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Klawchat 5/14/20
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Karen
1:16
Any new news with MILB/MLB Contraction plan?
Keith Law
1:16
I haven't heard anything at all since the column I wrote about a month ago. Don't think the two sides have had formal talks.
Mike
1:16
What's the major factor on Mick Abel falling to #23? Is it the lack of data points from this spring, his price tag, or just general riskiness of HS RHP?
Keith Law
1:17
Not so much "falling" as representative of the high risk of HS pitching and the desire to play it safer this year with players we know better. I think Abel is the one definite HS pitcher to go in the first. Kelley might. Bitsko seems more likely to be someone's second pick too.
Kevin w
1:17
i have friends for over 25+ years I’m on the verge of dropping due to continued trump/gop support. Have you had to make this kind of decision in last 4 years?
Keith Law
1:18
Not close friends, but I've certainly drifted away from some people for their support not just of the man or the party, but of specific policies that I think rely on racist or other bigoted beliefs.
Condor
1:18
Dr. Bright appears to be damaging the administration today. Will anything be done?
Keith Law
1:18
LOL of course not.
Jeff
1:18
Could a team drafting in range of picks 5-10 in the first round, get the player they rank 1-1 by offering 95% of their full draft $ to this one player, signing ncaa seniors for minimum with their picks in rounds 2-5?
Keith Law
1:18
That's the Mike Ditka/Ricky Williams draft strategy, right? I doubt anyone would dare try that this year.
1:19
I don't think it's illegal, though.
Zach
1:19
I saw today that Republicans trust Trump by more than 20 points over Fauci. Not even a bungled pandemic will shake the Trumpers from their cult loyalty. I’m at a loss for how we go forward as a country when intelligence and expertise is so proudly ignored by half the country.
Keith Law
1:20
Many people have warned us for years about this rising tide of anti-intellectualism - The Cult of the Amateur, The Death of Expertise, The Age of American Unreason have all tackled this subject in the last 12 years - and I am convinced nothing will work on that subset of the population. They're simply lost to reason.
Jeff
1:20
Who blinks on this revenue split - owners or players?
Keith Law
1:21
Owners. I don't think the negotiated agreement from March even allows owners to revisit this.
Jordan
1:21
I'm trying my best to be a good citizen and follow rules, etc., but it's hard when we have no national plan + I feel like the goalposts keep moving. At first it was "two weeks to flatten the curve" then it was "stay home longer to crush the curve" and now it feels like it's "stay home until we get a vaccine/treatment" at some point, don't we have to move into an assumption of risk period - especially now that hospitals aren't being overrun?
Keith Law
1:24
I don't know you, or your medical status, but it sounds like you're not the one assuming the risk. Do you want tens of thousands of Americans, most of whom will be high-risk people like the elderly or the immune compromise but some of whom will be otherwise healthy children and young adults, to die so you can go get your hair cut? The goalposts aren't just moving arbitrarily, but as we learn more about how contagious SARS-CoV-2 is, how it spreads, and how severe restrictions on movement have to be to keep the Rt under 1, some states and countries have tightened their policies to adapt. Dogma does not change in response to new evidence. Science does.
J
1:24
Do you have a favourite baseball book? I just finished Prophet of the Sandlots and I found the story interesting (though not so much the author as the subject)
Keith Law
1:24
Lords of the Realm.
Jake
1:24
Although I think it’s been true for a few years now, it struck me reading through your team lists that you are the only public prospect analyst who does not use some kind of unifying grade. BA, Pipeline, FG, BP and now ESPN with McDaniel’s Top 100 – all publish a grade aligned to the 20-80 scale to help make cross list comparisons easier for non-top 100 prospects. Do you think you might add something like that to your team lists? If not, what’s the reason you choose not to? Thanks.
Keith Law
1:25
I will not. They're not useful, as they fail to convey much relevant information on a player, from the details of how the player is likely to get to that value to the often-wide variance expected around those numbers.
Freddie P
1:25
What are your thoughts on Biden/his shortcomings and the trivialization of rape allegations? Personally, I'm leaning towards a 3rd party vote (in a state that Biden will win without issue), as terrible as Trump is.
Keith Law
1:26
Biden might not have been in the top 10 for me among candidates in the original Democratic field, but I said from the start I'd vote for any actual Democrat to defeat Trump, and that's still true, despite Biden's shortcomings, the possibility that these allegations are true, and some of my policy disagreements with Biden.
Colin
1:26
What do you think the players will resist most in the latest offer from the owners? Safety issues? Money? Other?
Keith Law
1:26
It's all safety. Testing, medical protocols, etc. There was no revenue proposal - and, whoa, no dates - this week because, I believe, owners can't change what they already agreed to do.
Kip
1:26
At some point you mentioned writing a paper in college about the use of light in 1984 and Brave New World.  Is that available to read anywhere?  Also, finally starting The Master and Margarita and really looking forward to it.  Your new book will follow.  Thanks for all the great content.
Ray
1:27
Noticed you reviewed The Warmth of Other Suns and thought I’d mention, Isabel Wilkerson announced a new book coming out this summer.
Keith Law
1:27
That paper was in high school, and I'm afraid it's long gone. My mom gave me a bunch of stuff she'd kept from my school years and it wasn't in there. My college essays were, though!
Ooh, that'll be a must read.
Zach
1:27
Were there any high school showcases occurring during shutdown, or will teams have to draft solely on junior year performance? Think that will tilt preference towards college kids?
Keith Law
1:28
Nothing. MLB forbade scouts from even going to meet with players.
Brian
1:28
I have a baseball question but first I would like to say I understand how the dark ages happened. Seeing how many people even today just blatantly ignoring science and believing the crap being spewed by people “in charge” leaves me dumbfounded. Anyway, you have the A’s drafting a catcher at 26, is that because you think they really like him or on your board he was the best player available?
Keith Law
1:28
Down in the 20s I went with BPA and team philosophies. I have since heard, however, that Dingler is likely to go higher than 26.
Dr. Bob
1:28
Does fewer rounds mean more unsigned players? Don't teams still need players? Or is it that they won't pay as much to undrafted players?
Keith Law
1:29
No short-season baseball this year (or maybe ever) means teams need ~30 fewer new players this year.
Guest
1:29
How impressive is it that Jordan hit .202 and a .289 OBP in AA at 31 with 14 years away from Baseball?
Keith Law
1:29
In a vacuum, it sounds impressive. I don't know what it actually looked like.
Mike
1:29
What is going to happen to minor leaguers if there is no season? How do you choose who to protect in a rule 5 draft.  It's going to be chaos
Keith Law
1:29
Yep. And think of all the lost development time.
Greg
1:29
Does Atlanta stay college/conservative? Seems like that's the route Anthopoulos and Brown went last year in the early rounds.
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