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Klawchat 3/8/18
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JJ
1:16
Ohtani's a virtual lock to be chosen the AL ROY, but who's going to win it in the NL?
Keith Law
1:18
He's a lock? What if he only makes 20 starts? Or gets hurt? You can't just gift anyone the award right now. I looked at the top impact rookies for this year in a short piece today for Insiders: http://klaw.me/2FDgElZ
Buckner 86
1:18
Does Jose Berrios take another step forward this year?  Can he be a top 20 SP?   Thanks
Keith Law
1:18
Step forward, yes. Top 20 SP, no.
Matt
1:18
Was Odorizzi really worth nothing?  Put up 5 WAR from '15-'16.  Hard to believe some SP-thirsty team couldn't do better than Palacios?
Keith Law
1:18
I believe i mentioned in a previous chat that his back issues are a major concern.
Jaime
1:18
Isn't it hypocritical of the alphabet news networks to demonize firearms when people who sit on their board also sit on the board of defense contractors, who are responsible for far worse across the globe?
Keith Law
1:19
That is the tu quoque fallacy.
Devon
1:19
The fiancee bought me a cool boardgame for Valentine's Day called Hive. I searched for it on your site and it looks like you haven't reviewed it. Have you not played it before or did it not make your top 100?
Keith Law
1:19
Haven't played it.
CD
1:19
In regards to the top unsigned FA, do you think they lack any offers, or they just lack offers they like like and find acceptable?
Keith Law
1:19
My understanding is that they're getting few offers and the ones they're getting are way below expectations. At some point, though, don't you just say, I'll take the best one-year deal anyone will offer, and go from there?
BE
1:19
With the cost benefit of young players being so high, wouldn't it make sense to better prepare them with better nutrition and instruction before they reach the majors?
Keith Law
1:20
Yes, but because that product isn't visible now, more teams spend that money on the major-league roster.
Archie
1:20
Who do you see handling 1B for the Astros until Gurriel comes back?
Keith Law
1:20
Probably AJ Reed. Don't think it's a big deal for them, not something that will require trading for help.
Joey
1:20
Only 14 SP's pitched 200 innings last year, while 32 did it in 2013. The days of 200 innings are slowly going away as pitching becomes more "specialized".
Keith Law
1:20
I completely agree.
JR
1:20
I know it's just spring training, but the reports on Matt Harvey have been positive so far. While the glory days of '13 and '15 are not coming back, is there any hope he can slightly above league average (or a tad better) this year?
Keith Law
1:21
I think it's about health more than anything else with him ... I don't think it's mental, or makeup related. He was worked extremely hard at UNC, and the Mets had to use him more than I think they would have liked back in 2015. I believe this is the outcome of those two factors.
Dante
1:21
Put on your Matt Klentak hat for a moment.  Do you make the dive into possible contention in 2018 and sign Arrieta/Cobb/Lynn, or use this season to see if the plethora of in-house options will pan out?
Keith Law
1:21
I'd sign Cobb, but wouldn't give up the draft pick and bonus pool money attached to it for either of the other two.
Brady
1:21
Finished Hyperion last week and I can see your issue with the non-ending, but I think I was less critical of it knowing there was a direct sequel out there that probably continues on with the pilgrims' story. You seem to have liked the first book as much as I did, and I can't wait to start The Fall of Hyperion. Did you ever continue on with the series?
Keith Law
1:22
Not yet. Eventually. I have just 4 Hugo winners left, and two of them are probably dreadful, so now I'm branching out to read other stuff by authors I like.
B
1:22
Would you consider Mitch Keller a candidate to be called up after the super 2 deadline, or is he more of a September cup of coffee kind of guy?
Keith Law
1:22
I think September. Hasn't pitched in AAA yet, needs work on the changeup.
and “Peggy”
1:22
I know your philosophy is take BPA, but IMO DET needs to take a position player 1.1.   If that is an overdraft, couldn’t  they then go over slot in round 2?  Is that at all a valid strategy?  Thanks!
Keith Law
1:23
I don't like that - if the best player is clearly a pitcher, you take the pitcher. Taking someone you believe is definitively not the best player available is a good way to get fired three years later when the guy you passed on turns out to be ... the best player who was available.
Jon
1:23
Could Kingery be a Zobrist Utility guy or is he pretty much just a 2B? Thanks.
Keith Law
1:23
Could be 2b/cf. Highly doubt he's a shortstop even on a part-time basis.
Harold
1:23
We are going to see a 6 man rotation as well as a 4 man rotation with a bullpen game in the 5th slot. Which would you prefer if you were constructing a team?
Keith Law
1:23
Probably the latter, but I'm a fan of experimentation in general.
xxx(yyy)
1:24
any recs for party games that are better than Cards Against Humanity and work in situations where people may be consuming adult beverages?
Keith Law
1:25
One Night Ultimate Werewolf and other games of that ilk (Werewords combines it with a word-guessing game; Crossfire switches up the role assignments but plays out very similarly) are perfect for that.
James
1:25
With how strong the rest of AL west, at what point should the Rangers just decide it's time to rebuild?
Keith Law
1:28
What would rebuilding entail for them? I'm not sure how much they really have that they would be willing to trade; Hamels, probably, if he's healthy, and Andrus if we assume he's going to opt out, but that's probably it. They have a decent young offensive core in the majors, including a few players who should still have some growth ahead of them. But I don't see a teardown here, unless you're arguing they should trade guys like Mazara or Gallo now to try to get even younger and acquire some pitching (which I wouldn't recommend).
What's in a name?
1:29
I've often seen ARod, Josh Hamilton, & Griffey Jr. mentioned as the three most-talented #1 picks ever.  Do you agree, & who was the most-talented amateur pitcher you ever saw?
Keith Law
1:30
Those three were all before my tenure in baseball, so I'm just relying on others' opinions; the same community tells me Brien Taylor was one of the most talented amateur pitchers ever. The best amateur pitchers I've personally seen are Stephen Strasburg, Gerrit Cole, and Brady Aiken.
Eric
1:30
Keith,

What kind of year can we expect from Andy Yerzy? Any worry of him being outshined by Daulton Varsho?
Keith Law
1:31
If Yerzy's power surge was real, he's a very valuable prospect because it looks like he'll stay at catcher too. Not many true receivers with 20-HR potential out there. I don't understand the second question ... do players suffer for feeling "outshined?" I know Mark Arm isn't a fan of that.
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