You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Kiley McDaniel Chat - 9/4/19
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Brent
1:15
Any insight on what happens going forward with Philly?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:15
I assume you mean after their scouting director resigned yesterday
1:17
Appears they'll do a wide search and try to find the right/new person. Buzz is it won't be a quick internal promotion situation
The buzz on the White Sox scouting director opening is that one will likely be internal
A's
1:18
Sorry if this has been answered before, but what goes into the ETA projection on THE BOARD? Do you plan to retrospectively look at your results and fine-tune an algorithm? I guess a specific example would be Julio Rodriguez vs George Valera - if Julio ended up about 2 levels higher than George this season, how does George's ETA calculate out to a year earlier (2021 vs 2022)?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:18
Those usually don't get updated in season, but maybe they should be
Richard
1:18
Joey Wentz has been lights out lately. Any hope for him to regain his 50 FV one day?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:18
If he's 90-95 with three above average pitches, then he will be
1:19
Sounds like it's still closer to 88-92 without a plus secondary, but CB and CH have flashed plus in the past, so it's more possible than the average pitcher with that stuff
cuvamc
1:19
Rank these recent Georgia prep arms based on the careers you think they will have long-term: Ethan Hankins, Daniel Espino, Kumar Rocker, Emerson Hancock.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:19
Hancock over Kumar by a hair. Espino over Hankins but close as well
1:20
also FV on the board would give you the same answer
Emotionally Numb Orioles Fan
1:21
Hi Kiley, can you give us an update on any of the Orioles top guys, especially those acquired in the last year? It seems like we did dodge a bullet by not winning the bidding war for Victor Victor, but I'm looking for, you know...actual positives. I know our depth and overall system have definitely improved, but...are there some future above-average regulars in the system? Any potential stars?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:21
Also didn't pay up for Yolbert Sanchez when you had the int'l pool money hammer and after everyone got a look at him, he wasn't as good as we initially were led to believe
1:22
Opted to fill out the barren lower levels with lots of six figure int'l types, which was the prudent move
1:23
Adding Adley, having Grayson Rodriguez progress/backup his draft status, DL Hall and Mountcastle held their value, we really liked their draft overall...it's all moving in the right direction. It was pretty barren to start and you didn't have multiple MLB pieces that could be flipped, so it had to be mostly draft/development since J2 was going to be adding long-term lottery ticket types
Peppa Pig
1:24
I'm fifteen years old now, and having an intellectual awakening. Is it me, or does Mrs. Rabbit work literally every job in town? What kind of statement on the plight of the worker is this making to children? Can you offer us a Marxist reading of the entire Peppa Pig series and then a meta-analysis of how the character and show have been monetized for capitalist purposes? Does it mean Peppa is a hypocrit?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:24
Sounds like I need to start watching Peppa Pig
and then write a bitchin' topic sentence
cuvamc
1:25
Some of Cleveland Indians Twitter are slamming the FO for not calling up Nolan Jones to replace JRam, saying "whether he's ready or not, he's the best option." Obviously this is typical of fans to react this way, but it brings up my questions: 1) Does Jones' combo of power/patience get him to the bigs by the end of 2020? 2) Realistically if he was stupidly called up in 2019, what type of production could he muster up? Feel like it would be 35% + K rate, maybe slightly above average BB%, spotty defense at 3B, and a couple pull side HRs.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:26
You'd lose a 40-man spot and I'm pretty sure you'd burn an option. Both of those could be factors this winter with a tight 40-man and if Jones take a year or two to settle in
Going back to the Brinson/Robert/Acuna/Bellinger etc. plate discipline questions from recent chats
1:27
Hitters that draw lots of walks and lots of Ks and homers tend to do worse on promotion because their approach is tied to being around late in counts, waiting for mistakes
obviously at higher levels, the stuff/location is better but there's notably less mistakes
1:28
I read an article about this years ago, but it basically said that Juan Pierre types (contact, low pitch per plate appearance) do proportionally more of their damage against good pitchers while Adam Dunn types (power, high P/PA) do it disproportionately against poor pitchers for this reason
1:29
So, all things being equal, jumping that Adam Dunn type of hitter from AA to MLB means there's a distinct chance that even a future good MLB player would be worse than his AA performance would suggest since his type of hitter finds it harder to hit the ground running in MLB, all things being equal
1:30
he could also be talented enough to just hit .300 with no walks/power and do a Juan Pierre thing to survive once he notices this after a few games
so I think you're mostly right
Pie
1:30
You've mentioned that if Yordan kept up what he was doing for a couple more months, you would have ranked him in the Trade Value series. Have we reached that point yet / roughly where would he fit in?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:34
I think he's right there with Austin Meadows, Max Kepler and Jeff McNeil right at 40-45 overall? 2.5 to 3.0 WAR true talent guy with lots of control left.

Yordan is hitting more now, but will probably age quickly and has no margin for error, so its more now-vs.-future value. In general, clubs prefer the now with this type of player and Meadows has an injury history. So maybe scoot both of those guys up to the 34-45 range?
Also, I will write on this topic before next July
Fools gold
1:35
2016 Dodgers draft of Gavin Lux, Will Smith, Dustin May and Tony Gonsolin going down as one of the best class ever for Dodgers?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:35
pretty strong stuff, I'd say
1:36
It's not Trout+Grichuk+Richards+Corbin+Skaggs, but it might be next in the recent era?
Logan
1:37
My comments are pending moderation.  I demand moderation!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:37
I will find moderation in my pursuit to moderate you
Lil pop
1:38
Which Yankees SS prospect is a better defender, Oswald peraza or Alexander Vargas? Also chances Yankees sign yiddi cappe after losing Jhon diaz to the rays?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:38
Vargas just moved up today, he's getting rave reviews. Less physical Ronny Mauricio, maybe?
Wouldn't bet on Cappe/NYY, but you never know
Connecting…