JotCast | Klawchat 6/3/19

Klawchat 6/3/19

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Gnubs

3:23

What's with the decline in the draft success of the Nats front office? Just picking later in the draft? That didn't seem to matter before as they picked up later round guys than just Strasburg and Harper.

Keith Law

3:24

Have they fared poorly? A few years ago they picked at the end of the first/sandwich and got Luzardo and Kieboom.

Kyle

3:24

Do you see any chance Mizzou's T.J. Sikkema goes in the 1st round? Do you think there's a chance he slips past Day 1?

Keith Law

3:25

Funny, that's my stealth guy who might just sneak into the late first ... I don't think a lot of teams are on him, but there are clearly a few quietly considering him in the 25-40 range. If you want a college starter, he's established himself as a legit option after the most famous tier is gone.

Brian

3:25

Hey Keith, thanks for doing this chat today. Do you think Jung would be a big overreach for SF at #10? I know you have him rated lower on your top 100.

Keith Law

3:25

I wouldn't take him over the other available options there.

Devon

3:25

A few mocks and some chatter suggests that Abrams might be falling a bit? Any insight into why? Just clubs liking the other guys better / cutting deals to go under-slot?

Keith Law

3:26

Every scenario I think has a chance to happen right now is chalk 1-6 - the same six guys in different orders. That's most likely the three college bats in the top 4, Witt 2, Greene 5, which would mean Abrams 6. If someone ahead of San Diego reaches down at all - e.g., the Tigers take Lodolo - then Abrams could slip and I don't think teams behind San Diego are necessarily planning to take him.

Soto

3:27

If you had personally had a choice between Rutledge, Manoah, and Thompson.....who would you pick?

Keith Law

3:27

My Big Board ranking of the top 100 prospects in the class answers any of those questions. That's my personal 'pref' list.

Kai

3:27

Any idea if it would take well over slot to get Brooks Lee to go pro instead of playing for his dad at Cal Poly?

Keith Law

3:27

He's going to school. I have him ranked on talent, but I'm told he's going to school, period.

Guest

3:28

Keith have you ever been asked to make an appearance on the draft? Maybe in Harold Reynolds role? (Kidding, kind of). If they did ask would you do it?

Keith Law

3:28

Of course I would, but because of where I work, it's unlikely. Mayo and I wanted to do a podcast together about the draft but the powers that be scuttled it.

El Zilcho

3:28

How much do you think Stinson will ask for?

Keith Law

3:29

Off my top 100 entirely. He can't really ask for anything more than slot wherever he's taken given the spring he had. If he wants day one money he'll have to get his fastball back.

Nick

3:29

You seem to be the most optimistic on Corbin Carroll's power outlook. How many homers do you see him hitting annually?

Keith Law

3:30

He's a 20+ guy for me. Maybe more. Alex Bregman has 48 homers since the start of 2018; I think Carroll has comparable hand strength.

Brian

3:30

Hey Keith, if the Giants take Jung at 10, would it likely be an under slot deal?

Keith Law

3:30

No.

Kyle

3:30

You've seen the "Rutschman is the best prospect since Harper" stuff, would he make your top-five draft prospects since 2010?

Keith Law

3:30

He might, but no way is he the best draft prospect since Harper. I hate that kind of hyperbole.

Belliard

3:30

Is Atlanta/Langeliers buzz increasing or staying steady?

Keith Law

3:31

I mentioned him in the mock - him or Carroll, given what I projected 1-8.

Jerome

3:31

Do you see the D-Backs drafting Leiter with one of their bazillion picks?

Keith Law

3:31

No.

Jim

3:31

Will you be doing one more mock before 7pm?

Keith Law

3:31

I'll just keep updating the one that's already up (I updated it once, I have more stuff to add after this chat).

Feejus

3:31

Enjoyed Smart Baseball as well as Mr. Brian Kenny’s “Ahead of the Curve

Keith Law

3:31

Thank you! Check out Russell Carleton's The Shift.

Ignatius Reilly

3:31

Rece Hinds profile sounds similar to that of Joey Gallo, the best Rangers first round pick in the Daniels era — could they go back to the well with Hinds at 41/50, or do you think he’s off the board then

Keith Law

3:32

Hinds isn't Gallo. Gallo is a way better athlete, for starters.

Pat

3:32

Someone on MLBN just said that Adley and Witt are the best 1-2 he's ever seen. Why does the crazy train seem to be firing on all cylinders this year? I don't see how it's helpful to speaking hyperbolically about these players. Is there a ratings/click strategy to some of this, perhaps? All it does in my opinion is create unrealistic expectations for the fans (So Adley will be a "bust" if he isn't Bench, and Witt will be a "bust" if he isn't A-Rod).

Keith Law

3:32

Yeah, I hate that ... don't market the draft by making every draft class into the best ever, because people will catch on and just stop listening. Talk about these players as they are.

Jessica

3:32

Hi, Keith! Huge fan! How much stock are you putting in the recent buzz that the Royals may now go with Bleday? What are the chances that Bleday falls to the Tigers?

Keith Law

3:33

I don't have Bleday getting past 4, and I know he's essentially the third option for KC. If, say, Baltimore took Witt (I doubt it) and KC had some concern over Rutschman's medicals (unlikely), then they could take Bleday.

Jeff

3:33

Any chance of the underslot deal for Baty at 3 or 8?

Keith Law

3:34

I haven't heard any real rumors to that effect, just twitter bullshit.

I like Baty a lot but hoo boy, passing on Vaughn at 3 for him?

3:34

ESPN homepage has a link to a Mock 3.1, but it's time-stamped 7:05 a.m. I assume that's still 3.0?

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