You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Klawchat 7/16/21
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page
Keith Law
3:30
Some teams weigh that stuff extremely heavily, some don't care at all. I would consider this kind of makeup - he made it very clear he's a student of the game and determined to improve even in small areas. I wouldn't be as concerned with leadership skills; not every player has to be a leader and I think in general teams that do weigh that characteristic end up putting too much weight on it because it is impossible to objectively measure.
Reb Wiseau
3:31
Will Marcelo Mayer need appreciably more money over slot to sign with the Sox?
Keith Law
3:31
I can't imagine why.
Pat
3:31
Did the Cubs just get Bryce Ball Player, or Bryce Broken Prospect?
Keith Law
3:31
He's flawed, but has real power. The lost year really kills players like him.
Cole
3:32
As an Angels fan, I was pretty upset with Bachman over Rocker at 9 when it first happened, but the more I look into Bachman, the more intrigued I am. What are your thoughts on that specific decision?
Keith Law
3:32
Rocker is the better prospect, but by a small margin.
3:33
He's also never missed a start, as far as I know, and Bachman did.
Sean
3:33
Thoughts on detmers at the futures game?  When will he be ready for the major league rotation?
Keith Law
3:33
He was in my Futures Game writeup. I would absolutely call him up this year.
Hanyo
3:34
I know it's early for the 2022 draft, but since Conor Prielipp is most likely out for the entire 2022 season, how would you expect teams to look at him draft wise barring any setbacks? 1st round? Or is it more likely he comes back for the 2023 season to prove himself and that he's healthy?
Keith Law
3:35
Teams really have no looks at him in college - 4 starts last year, 3 abbreviated ones this year, and then he blew out. The timing was terrible for him ... but if ever there was a prospect who should consider the Draft League, it's him. He'd be 13-14 months off surgery then. He could go to the Cape too, as long as he's healthy.
Schmo
3:36
Do you see the draft being longer than 20 rounds in the future? I don't see a reason for it, considering the cut short season leagues
Keith Law
3:36
Nope. It might end up shorter.
Kevin
3:36
how high as a newly drafted prospect debuted on your top 100 prospects? Has one every been a top 10 prospect?
Keith Law
3:38
Yes, almost certain that's happened with Harper & Strasburg. I'm looking Harper up now...
3:39
Harper was #2 going into 2011, after Trout. That's the record.
JP
3:39
The Braves have had many pitching prospects throughout their rebuild and recent success, with Muller maybe the last of the group from the rebuild years. Is Fried, Anderson and some of Soroka about right for what should have been expected from that group? It feels 1-2 players too low.
Keith Law
3:39
I hoped they'd get more out of that group - Toussaint, Wright, Wilson, Newcomb - but the clock hasn't run out on them all, either. Maybe one or more of those guys find success elsewhere.
Schmo
3:39
What are your thoughts on a strategy about drafting guys after the 10th round? Think teams should go for a mix of unsignable, fringe signable, and signable guys, go for mostly fringe signable guys since it won't lose any bonus money to not sign them, or go for mostly signable guys?
Keith Law
3:40
In the 11th and 12th rounds you should just take the best guys still on the board and offer them all your extra pool money, if you have any. Or, if they change their minds at the last second, you hold their rights.
3:41
After that just take the best guys you can for the limit and for whom you have playing time.
Joel
3:41
Keith, there’s been a lot of reporting about what a hard worker Henry Davis is, with a true drive to get better and maximize his talent. Honestly, I’ve always been somewhat skeptical about these accounts because they tend to feed into the traditional sports narrative of hard-working white guys vs. people of color relying on their natural ability. When you were working for the Blue Jays did you try to assess intangibles like attitude and, if so, how did you do it?
Keith Law
3:42
It's more than that - players of color are far too often assumed to not work hard. The right way to interpret those data would be to gather all of it from your scouts, and then check to see if they have any implicit biases and adjust those makeup grades accordingly, That is, if Johnny Scout always has Black players' makeup grades 5 points below those of white players, you adjust so they're on the same scale. (And then maybe show Johnny the data and explain what's going on.)
Sam
3:42
Where does Mayer fit into Boston’s rankings, for you? New #1?
Keith Law
3:43
I'm going to write a piece for next week on which teams just drafted their new #1 prospects. It's fewer than usual, I think, in part because you had teams drafting high who already have elite prospects in their systems (Detroit, Baltimore).
TorkelsonMVP2028
3:43
If you were the Tigers GM, who would you have taken at 3? I feel like the selection of Jobe is textbook base rate neglect. The opportunity cost just isn't there. Mayer or Kahlil Watson were my preferences.
Keith Law
3:43
Yep, Mayer would have been my pick.
Warbiscuit
3:43
I know you're not a fan of comparing your lists compared to others, but MLB.com and BA and a few others had Ryan Bliss ranked around the 60's-70's range while you had him ranked 38 in your list and mocked him as the 28 pick. Do you think he will stick at SS(where others don't think he will) or do you really believe in the bat? I know you liked he proved himself in the SEC.
Keith Law
3:44
I think he stays at shortstop, enough of a chance that it justified the higher ranking. The mocks were based on teams showing interest, though, not my personal opinion.
Preston
3:44
My 9-year-old just finished first year of kid pitch and got to play some catcher. But I'm burying the lede. He's lefthanded! Are you coming across any LH catchers? And what's the rationale against it from a strategic standpoint? There are so many RH hitters it would disrupt throwing out baserunners, though nobody steals anymore ...
Keith Law
3:44
If your kid is LH and throws hard at all, he's going to end up on the mound.
Nathan
3:44
There are some players that have been openly against vaccines (Simmons comes to mind).  Do you think less of them as a result?
Keith Law
3:44
I think less of them as people, not as players.
Mac
3:45
its fairly obvious money is the biggest factor in the MLB draft. What has to be changed to make talent the biggest factor?
Keith Law
3:45
Hard slotting would do that. It would also completely fuck the players over, especially the best ones.
Zach
3:45
Which twins arm of winder, balazovic or Duran do you have the most faith in?
Keith Law
3:45
Balazovic, Winder, Duran, in that order.
Bob
3:45
Has Vlad exceeded your expectations at this point or simply lived up to what you expected?
Keith Law
3:45
This is what he was supposed to be. Just took him an extra year or so.
Connecting…