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Klawchat 1/28/21
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Rob
1:24
For the angels, would you rather have odorizzi and quintata, or bauer. I'm trying to rationalize their inaction on above average starters...again.
Keith Law
1:24
Signing two second-tier guys may make more sense for them given their current rotation and lack of depth in the upper levels.
Mark Shapiro
1:24
Was Groshans left off the list due to injury concerns? If he has a good 2021 would he be back into the top 100?
Keith Law
1:25
He's just barely played - last game action was May of 2019, I believe.
Still a good prospect. Please bear in mind that omitting a prospect from my top 100 is not tantamount to saying that he sucks.
Billy
1:25
Really enjoyed the Top 100 this morning!  It seemed like more draft picks jumped right into the list this year.  Is that more about the quality of the last draft, or about you having better more up to date information for many of them?
Keith Law
1:26
Lot of graduations this year too. I actually think the number of draft picks going into the top 100 is about average. Have had as many as 15 in past years, I think.
Jon V.
1:26
What do you think the strategy is in Cleveland? They appear to be trying to walk a fine line of staying marginally competitive while building for the future.  For example, they have an abundance of prospects at 2B/SS but then get Rosario back in the Lindor deal and resign C Hernandez.
Keith Law
1:26
I think the strategy is dictated by ownership refusing to spend, so they have to play this weird game of competing while constantly planning to trade players before they leave as free agents or just get too expensive for the owner's tastes. I do think that Rosario could move to CF there.
G
1:27
Did you have a difficult time weighing reports from instructs vs being able to actually see guys in games? Quinn Priester in particular seemed to be getting almost hyperbolic praise from scouts
Keith Law
1:27
I would say that actual games > instructs > alt site. It was just a worse process this year all around and I tried to make the best of what I had.
Mike
1:27
I assume the Dodgers end up trading Keibert, but what happens with Will Smith and Diego Cartaya when hes ready? Can either effectively play another position?
Keith Law
1:27
Got at least two full years before we come to that and a lot can change before then.
1:28
I don't worry about those situations until they're imminent. When CJ Abrams is banging on the door in San Diego, they'll decide if Tatis stays at SS and Abrams goes to 2B/CF, the reverse, or if Abrams becomes a trade piece for another ace or a star at another position.
Steve
1:28
Keith: You seem to be higher on Jazz Chisholm more so than other outlets/rankings. Most have seemed to indicate his potential will hinge on his contact ability. What gives you optimism he will be able to do that/reach his ceiling?
Keith Law
1:29
Don't know about other outlets but I see electric bat speed, an inexperienced hitter with an idea at the plate, and a guy still growing into his frame and I think working on coordination. I've seen him before and he's not hacking, or unable to pick up spin, to think of two possible red flags I don't see here.
John
1:29
Apologies if you've covered this before.  I'm just starting to grind my own coffee and use a French press.  Do you have any suggestions on how to get started in finding coffee beans locally?  How do you find a good source?
Dr Bob
1:32
Congratulations on you recent marriage and felicitations to your new bride.
Keith Law
1:33
Thank you! For those who missed the news, I got married earlier this month, and wrote about in my free email newsletter.
1:34
John - there are some great lists and sites online (sprudge is one), but you can also just google "third wave coffee CITYNAME" and you'll find some good guides for any decent-sized town in the country. When you're in one, chat up the barista - tell them what you like in coffee, that you're using a French press, and listen to recommendations. They will probably also be able to tell you what other roasters they like in town.
John
1:34
Keith, thanks for the chat. Love your work. Wondering if you could give us some names of players who "just missed" the top 100 list?
Keith Law
1:35
Next week, I believe.
Ben
1:35
Did Ryan Pepiot come into consideration at all? If not, what were the reports you heard on him?
Keith Law
1:35
Not a top 100 consideration but definitely a prospect who'll be in my Dodgers top 20.
TinCaps
1:36
What would keep Gore out of the Padres rotation this season?
Keith Law
1:36
They don't need him right now, at least, and if he has any issues throwing strikes, which he did in 2018 when he had blisters, they're clearly not going to rush him.
Joe Random
1:36
Will there be follow up breakdowns on individual teams/divisions?
Keith Law
1:37
In the intro to today's rankings, I explained that top 20 lists by team would appear in early February, likely the week of Feb 8.
Mike
1:37
BlueJays questions - Simon Woods Richardson not on the list due to a higher reliever risk? Groshams drop off because of injury and low activity, do you see him with potential to be an everyday MLB 3B?
Keith Law
1:37
Significant reliever risk there. His arm is extremely late relative to his front leg landing.
Miguel
1:37
Are teams evaluating prospective catchers knowing that pitch framing eventually will have limited or no value w "robot umps"? How does that change the importance of the catcher moving forward?
Keith Law
1:38
That came up a lot the last two winters. There are certainly some catching prospects who'd see their value jump quickly if we get the automated strike zone, like Tampa's Ronaldo Hernandez.
CP
1:39
Kumar Rocker a lock for Pirates at 1? And (I apologize in advance but this is all we have): Who are top contenders for first overall in 2022?
Keith Law
1:39
Not a lock at all; I'd bet on the field rather than Rocker. I'll do a draft ranking towards the end of February but right now my entire focus is on the pro stuff.
Santaspirt
1:39
Serious question Keith. Do you want to start a band? It's like impossible to be in a band and social distance. You record the guitar/vocals, then send to me to record drums. It'll be like the Postal Service but through the internet.
Keith Law
1:40
I'm in. I even got a bass guitar for Christmas so I'm ready.
Guest
1:40
Most Braves fans want Ozuna back because he was awesome last year. However, even setting aside the DH/LF thing, his OPS+ was 175 in a short 2020, 149 in 2017. In his other 6 years, he's averaged a 103.5 OPS+. Seems kind of crazy to assume he's going to be above average, let alone great. Thoughts?
Keith Law
1:40
There were some differences in 2020 that I think can carry over - I'd bet on a 110-120 wRC+ the next couple of years.
I detailed it in my free agent writeup of him.
Jake
1:41
Could Wander Franco start on day one of this season? Should he?
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