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Klawchat 7/11/24
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Matt
1:31
Biden is fine. You know Trump is gonna pick some batshit VP Qanon believer that Harris will eviscerate in a debate. He just has to stem the tide until then.
Keith Law
1:32
I don't think the debates matter that much in the end. I think the endless media coverage matters a lot more. I was pleased to see the NYT editorial board belatedly write something about how Trump is a danger to our country.
JK
1:32
Have you followed the NY Times best books of the 21st century list?  Thoughts?
Keith Law
1:37
OK, I just scanned it (I'd only seen 100-81 before). The ones I've read are mostly worthy; I think Trust is overrated, perhaps here for recency bias, and seeing Alice Munro on there after the stories this week revealed what a shitty human being she was makes me queasy, but seems like a decent enough list. I do think they got the wrong Adichie book, though. Half of a Yellow Sun is far better than Americanah.
chewbalka
1:37
Safe to assume you'll do a midseason update after the draft? Thanks for everything you do, it really helps these days.
Keith Law
1:37
yes, I always do one a week or so post-draft, where I consider the just-drafted guys (and assume they sign, which is usually true but not 100%).
Luke
1:37
Chances of Angels taking Rainer or Griffin?
Keith Law
1:37
Zero.
addoeh
1:37
Trump is more likely to have his own health concerns become front and center or say something dumb about an important issue, like when he said women who get an abortion should be prosecuted.  Oh wait, that's already happened and not really covered.
Keith Law
1:38
Yep. And his speeches are rambling messes - you can see video and transcripts if you look for a minute. For some reason, they don't generate the same headlines even in the mainstream (that is, non-rightwing) media.
Jacob
1:38
Do you have takeaways from the Cape so far this summer? In this draft class, ‘25, or ‘26?
Keith Law
1:38
I have absolutely no idea what's happening on the Cape. I am focused on the draft that is happening in three days.
Mucho
1:38
Are teams concerned that Gillen might have chronic injury issues, or just that his arm hasn’t bounced back from the labrum tear?
Keith Law
1:39
That his arm hasn't bounced back. I haven't heard "chronic injury issues" from anyone.
Dan S
1:39
Even with his hitting struggles, how many teams would want KeBryan Hayes in a trade?  Is he someone you'd trade away or trade for?
Keith Law
1:39
I highly doubt he's available but I bet you there are teams looking at him as a buy-low guy of sorts. The Pirates have had so many hitters underperform in the majors, especially in terms of power and hard contact, in the last decade.
1:40
Also, I think almost every team without an established 3b would want him.
Danny
1:41
Are you surprised by the links to Tommy White and Blake Burke to the Yankees in the first round? Last time they went something akin to that route in the first round (or first pick) was Eric Jagielo in 2013.
Keith Law
1:41
Yes but 1) they tend to go their own way in the draft and 2) I've heard them linked to a lot of names who'd be for later rounds, I think. They may just be holding their cards close to the vest on the first round. I know they value exit velo a ton but Oppenheimer usually prefers athletes.
Danny
1:41
Do you think Dakota Jordan could/is likely to fall to the Yankees at 53?
Keith Law
1:42
Yes.
The Darkness
1:42
Who are some of the really high-grade character guys this year, a la Nick Solak from a few years back?
Keith Law
1:42
I absolutely could not care less about who the nicest white guys in the draft are, sorry.
Jim
1:42
Trump looks and sounds like the same guy he was in 2015, for better and worse. Biden in 2015 vs. Biden in 2024 looks like he's had a lobotomy in the interim. It's obvious why one is a much bigger issue.
Keith Law
1:42
Trump's threat was insufficiently covered in 2015-16, too.
Matt
1:42
One huge concern of mine is Project 2025. Sooner or later the GOP WILL win- whether it's this year or 4-8 years from now. And the christofascism will be implemented into our laws.
Keith Law
1:44
It's already happening in the south. Oklahoma forcing the Bible into schools - although the late Daniel Dennett probably would have approved, knowing kids will read it and see how often it contradicts itself etc. - and Louisiana forcing the Ten Commandments into classrooms ... it's all indoctrination. And I thought these folks were against indoctrination in public schools!
Josh
1:44
Is Kristian Campbell becoming a GUY?
Keith Law
1:44
Yes.
Tim
1:44
The consensus on this years draft is its not very deep.  So if you are a HS player who gets drafted in the middle to late rounds does it make sense to go to college with the assumption 3 years from now will probably also not be a very deep draft?
Keith Law
1:45
I wouldn't take that bet. Three years is an eon in baseball terms. Charlie Condon wasn't on the radar out of HS; Travis Bazzana wasn't in the same hemisphere as the top HS guys in 2021, literally.
Brian in NoVA
1:45
The main difference between Trump now vs in 2016 is that the institutions and supposed safeguards put in place by the Constitution have been greatly weakened by the Courts. There will also be no adults in the room to slow him down this time if he gets elected.
Keith Law
1:45
This is also accurate. The adults in the room will be enabling him and the Project 2025 people.
1:46
Honestly, the Democrats should be pushing two messages - abortion rights and Project 2025.
1:47
A few folks have asked some character/makeup questions about specific draft players. I'm avoiding those because I have made that mistake in the past, spreading that kind of gossip, and while sometimes it's right, it's unverifiable and I don't want to hurt anyone's draft stock based on innuendo.
Danny
1:47
You saw Agustin Ramirez a couple weeks ago and I think you said at the time he looked rough at the plate. Any feedback since and how legit is his offensive profile?
Keith Law
1:47
Haven't seen him since - and I just said he had a rough night. Didn't evaluate him either way.
Chris
1:47
I think your response of it being Harris or no one to replace Biden demonstrates the problem with the Democratic Party and underscores what got them into this mess to begin with: namely, they treat the nomination as a coronation rather than an open process. It’s also why we got Clinton in 2016 when Biden decided not to run. It leaves voters feeling left out of the process and taken for granted.
Keith Law
1:48
I'm saying Harris or no one as a practical matter - if the party passes her over, they risk alienating large groups of multiple voter blocks they need to win. The time for a larger pool of candidates has passed.
UGW
1:48
Ready to believe in Jake Irvin?
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