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Klawchat 1/31/18
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Jay
2:58
Assuming health, the likely top 4 starters for Houston are Verlander, Keuchel, Cole, McCullers. Who do you think should get the most starts as the 5th?
Keith Law
2:58
Morton would be 4th. McCullers still hasn't shown he can stay healthy for a full season.
Rick
2:58
Do you think Brendan Mckay will try to play both ways in the minors or will the Rays make him pick a position?
Keith Law
2:58
I believe he'll do both this year, and they may reevaluate after that. My #1 concern now for him is fatigue.
Dave
2:58
What's your favorite dish to make using a sous vide device?
Keith Law
2:59
Chicken thighs. Whole Foods had 2-pound packages on sale this week, so I bought one (9 thighs), cooked them 4.5 hours at 165 degrees, chilled them, and then seared off a few each night for dinner.
Steve
2:59
What are the odds Cole Ragans hits your midseason top 50?
Keith Law
2:59
You tell me: does he throw more strikes? The walks are perplexing because he's not truly wild and he repeats his delivery well.
Michael K
3:00
Hi Keith. I’m a big fan of your chat. I’m a lifelong Giants fan. With the #2 pick in the upcoming draft who do you think they should select?
Keith Law
3:00
Too soon. I'll do a draft ranking in a few weeks, but even that will be on the early side, subject to a lot of change. I will say that there seems to be an early consensus that Ethan Hankins, Georgia prep RHP, is the top talent, but no HS RHP has ever gone 1-1.
Ted
3:00
Is the Red Sox farm system heading in the right direction after the 2017 draft and IFA signings? The 2 big trades and system grads left it bare, understandably.
Keith Law
3:01
Yes, the arrow is pointing up, but a lot of those new players' values are still based on amateur looks.
Allan
3:01
Is a spike in velocity a warning sign for TJS, like in Joe Palumbo's case.
Keith Law
3:01
I have never seen a study that attempted to prove/disprove the thesis, but I believe a sudden velocity spike increases the risk of a ligament tear. Perhaps the arm speeds up and the ligament can't handle it?
Jared
3:02
Do you consider Archer top of rotation? I personally do not, but most Brewer fans do. His stats just don't match up with his peripherals. Just wanted to get an expert's opinion.
Keith Law
3:03
Potential top of rotation, hasn't quite had those results.
Tom Hendry
3:03
The Astros made a lot of noise by reducing their minor league scouts. Didn't the Orioles do this back in 2012? How many minor league scouts do they have vs. what is normal? Are few scouts a bad thing?
Keith Law
3:04
Not aware of the Orioles having fewer scouts; I think few scouts is a bad thing, yes. There is information you glean from watching players that won't show up even in advanced data like Trackman provides. The latter is critical too, but why not supplement with in-person observation?
Chris
3:04
Do you see major changes ahead in the next CBA, as far as shifting more money toward players’ prime years (24 to 30) instead of teams signing guys to ten-year deals through age 40? It seems as though teams are beginning to realize the error of their ways, but the union’s not just going to give the owners that money.
Keith Law
3:04
It's a few years down the road, but I would imagine players would fight more for earlier free agency next time.
Nate
3:04
Will you a preseason draft list or does it carry so little value at the end of the day, it isnt worth producing?
Keith Law
3:04
I do every year.
It'll be up in a few weeks.
Stephen
3:04
What makes you higher on Justus Sheffield than most?
Keith Law
3:05
Don't know. Ask Most why he's so low on Sheffield.
Jeff
3:05
Lolo Sanchez and Luplow were absent from your Pirates writeup.  Any quick thoughts/explanation on those guys?
Keith Law
3:05
Sanchez is on the Pirates' writeup now; I screwed up and never transferred his blurb from my notes to the file I sent to ESPN. Luplow is an up-and-down guy at bst.
BRIAN
3:06
I know Cliff Frazier was not eligible for your prospect rankings - but he is really only a prospect with less than 150 ab last year... IF he was in the rankings -- would he be top 50?  Top 20?  Is he a legit prospect or NY hype?
Keith Law
3:06
Would not be top 50. I understand the frustration about guys like him not making prospect lists, but we have to draw the line somewhere.
Nate
3:06
I see a lot of other reports on Matt Manning that are much more glowing than yours. What do you see his chances of developing the command and secondary stuff necessary to become more than a big armed bullpen guy?
Keith Law
3:07
People wishcast on players all the time; I can't help that. He's athletic enough to find the command and secondary stuff, but i can't help but think he'll need to scrap the CB for a slider and to get less robotic in his delivery first.
Aaron C.
3:07
Since 2002, the A's have had spurts of MLB success, but it seems their minor league system has needed heavy supplementing from trades to actually bring talent into the pipeline. Why have the A's struggled so much in the draft over the past 15 years?
Keith Law
3:08
I think where they've gone astray, it's usually been on college performers whose tools didn't/wouldn't translate. I think they've drafted much better the last few years, though, even with Beck struggling in his first summer.
mike
3:08
Keith - Brewers question.  Yelich was a great pickup, Cain a fair one.  Let's say they ARE in on Yu, and get him.  Is a rotation of Yu, Nelson, Davies, Anderson and Chacin (with their above average bullpen) competing for an NL crown?  It doesn't pass the smell test.
Keith Law
3:08
I don't think so.
Scott
3:08
Any thoughts on Top Chef this season?
Keith Law
3:08
Haven't watched.
Matthew
3:09
Thoughts on Senzel moving forward... quick player comp and how the Reds find him playing time. Or does he stay down until May 2019?
Keith Law
3:09
2019? God I hope not. He's ready or very close to it.
Mike D
3:10
I am nervous about Gabe Kapler, I do not want to see a couple of wasted years and start again.  Does he have the managerial skills?  Can he move this club forward ( if he gets pitching)?
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