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Klawchat 7/16/21
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Buster Bluth
3:45
Do you consider yourself high, low or about even with other scouts on Jarren Duran?  And does it seem odd to you to make the call when Kikè was finally starting to hit a little bit to go with the excellent defense?
Keith Law
3:47
Kiké is who he is. What he did in the last two weeks doesn't change that at all.
Brett
3:47
Best chance of becoming a GUY between Tyler Freeman, Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Volpe?
Keith Law
3:47
Volpe, Gunnar, Freeman, in that order.
Sam Tiger
3:47
What do you think the upside is of Dillion Dingler?
Keith Law
3:47
All-Star catcher.
Guest
3:47
Your Yankees review was better than I expected (given that Sweeney was something like 89th on your top 100 and I don't think Selvidge or Beck were in your top 100). Do you get the sense that Selvidge (and maybe Fitts) gets any overslot deal? Do they have a chance of signing either of the post 10th round high school Seans? (Hermann and Hard)
Keith Law
3:48
Selvidge and Fitts were better prospects in October than now, and I think they have to take less than they probably expected. I wonder if they can sign Hard because he's a local kid and played on their scout teams. They were one of the only teams scouting him the day I saw him.
Arnold
3:48
Will Bednar's draft stock rose through the College World Series as he pitched the Mississippi State Bulldogs to the national title, but with only two proven good pitches--fastball and slider--does he have enough for the major league level or can he develop his change-up that he did not have to use much in college?
Keith Law
3:49
I don't really believe his stock rose then - he wasn't as good as he was in his last outing every time out.
I wrote about his strengths and weaknesses in the Giants team report (linked up top).
Eh Team
3:49
Did Arizona really pick Lawlar without a deal in place?
Keith Law
3:50
Maybe. I mean, if he wants to walk away from $5.7MM+ and go to college, go for it. I don't think any player has ever turned down a bonus that large.
Owen Sharts Stanalyticsplant
3:50
Is there any hope for an AFL season this year?
Keith Law
3:51
I haven't heard anything yet. I am afraid they'll cancel it to save the $4.73 they spend on the league each year.
The Jolly Roger
3:51
Adam Frazier for Nick Madrigal. Who says no?
Keith Law
3:51
Man, that is really interesting. I would guess the White Sox would say no ... but it seems good for both sides, especially with Chicago in great position to win this year.
Bob
3:54
Gunnar Hogland might be a great pick for the Jays at 19, but what is the track record of pitchers who have had TJ in college?
Keith Law
3:55
I don't believe it's any different from pitchers who've had it in the minors.
Neez Duts
3:55
Why is the futures game just 7 innings? That maybe gives you one at bat for the prospects who start out on the bench. I hope they go back to 9 inning games in the future (totally intended)
Keith Law
3:55
Because of fears they wouldn't have enough pitching for 9 innings. I hate the 7-inning format and hate that it's on TV against a full slate of 15 MLB games.
3:56
Just do it another night. Do it Monday afternoon. Do it literally any other time the field is available.
Stevo
3:56
Hi Keith, thanks for the chat. How surprised were you that Rocker landed in the Mets' lap?
Keith Law
3:56
I wasn't, I mentioned that possibility at least a month ago. Everyone knew it was in play, at least.
Alex
3:56
Do you think the Orioles' farm system has improved overall since the start of the season with the positive developments of Rodriguez, Henderson, Rutschman, Hall (barring health) etc.? What is their biggest need?
Keith Law
3:57
Yes, so far, so good, other than Kjerstad (totally beyond their control). Solid start for Joey Ortiz too. They still need more pitching, but who doesn't?
buccoguin
3:57
Do teams have "agreements" or at least detailed conversations about demands with certain players.  IE did the Pirates have a good idea what Chandler and White would require to get them out of their football commitments?
Keith Law
3:58
Oh absolutely.
Tom
3:58
We should be expecting a very different Kelenic this time around, right?
Keith Law
3:58
Yes, I predict he has at least one hit in his first 35 at bats.
Guest
3:58
Damon Oppenheimer said that Brendon Beck is a guy who could move quickly and doesn't have much to work on- just get innings. Do you agree and does that timeline sound like 1st half of next year for a debut?
Keith Law
3:58
I agree. Low ceiling, high floor.
John
3:58
You had Jarren Duran at #93 on your prospects list in the offseason. Approximately how far would he have moved up the list if you updated the ranking now?
Keith Law
3:58
I'm updating it next week. I'll have to decide if I include players in the majors who haven't exceeded rookie limits, though.
BD
3:58
Nats draft you said was low ceiling?   Why?
Keith Law
3:59
I said that because it was low ceiling (after House, who is all ceiling, no floor).
buccoguin
3:59
Thoughts on Mitch Keller at this point in the season?  Was he overhyped or just a rough start to his career?
Keith Law
4:00
He has needed a pitch for lefties for four years now, and we've seen no change (pun intended). He seems like a good candidate for a splitter, which would help solve the problem.
Brett
4:00
The Royals have been heavily criticized for taking prep arms with their early picks this draft. Dayton Moore stated they did this because they didn’t want college guys with “4th or 5th starter ceilings.” Besides seeming like an unnecessary shot at his 2018 class of college arms, do you see this as being a valid defense? Were the college arms available to KC at 7 “4th or 5th starter ceiling” types? I certainly hadn’t seen that ceiling placed on Rocker.
Keith Law
4:00
Even if that's true, it omits the part about college starter prospects often having higher floors.
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