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Klawchat 1/31/18
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Keith Law
2:26
Yes. He's in their org report, which is ... concise.
Patrick
2:26
You are obviously not as high on Florial as others. If you were running the Yankees and could make him a headliner for a Fulmer deal, how much more would you be comfortable giving up? Could it be done without Gleyber and Sheffield if Florial were on the table?
Keith Law
2:27
If the market thinks Florial is a top 100 prospect - which I'm not sure about, because I talked to a lot of people who saw what I saw, and execs who share my concerns - then he would be someone who could lead a Fulmer deal, maybe with a second top 100 guy thrown in. I do not know what Detroit wants, though.
John
2:27
As a Phillies fan, I am not quite sure how to feel right now about the franchise. They have been methodical in their rebuild, but unlike the Astros/Cubs, they dont have a few superstar core pieces to build around. Nola looks good, but has already had arm trouble. Their prospects, while looking like solid regulars, dont seem to have very high 70th percentile outcomes, and they've whiffed (it looks like) on a number of high picks in the last 5 years. Are they set to spin their wheels and be average over the next 5 years?
Keith Law
2:28
Don't think it's that dire; they have money to spend on free agents, and they look like they'll have the prospect depth to swing a big deal or two. But the whiffs atop the draft are a real concern; they've been better with later picks, which is great, but you do have to hit more than half the time when you pick high.
Dutch
2:28
You think A.J. Reed could get some ABs as DH? Gattis has been very subpar the past few years.
Keith Law
2:28
I would love to see Reed get some of those ABs. Think he'll swing and miss too much but get on base much more than Gattis does, and Reed has just as much power.
Chris
2:28
Hi Keith, I was surprised that Dustin May was ranked outside the top 10 for LAD.  Do you see some reliever risk if the changeup doesn't develop?
Keith Law
2:28
Yes, some violence in the delivery too.
Jay
2:29
Keith, what is your general opinion of Wagyu beef?
Keith Law
2:30
I don't eat beef any more, but when I did, I didn't understand paying extra for wagyu when it isn't really a thing - Kobe beef is something very specific, but Wagyu is more of a marketing term. In theory, it's better for the cows, the environment, and for the consumer because the meat has a better profile of fats, but you can't guarantee what you're getting.
2:31
Brief pause here for a radio hit...
RSO
2:53
Will the Yankees regret giving up Mateo, Kaprelian and Fowler for Sonny Gray?
Keith Law
2:53
Maybe, although since two were injured at the time, it was hard to argue with it - or with a deal that landed Gray but didn't give up Torres or Sheffield.
John
2:53
Question: if MLB still wants to compensate teams for losing free agents, why not just give them compensation picks between rounds 1 and 2 instead of taking picks away from teams that sign free agents? It seems like that would be the best of both worlds scenario. Players could still sign wherever and get paid, teams would not be punished for signing free agents, and the teams losing players would still collect compensation picks to try and rebuild.
Keith Law
2:54
Because the point of compensation picks was never compensation: it's punishment. MLB wanted to drag down free agent salaries and it worked.
ssimon
2:54
Hey Klaw, we know you are higher on Dom Smith than the Mets seem to be. Do you think the team is unfairly holding his 183 MLB PAs or the high-offense Las Vegas environment against him? (It can't be Terry's fault anymore.)
Keith Law
2:54
Yes, I do. He's also started slow at several stops before. They shouldn't act like this is a surprise.
Brian
2:54
Question about your observation that the Phillies system has depth but no superstars. With as much depth as they have, isn't it likely that a few guys dramatically exceed expectations?
Keith Law
2:55
I don't agree with that. It is likely that a few guys dramatically fall short of expectations, but the curve is not symmetrical about the mean.
leprekhan
2:55
How would you compare the interest level in the draft and prospects in general to say 5 years ago? Obviously it will vary from fans of different organizations, but overall it feels a bit like there is more interest than ever.
Keith Law
2:55
I agree. And I am fortunate that this is so.
Anton Chiguhr
2:55
Do you think Dombrowski moves on from JDM & seeks a trade or a Bautista/Cargo type reclamation?
Keith Law
2:55
I think Martinez ends up in Boston ... but you could flip a coin.
John
2:55
I worry that the Brewers are getting a little ahead of themselves this offseason--their 86 win season was built on several out-of-character seasons from their players that aren't that likely to be repeated. Seems like they've locked in to getting the end of Cain's peak before they're truly competitive with the Cubs and Cardinals, and then they'll be stuck with some dead money in 2020-22. Do you agree?
Keith Law
2:56
I agree they may be over-estimating their odds of replicating 2017 performances, but I don't think any of this money will be dead in 2020.
Troy
2:56
Luke Weaver a future 1or2 or more likely 4or5?
Keith Law
2:56
Way more likely 4 or 5.
Marissa
2:56
What are your thoughts on TJ Zeuch in the Blue Jays org?
Keith Law
2:56
Back-end starter. Jays report goes up tomorrow.
Dan
2:56
Carter Kieboom and E Fedde for Realmuto.   Who says no?
Keith Law
2:56
Marlins.
jake
2:56
are you buying desmond lindsey's issues being related to his vision (and now fixed)?
Keith Law
2:56
I wrote that.
John
2:56
You recommended Flavor Bible.  Thank you so much!  What a great tool!  What do you think of their "what to drink with what you're eating" book?
Keith Law
2:56
I'm not a wine drinker, so I haven't read it.
Marshall MN
2:56
Is pitch recognition the key trait that ends up determining if a hitter can make it in the big leagues?  Is it a teachable skill in your opinion?
Keith Law
2:57
It is a key trait but not the only one. It can improve, but it depends on the individual.
Reid
2:57
I always look forward to your work and as a Padres fan, it was great to read detailed info on so many of their prospects.  While much of the talent is in the lower levels of the minors do you foresee an issue down the road with not enough room on the 40 man roster when they become Rule 5 eligible around the same time?
Keith Law
2:57
That's possible, but would be an impetus for trades. I also think a few of those teenagers just won't hit enough in pro ball to be rule 5 bait.
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