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Klawchat 10/20/22
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Aaron
1:37
First you criticize the Cubs for getting overly cute in the draft and taking a pitcher in a top-heavy hitting class. Then you trash an UDFA with a short track record of success. Why do you hate us so???
Keith Law
1:38
Heh. To be fair, I didn't trash Mervis. I explained what I saw, which is consistent with the data from his time in the high minors AND with what other scouts who've seen him told me. I think he has some big league value.
JT
1:38
How ridiculous is the count the rings means of ranking individual players?
Keith Law
1:38
Doesn't Clay Bellinger have three rings? So he's miles better than Ernie Banks, right?
Chris
1:38
Do you think Carlos Correa would stay healthier at 2b? And do you think he'd be a good 2b or would he be better at 3b? Asking as a mariners fan whose president said yesterday they are looking to sign a SS who wants to move to 2b
Keith Law
1:39
I'd try third base if I wanted to move him. Second base isn't necessarily a better position for staying healthy - the double play is always more hazardous for a 2b than a SS.
grobaba
1:39
How often do you buy frozen vegetables?
Keith Law
1:39
We always keep a supply in the freezer. Peas are the #1 choice, but we usually have that, corn, broccoli, one or two other things.
JT
1:39
Is there any chance that the Truss produce fail signifies a potential end to reckless austerity programs and small government?
Keith Law
1:40
Seems unlikely, no? But I don't know British politics well at all.
Appa Yip Yip
1:40
What would you do with the Jays catcher situation? I've seen people floating the idea of playing Moreno at 3rd and the outfield but that seems like a poor use of resources.
Keith Law
1:40
I wouldn't move Moreno. Defense is a huge part of his value. They could try to mix and match him & Kirk this year, and then trade one for something else they need.
Steve
1:40
Can Gorman hit enough for 2b or is he a DH going forward?
Keith Law
1:41
Oh his power will play anywhere. Are you asking if he can handle 2B defensively? I always thought he would.
Justin
1:41
Hi Keith. The Pirates currently have some pieces in place and coming soon like Cruz, Hayes, Reynolds, Bae (f*** him, but just reality that he's here and decent at baseball), Endy Rodriguez, Henry Davis, and some decent pitching.   Their payroll projects around $45 million next yr.  Do you think the better path would be to do something like trying to catch lightning in a bottle by getting payroll to $90 mil with additions like Jose Abreu and a few decent SP, or to just tank again with the cheap team they have?
Keith Law
1:42
If the owner were willing to spend - stop laughing - I'd go more for up the middle than an older corner bat like Abreu. You probably want to be more risk-averse in free agency, and more risk-loving in amateur player acquisition.
And yeah, some innings guys might help.
Chaz R
1:42
Verlander will likely opt out of his contract and become a FA. Should Astros resign him? If so what do you think the contract would look like ?
Keith Law
1:42
Yes, any contender should be interested, and given what he's said about chasing wins milestones they'd remain a good fit.
Chris
1:42
Is Jake McCarthy real player? And who from the outfield mix is the odd guy out in Arizona? I know all players won't develop and it's not a surplus but who gets the chances?
Ana
1:44
Regarding your claim that the sex binary is a myth, how is that true? Are you using "sex" to define something other than gametes? Every mammal is the product of *two* parents, one providing a small mobile gamete (sperm) and one providing a large stationary gamete (egg), and nobody produces both. This is fundamental science and the basis of complex evolution, which requires heritable traits that get passed down from *two* parents to their offspring. Two parents, two gametes = sex is binary. Any attempt to complicate beyond these facts is no longer an attempt to define "sex" but rather something else entirely. It's a semantic game.
Keith Law
1:45
That's just wrong. Biological sex is determined by chromosomes, not gametes, and there are more than just the two most common combinations (XX and XY).
Back to Jake McCarthy - yes, he's legit, and I wonder if Alek Thomas ends up elsewhere.
Jim
1:46
Keith, what are your thoughts on the draft lottery in place for 2023?  On the one hand, it should somewhat lessen the urge to tank (with only a 16.5% chance of the worst team getting the top pick).  On the other hand, with it being instituted late in the off-season (well, in the middle of what should have been ST), does it unduly punish teams that may have planned the season under the old rules?
Keith Law
1:46
It seems like it has altered teams' behavior, so I'm a fan.
JR
1:48
What has been the most disappointing adaptation of a beloved book into movie/TV show for you? For me, it's Pachinko (which I believe you've read) for two reasons: 1) they tried to tell all facets of the story at same time by sharing a little bit of each era each episode; and 2) instead of using the book story as season one, they went it it with the idea it would be a 3-4 season story, so added a ton of extra details/characters/back stories (which I get you have to do in TV), but overall a huge disappointment to me - and I loved the book.
Keith Law
1:48
American Gods. Book is amazing. I never bothered with season 2 after the disappointing first season.
Henry
1:49
The NBA has established a great model by canceling all games on Election Day, and encouraging voting. MLB has done nothing, and their equity marketing is abysmal. What's it going to take for MLB to catch up?
Keith Law
1:49
The players. The NBA and even the NFL are ahead because the players pushed it. In MLB, that's not a thing. I'd guess a nontrivial minority of MLB players believe in the Big Lie.
Mike Trout
1:49
Should the Mets prioritize Nimmo? Of all their free agents he seems most likely to live up to his next contract.
Keith Law
1:50
Does he? Two full healthy seasons as a big leaguer. I'd be concerned about durability.
Bob
1:50
Is Endy Rodriguez a regular or is there more ceiling? Seems to be some question about his power. What days KLaw?
Keith Law
1:50
At least a solid regular.
Guest
1:50
In your estimation, what went wrong in the development of Corey Ray? I thought he was a near "can't miss" prospect
Keith Law
1:53
Great question and I don't have a simple answer. I do think it's telling, and was probably a sign, that someone with his speed and athleticism couldn't handle centerfield and wasn't even very good in left. I do wonder if another organization might have handled him differently when he struggled right out of the gate, too. Eventually he changed his swing to get to power but at the cost of contact, and at that point he was pretty much finished.
Insert Witty Name Here
1:53
Oh been so long since I can get to a live Klawchat.  My wife and I have been discussing the whole transgender issue, and we have a question we want a third party to answer: what’s the threshold for a percentage of a population to where their rights become a “priority”.  Example: black people represent 16% of our population, I should prioritize their civil rights.  Transgender people are about 5%. While I personally believe that everyone should be treated fairly and with respect, is 1 in 20 people enough to where we need to prioritize their struggle? I believe you even said so yourself that it’s really a political strategy to demonize a small minority to rally up the base, is that correct?
Keith Law
1:55
What does "prioritize" mean to you here? Black Americans, gay Americans, women, trans people ... they're asking for the same rights as everyone else. Nobody is trying to give trans people more rights than cis people. However, a large movement - which is demonizing a small minority to rally their base, with the complicity of most of the national media - is trying to deny trans people basic rights, and to deny women basic reproductive rights, and so on. I do not lose anything when other people have the same civil rights that I do. I think I gain, because our society is better when we treat others as equals, and extend kindness rather than fear, ignorance, and hate.
TomBruno23
1:56
Unless you want to play a best of 75 it is not possible to have a statistically reliable postseason series, whatever that means.
Keith Law
1:56
Yep.
JJ
1:56
The stat line says that Nick Yorke took a solid step backwards this season.  He was viewed as a reach when the Sox took him in the first round in 2020, but he had a big 2021.  Is he still the second baseman of the future?
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