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Klawchat 2/25/21
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JT
1:17
I signed up for the Athletic for you and for Eno. Thank you for what you do.
Keith Law
1:17
Thank you. Your subscriptions allow me to do what I do.
Jake
1:17
What did you hear about Seth Corry in instructs that jumped him into your top 100? Do you think he starts in AA and at least starts the clock for giving the Giants pitching a much needed youth infusion?
Keith Law
1:17
The answer to the first question is in the player capsule for Corry. The answer to the second is yes to AA and no to the majors.
Aaron
1:17
Agree with your take on the Chicago 7 - it shows the full Sorkin experience, with the good and bad that implies (maybe he created the female FBI agent to have a bad female character).
Keith Law
1:18
In fairness, and I don't feel any real need to be fair to Sorkin, the real story has no women in it. Creating a fictional female character to avoid that is probably a good thing. Creating THAT fictional female character was just stupid.
Phillip P.
1:19
Thanks for the chat, Keith! By every measure, Ronald Acuna has been a star. And if he maintains his level of production for a long time, he'll be a HOFer. But what are the chances he makes the leap from being a 5- to 6-win player to being an 8-plus-WAR guy? What adjustments does he need to make to get there?
Keith Law
1:21
He's still just 23, and B-R had him at 2.3 WAR in 46 games played last year (a rate of 8.1 WAR per 162 games) after a 5.7 WAR in 2019. Your question sort of presumes he's not already heading towards a 7-8 WAR peak and I don't agree with that.
JJ
1:21
What will you miss most about the Tim Tebow Era?
Keith Law
1:22
Oh, no question, the whining from people who claimed I hate Tebow for his religious beliefs, as if he was the only Christian in baseball.
Dan
1:22
Thanks as always for the chat Keith! Who in the Twins system do you think has the best chance to have a helium year and jump up the rankings?
Keith Law
1:22
Every team report has a Sleeper section at the end that answers this precise question.
Rob
1:22
I'm curious now that you've gone through the whole prospect exercise (and thanks for all 80,000 words, by the way), did you end up getting more usable and reliable (aka independently sourced) scouting information than expected?
Keith Law
1:23
No, I don't think so. I'm glad this book is closed and we will get games this year, with scouting reports and data, to make the whole exercise better and more enjoyable in 2022.
Joe
1:23
Does Antoine Kelly project as a starter or more a 2 pitch reliever?
Keith Law
1:23
Starter with high variance.
Guest
1:23
With Lindor, Baez, Correa, Seager and Story all free agents at the same time, what do you think those contracts look like?  My assumption is that all of them expect $150 million+ but I have a hard time finding 5 realistic teams that will bid at that level.
Keith Law
1:23
Depends on whether there are any more free agents out there as a result of the new CBA - or if the CBA negotations are drawn out and we get some sort of labor stoppage.
Tom
1:24
I think we're probably ok to just throw out Kris Bryants 2020 and say he's still a .380 OBP 500 SLG guy, right?
Keith Law
1:24
I would work off that assumption if I were Hoyer.
JJ
1:24
Ten years, $240 million, and three total playoff games -- do you think, if given a redo, either the Angels or Albert Pujols would do that contract again?
Keith Law
1:24
I'm sure Pujols would. I doubt the Angels would.
Jackie
1:24
Do you think Jeter Downs takes over at second base for the Red Sox some time in 2021?  I'm not too excited by the thought of Enrique Hernandez on an everyday basis.
Tim
1:24
How close to being a MLBer is Khalil Lee? What's his most likely future? Thanks.
Keith Law
1:24
I think Downs could, yes.
1:25
Lee is probably not far at all from being a big leaguer, but he has a real adjustment to make before he's a regular (and the hope is that he started to make it at the alt site).
Salty
1:27
You mentioned last chat about not investing in crypto partially because it's an environmental disaster.  I don't get involved with it personally due to a lack of understanding and confidence in it, but never thought of it in that light.  Can you please expound on that, unless you feel this isn't the best format to do so?
Keith Law
1:27
I believe I linked to it in the last chat. Cryptocurrencies require tremendous computing power, and the energy used to support them already rivals some countries' entire energy usage. And to what end? None, other than speculation.
Heather
1:28
What's your favorite conspiracy theory that you secretly think, "Yeah, that one might actually be true"?  Roswell, the JFK assassination, the Patrick Ewing Lottery Fix, pedophile pizza parlors?
Keith Law
1:28
I mean, one of those things (Ewing) is not like the others. I wouldn't be surprised at all to hear a pro sports league rigged something to ensure that a player went to a specific market - or, worse, to ensure that, say, Michael Jordan never fouled out of a game because it would crush TV ratings. The other three things you mentioned are all basically nuts.
Brian
1:29
I had a question there (I'm the Dylan Cease guy) and hit send too soon. My question was if you were the WSox, would you rather have Dylan Cease or Dane Dunning?
Keith Law
1:29
Cease.
Chris P
1:29
Didn't see Derek Hill in your top 20 for the Tigers. You had been higher on him than most in the past due to his athleticism, but has he gone past the prospect level now?
Keith Law
1:30
With no evidence to say he's going to either make more contact or hit the ball harder than he did in 2019, we have a 25-year-old whose ceiling is fourth outfielder.
Todd Boss
1:30
When Jared Kelenic is sent to AAA on April 1st for two weeks, how big will the outrage be?
Keith Law
1:30
He has more reason for a grievance than Kris Bryant did, given Mather's comments. That said, is Kelenic actually ready for the majors? Do we know that? The Mariners might have a good answer, but with no minor league season in 2020, we'd just be guessing.
Kori
1:30
Hi Keith - if Austin Beck can (a big if) bring his hit tool to 40, does that rest of the package make him an average regular?
Keith Law
1:31
Don't think so. 45 yes, 40 no.
Well ... even at a 45, is the power he shows in BP also showing up in games? Or does he get to that grade 45 (thus still below average) hit tool by shortening up and trading power for contact?
Matthew
1:32
Catcher of the future in Toronto: Jansen, Kirk, or...?
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