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Klawchat 2/25/21
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Keith Law
1:32
I might bet on Moreno over Kirk, but it's not Jansen.
Old Prospector
1:32
Do you think Francisco Mejia can be an everyday player in MLB?
Keith Law
1:33
I do. There are few guys who hit like he did in the minors and then completely fail to hit in the majors. Andy Marte comes to mind. But they're rare.
And Mejia didn't just put up empty numbers. He really hit, with some impact, and a good swing, and scouts agreed with the stat lines.
Old Prospector
1:34
Obviously it is going to be a rough year in Pittsburgh. Beyond Hayes and Keller, is there anyone on the big league roster you think could be a valuable contributor the next time the Pirates are competing for a playoff spot?
Keith Law
1:34
I could see Reynolds ending up on that roster 3-4 years from now. Anyone else of merit would be gone by then, though.
Jay
1:37
Do you think we'll ever see two DHs? Or teams use their DH for their catcher instead of the pitcher? It feels like catcher's are getting worse offensively as a collective for some time now.
Keith Law
1:39
No, I don't, and I don't agree on the latter point. I think catchers hit about as well as they did 30-40 years ago, but they catch better.
Dan
1:39
Do you think Vlad will be able to make the adjustment(s) to get the ball in the air more this year? I know it's super early in his career, but was that ever a concern of yours/anyone's regarding his swing? I can't recall ever reading anything about his GB%.
Keith Law
1:39
I think he will at some point, but all the people excited about his weight loss seem to think the two are connected and they're absolutely not.
Sandy Alderson
1:40
Is Biden reopening the child detention facility as bad as it sounds? What do we do to hold him accountable?
Keith Law
1:41
It isn't as bad as it sounds, but that didn't stop everyone from reacting to a headline. They had to reopen the facility to comply with COVID-19 prevention guidelines. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2021/02/23/no-bidens-new-borde...
Dr. Bob
1:41
Isn't the problem that Kelenic can't file a grievance if he's sent down because he won't be represented by the union until he comes up?
Keith Law
1:41
Bryant wasn't either. He still filed one (and lost).
Jay
1:41
When COL signed Arenado to his extension, I thought COL signed him for a good $/WAR/year and it was a good value. Why did they have to kick in an extra $50M to trade him for prospects with such limited ceilings and FV?
Keith Law
1:42
Poor negotiating by the Rockies? I don't have another answer.
Prospector
1:42
Who would your project for better offensive production if they both reach close to their ceilings - CJ Abrams or Ronny Mauricio?
Keith Law
1:42
Abrams.
Jay
1:42
Give me hope that Blaze Jordan will be an all-star. Not because I like the Red Sox, but because we need more Dodgeball named guys in MLB
Keith Law
1:42
Extremely unlikely. Singles hitting first baseman. Needs a massive swing overhaul to get to his power.
Old Prospector
1:43
Any thoughts on Elijah Greene? Is he a potentially generational type 1-1 pick type guy?
Keith Law
1:44
He's going to be a high pick in 2022 - there was some talk he'd try to reclassify into 2021 - but I am not putting that tag on him yet.
JJ
1:45
I don't think everyone involved in the JFK assassination was arrested.  Oliver Stone made everyone who thinks that way look like a lunatic, however.  Thanks, Oliver.
Keith Law
1:45
I haven't seen that movie, essentially for that reason: ultimately he's trafficking in, and profiting from, conspiracy theories. I know people say the movie is great. I can't watch it with clear eyes.
davealden53
1:46
First time since your wedding that I've stumbled upon one of your chats while it was still going on.  Congrats on the wedding and especially on the letter you wrote about it.  The letter was so sincere and quietly joyful that I've yet to delete it but instead return to reread it regularly.
Keith Law
1:47
thank you! you haven't missed many chats - this is only my third since I got married - but I appreciate the kind words.
Andy
1:47
I know you haven't done draft rankings yet but Leiter v Rocker, who are you leaning towards having higher? Also, is that top 2 better (in college) than UCLA's of Cole-Bauer?
Keith Law
1:48
Draft rankings next week. I have never understood the idea that Rocker was some obvious 1-1 guy. He's not. And I don't think he's going to be 1 on my ranking. This is some combination of him throwing the no-hitter two years ago and being famous and good in high school (he was), but those aren't reasons for a player to be taken first overall.
Todd Boss
1:48
Will the ill-advised comments of now resigned Mariner's president have a profound effect on the next CBA?  Or will his comments be spun as the words of a raving mad-man that are completely untrue?
Keith Law
1:49
I'm hopeful it encourages the players to take a harder line this time around, after they went for quality of life improvements in the last negotiations but ended up conceding too much ground on other fronts, including the luxury tax and the international free agency system.
Lacey
1:49
Hey Keith, do you have any baseball podcast series you'd recommened? I just finished The Edge about the Astros and loved it. Anything along those lines?
Keith Law
1:50
No, sorry, even in a pre-pandemic world I only listened to 3-4 podcasts, and now without time in the car I have a hard time keeping up with those.
Matt
1:50
What's your take on Mitch Keller....didn't allow a hit in his last eleven innings, but walked ten guys....
Keith Law
1:52
We know by now that pitchers not allowing hits is at least partly a function of luck/defense, and not exclusively a credit to the pitcher. You're also asking about a sample so small it's meaningless. Keller's main problem is the lack of a third pitch to get lefties out - in 2020, he walked 11 LHB and struck out 6, and he's had problems with LHB going back at least to AA.
Guest
1:52
What will be the highest priority for the union in the next CBA: fixing service time manipulation, making drastic changes to the luxury tax, reducing the number of controlled years from 6 to something like 4, something else?
Keith Law
1:53
It should be the luxury tax, although I would also like to see them reduce the number of years to free agency to 5.
Chris
1:53
You're forced to answer, which team is the best run organization in baseball right now?
Keith Law
1:53
Fun fact: I am not forced to answer, so I won't. There are many well-run organizations in baseball right now.
Len
1:53
Macro Luciano - can he become a GUY?
Keith Law
1:53
Yes.
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