braves fans freaking out, can you tell us what you saw that was positive from him? There's not much.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:59
This guy has excelled everywhere he's pitched his entire life and has thrown 7 MLB innings at age 20.
JH
12:59
Has any prospect ever made you totally lose your objectivity and turned you into a total fanboy? Curious if that impulse can still exist after doing what you do for any length of time.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
Not fanboy, but there's been some guys that I'm more invested in their success after talking with them. Chatting with Trea Turner as a sophomore at NC State had me thinking oh this guy is gonna be awesome and it was years until that was an accepted POV
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