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Klawchat 10/20/22
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Keith Law
1:23
Ceiling/floor is the kind of thing I will discuss at length in offseason prospect rankings. He'll be on the top 100 again, and was on the midseason rankings.
Dave
1:23
So if gender identity is not metaphysical, but rather a matter of observable biological reality with (as you say) "clear scientific evidence" then shouldn't we be able to test for it? That would allow us to prevent "false positives" and separate the truly trans from the future detransitioners, who are an ever-growing group of mostly-young people and whose stories are genuinely heartbreaking.
Keith Law
1:23
Autism is a matter of observable biological reality with clear scientific evidence, and we can't test for it in the sense you mean. The last clause of your question is anti-trans propaganda.
Aaron C.
1:23
Did you hit up any new restaurants in the valley during the AFL or did you opt to play the "greatest hits" instead?
Keith Law
1:23
I have either four or five new ones to write up.
JT
1:23
Have we seen a statistically reliable post season series yet this year?
Keith Law
1:24
Is that a thing? Is it even desirable?
Greg
1:24
Hey Keith, do you see Justyn-Henry Malloy as a future every day left fielder or is he not at that level?
Keith Law
1:24
Yes.
Philip
1:24
Jackson merrill top 30 prospect now?
Keith Law
1:24
My gut is no, but I also haven't sat down to start that exercise of ranking the top guys yet.
1:25
Top 100, sure, that's an easy call. Top 30 is a very different question.
James
1:25
predictions for both series ??
Keith Law
1:25
I said Padres and Astros for the site.
Mo
1:25
Is it a fair criticism of the Cardinals that they seem to do very well in developing mid-level talent from out of nowhere, but have struggled to develop stars the last decade?
Keith Law
1:28
Is it? Flaherty would qualify as a star for me. I guess you're not giving them Gallen, which is fair given where he became an actual star. Who have they had prior to Carlson/Gorman and the next wave who should have become a star, though? They had the 2017 draft where they had no picks till the third round. Prior to 2015 they had a lot of reach picks and have always drafted late in the first round anyway. I see a lot of value produced in the system overall but not many "he should have been a star but isn't" guys.
If Carlson and Gorman flop, then the question is different.
Aaron C.
1:29
30 years ago, guys like Todd Van Poppel and Brien Taylor were considered top prospects despite the lack of secondary pitches and an astronomical walk rate, respectively. Was there a singular turning point (a failed prospect, a draft year, an organization?) that opened the door to your predecessors/peers getting smarter?
Keith Law
1:30
The advent of the data era. We went from teams ignoring even basic performance data in the 1990s and prior to now teams hunting for tiny advantages in more granular data, finding a lot of hidden value but sometimes missing the forest for the trees.
1:31
I'll take this mode of thinking over the old way, though.
Mo
1:31
What kind of slash line do you see from Masyn Winn when he gets to the majors? Will the bat a weapon or will he be a glove-first guy?
Keith Law
1:31
The glove will be valuable before the bat is.
Dave
1:31
As the only Cubs fan not currently furious with you, what did you see from Owen Cassie at AFL? I promise not to throw a tantrum if the answer isn't to my liking.
Keith Law
1:32
I wish I'd seen more, actually. I liked him in the spring, but didn't get many swings from him in the AFL.
Adam
1:32
Do you see Hunter Brown as a starter (top or bottom of rotation) or bullpen arm long term. Been very impressed so far.
Keith Law
1:32
Reliever, due to command.
Zac
1:32
Is Kerry Carpenter anything more than a 4th outfielder?
Keith Law
1:32
I don't think so.
nelson
1:32
every postseason i'm struck by how seemingly fragile a starting rotation is. in your opinion do teams generally do a good job with pitching strategy in the postseason? it's often so different than what you would see in the regular season. is there anything that could better prepare them for success?
Keith Law
1:33
I don't have a good answer to that.
Michael
1:33
Thoughts on the potential of Kodai Sanga?
Keith Law
1:33
He'll probably get paid to be a starter, but I know a lot of folks question whether he can be a starter over here. He'll be on my free agent rankings when they run next month, but isn't in the top tier of guys.
Mason
1:33
So when do we cancel the playoffs and annoiunt the LAD rightful champs?
Keith Law
1:34
That was such a bizarre column - the first one, at least - and then someone tried to pit me against that writer on twitter, which I am not interested in doing at all.
And then other people piggybacked on this stupid idea. I think the Dodgers were the best team in baseball in 2022. The best team doesn't always win - not in the playoffs, not in a series, not in any particular game.
James
1:34
Do padres have a legit shot to win it all ??
Keith Law
1:35
Don't all four teams still in the playoffs have a legit shot? Once you're in, you have a shot.
Jason
1:35
I got my (senior) parents Everdell last year and they play it daily, often four times or more in a day. Any suggestions that could follow the style of game but with a new/different play style? They love the fact that there’s so many ways to play.
Keith Law
1:36
That's great to hear. Wingspan has a good bit of that too - you can win lots of ways, and often your best strategy is based on your starting cards, requiring you to play differently each time - and I think Lost Ruins of Arnak has some too, although that game is about twice as long as Everdell (2-player Everdell can be 35-40 minutes).
1:37
Raiders of the North Sea might fit too.
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