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Klawchat 7/11/24
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Keith Law
1:48
Maybe when he shows he can get LHB out at a better clip. Guys with large platoon splits don't last as starters until they close them.
Danny
1:48
How concerned should we be about Roderick Arias and Spencer Jones's K rates?
Keith Law
1:49
Way more on Jones due to his age. Arias would be in Staten Island if Rob Manfred hadn't gone all General Sherman through short-season ball.
Salty
1:50
Keith - when watching upper-minors games, do you notice any talent or maybe diminished player development due to the contraction of teams a few years ago, or is that too general of a topic to comment on?
Keith Law
1:50
The rumor is MLB is going to try to cut another level from the minors. I think that's the absolute stupidest idea I've heard in 20 years. You're destroying the product. We are already seeing the harm done to players from the loss of a level (technically two, advanced rookie + short-season). So ... let's make the problem worse?
That answer applies to both questions.
Alex
1:50
Sebastian Walcott- on schedule for an 18 year old in High-A?
Keith Law
1:50
Ahead.
Mike J
1:50
Hey Keith, thoughts on what Leo Jimenez can do if he's the starting SS rest of the way due to Bichette missing time with injury or getting dealt? Is a league average WAR (good defense, below average bat) reasonable or do you think he'll struggle out of the gate?
Keith Law
1:50
I don't predict what guys will do in half a season but I think long term he's a regular or better.
Jimmy
1:52
I would guess cintje goes before brecht just bc brecht viewed as rp and?
Keith Law
1:53
Brecht isn't viewed as a reliever, but he has more reliever risk because of his lack of command/control and the need to help him get a more consistent arm swing. He's raw for a college arm, but has big upside in his size, athleticism, and arm strength (both on the FB and SL, so this isn't just pure velo).
Tim
1:53
So the Democrats should run a fear-based campaign centered around the idea that tens of millions of their fellow citizens are trying to turn the country into Nazi Germany, while providing little to no positive messaging about their candidate or his/her plans for the future?
Keith Law
1:54
Yeah, Tim. That's exactly what I meant. 🙄
Salty
1:55
More contraction is wild.  Everyone I know with kids that have taken them to the Lakewood Blue Claws talks about how great a time everyone had, and I'm sure that's a sentiment shared by many other ML parks across the country.  There has to be a better way to either market or support that product then just letting them die out.
Keith Law
1:56
I know some people at MLB look at that and say, 'why are we paying the players for minor league owners to reap the profits?' instead of saying, hey, these teams are providing us with a service of value, giving prospects a place to play, where we just have to pay their salaries but don't have to worry about running entire teams.
Mike
1:56
Was going to ask about the Phillies and Vance Honeycutt and realized you mocked him to the Phillies this morning. Teams really that concerned he won't hit enough in the pros that he falls that far despite all of the other tools?
Keith Law
1:56
I don't think it's "falling" ... as far as I can tell, no hitter has ever gone in the first round after striking out 80+ times that spring.
RoyalBlue
1:56
I read Hader comparisons with Hagen Smith. Do you see reliever risk?
Keith Law
1:57
I'm sorry, but there is no comparison here. That's just bad.
Danny
1:57
What chance (is there a chance) Waldschmidt makes it to the Yankees?
Keith Law
1:57
Highly doubt it.
Kendall
1:57
I think one of the big issues is that the whole republic was based on everyone acting in good faith.  It’s not like the Supreme Court ever had an army available to enforce the Civil Rights Act or Roe.  Thankfully, everyone mostly did act in good faith for a long time, but it seems now that one party has decided to stop.
Keith Law
1:57
Yep. And those SCOTUS justices appear to be available for purchase.
Kevin S.
1:58
There was an open primary process.  Nobody of substance lined up to run against Biden, and quite frankly I can't think of a single example of when a serious primary challenge worked out for the incumbent party (whether successful or not).  At this point, there are practical and structural reasons why harris is the only alternative if Biden withdraws.
Keith Law
1:58
Yes. There may be a really strong case here that Biden and his camp should have planned for a strategic withdrawal from the 2024 race last fall, but they didn't, so the options right now are limited.
Michael
1:58
I know Amaya didn't have a ton of at bats in the minors but do you see any chance that he develops into an acceptable everyday catcher? He's looked terrible all years.
Keith Law
1:59
I am really surprised at how bad he's looked at the plate. I know a lot of people who at least thought he'd hit for some power/hard contact, and I would put myself in the group too. He's done none of that.
Adam
1:59
Does AJSS have a 3rd starter future? If not what is he missing?
Keith Law
2:00
A viable third pitch.
2:01
Gotta go see a man about a dog ... no, really, I have to go to the vet to pick up medicine for the dog. I'll be contributing to the Athletic's live draft blog throughout Sunday night and will write up my thoughts on day one for subscribers for Monday morning, and if I have anything new at all I'll update the mock before the draft begins too. Thanks as always for reading!
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