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Kiley McDaniel Chat - 9/4/19
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:53
Oh and we'll also update the draft rankings soon, likely on Monday?
12:54
Bradfield has different accounts out there, some teams have him more 3rd or 4th but there's enough comp to 2nd love that I bet he'd go there if the draft was today. 80 runner, has been seen a ton in summers and spring (teammates with Cory Acton/UF, Triston Casas/BOS, lots of D1 type teammates)
12:55
American Heritage also had Eric Hosmer, Zack Collins, Deven Marrero. The other campus (Delray) has had Jonathan India, Lucius Fox. I remember Sony Michel was the running back on the football team one year I was on campus for a game. Lotsa dudes.
C.J. Chatham/BOS also went to the main American Heritage
Chris
12:56
Thoughts on Julio Rodriguez and his crazy small sample size stat line from high A?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:56
It's real
I generally feel like you can scout the statline when a kid is both young for the league and has crazy tools
If he's performing it can only be good, unless it's tons of Ks and a .450 BABIP and an extreme hitters park to where the wRC+ is misleading
Major buzzkill
12:57
I'm a bummer. Will you make an exception to your rule and chat about all of baseball with me?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
No exceptions!
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
12:58
Recently I saw a minor leaguer being a total grumpasaurus after a strikeout, saying naughty words and banging his bat in the dugout. What does it take for a player to get marked as having makeup concerns?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
Grumpasaurus is a solid word
That alone doesn't really move the needle
12:59
You don't know the context. Could have a multi-season grudge against a crappy umpire, dickhead catcher, asshole pitcher and then he gets rung up on a bad call and most of us would be a something-asaurus since we'd be so in the moment and unaware of how we appeared
makeup is a lot more work ethic, good teammate, etc. as opposed to hot head in tense moment
1:00
often bad teammate will also be hothead, so have to consider the priors, but also that your source of info is good and not coloring your opinion unfairly. could be a good makeup kid with a temper and your source just doesn't like him or is closed-minded
Kiermaier's Piercing Green Eyes
1:00
Why do so many scouts leave games early?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:00
very common to walk up to the top of the stands in the bottom of the 9th after one out so you can watch from the concourse and beat the traffic
1:01
i know since i'm not obliged to stay the whole game, i'll usually just leave if i saw what I came for
like if it's only one player 40 FV or better on either team, it's a starting pitcher and he's out and i'm not in conversation with some scouts, i'll just leave instead of torturing myself
1:02
but that shallow of a player pool is uncommon for the games I go to, so i usually stay in almost every situation
much more common with amateur games where there's often just one notable player on the field, so it can be clear that the game is over for that one player
1:03
But also, if I was required to go to a game or two most days of the year and lots of them were eyewash for the last few innings and I'm relatively close to home...you can see how a passion becomes a burden when you have no control over your schedule for years and your boss doesn't seem to care what your reports say
1:04
I will also say that my first 5-7 years when no one seemed to care what I thought, that I was confused why guys left early or would be rooting for a tie to break so there wouldn't be extras, etc.
At that point, I was choosing every game I went to, learning a lot every day and was rooting for extras since it was a chance to get better and see more of the players I skipped social stuff specifically to go see
1:05
That attitude has waned a bit since as you get better at evaluating, you don't need 100 pitches to finish the report on the starter, you basically have it done after like 25-30 and just need one more changeup
(and watch to see if something big changes from pitch 30 to 100)
Dan
1:06
I have to miss the winter meetings because of grad school finals. How much, if any, will this hinder my prospects of getting a baseball ops job for next season?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:06
Makes it harder to interview since that's the location where everyone is in the same place and an additional interview by the team just takes 30 minutes or so, no flights/hotel, etc.
1:07
So if it's for full-time jobs or the main BO internship, it might not matter, but for stuff below that particularly it'll be harder b/c you're getting fewer shots to impress someone
But like 10 years from now you'll probably forget about this, so don't beat yourself up
Sammy Sooser
1:07
Is there any talk about adding an age difference column, if not to the player's pages, then at least to THE BOARD? In addition, possibly what age/level means for future outcomes? We all know Wander Franco is super young for the Florida State League, but knowing exactly how young he is, and what profile that youth and success compares to (almost none, of course), would be fun and handy. Thanks!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:08
This will be coming this winter, among a bunch of other things we've decided to add to THE BOARD
Dan
1:08
I tried doing some analysis of the deadline trades using Craig Edwards prospect value research. How should I go about putting a $ value on a big leaguer who still has arbitration years ahead of him?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:08
We're also gonna be doing that
There's some shorthand you can do, like ZiPS into dollar value, approximate arbitration and do some simple math
1:09
but that's usually gonna overstate things vs. a more established player
since you're projecting like 5 years of a guy being a regular at 2-3 WAR per year, but there's a real chance of 0, non-tender, etc. not factored in
1:10
the problem with Madden franchise mode (well, when I played it) was that every player improved somewhat linearly, so 5 years into the future the whole league had starters 95 and up since the game doesn't have abrupt aging/retirements
Scout
1:11
This chat should be more about me
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