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Klawchat 7/8/21
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Keith Law
2:05
I don't think so. He's been awful since those first few games.
Mike
2:05
How you feel about drafting high school players in the 1st round?  It seems to take 4-5 years to get to the majors.
Keith Law
2:06
Position players, sure. Plenty of them turn into stars and their attrition rate isn't any worse than that of college guys. Pitchers, though, I wouldn't ever do it in the top 15.
Guest
2:06
Looking for any Phillies draft info.  You previously mentioned Jonathan Vastine as a kid they were connected to (maybe in the second round).  Anything changed with that?  And is there any chance Tyler Black or Trey Sweeney make it to the Phillies at 2-49?
Keith Law
2:06
No chance. Both those kids go in the late first, I think. Sweeney could even go in the teens, even though he didn't face any good pitching all year and isn't a shortstop.
Orioles
2:07
What is your opinion on the drafting strategy of not paying top 1st round money ?  (Seems like a team would rather have Martin than Kjerstad and better 2nd round). Explain the strategy
Keith Law
2:07
The strategy makes sense on paper, but you have to get the right guys with later over-slot picks.
Mike
2:07
Keith, I know you don’t draft for need, but due to lack of arms in upper minors, don’t the Mets have to take a college arm unless Jobe or one of the shortstops fall?
Keith Law
2:07
The Mets do not have to do that, no. Also, Jobe is not the answer.
2:08
Jackson Jobe might be a stud. He's also a high school pitcher who throws hard. The odds of that class of player succeeding are lower than the odds of any other class of player.
John
2:08
Is it true that most MLB teams only expect 1-2 players from the Draft  to be a consistent contributor(s) in the MLB?
Keith Law
2:08
If you get two regulars, that's a good draft.
Hinkie
2:08
What are your thoughts on the MLB Draft League?  What player(s) helped themselves the most by playing in that league this spring/summer?
Keith Law
2:09
It didn't work. I don't know of anyone who really helped himself there. The big pop-up name of the summer was Rohan Handa, the Yalie (sneers) in the NECBL.
Aaron C.
2:09
Is "Stick to Baseball" and the Saturday links post a victim of your current schedule? Will they be back after the draft? I fucking loved them if you can't tell.
Keith Law
2:09
Yes, but with the draft & some (good) personal stuff, I've been way too busy.
Kyle
2:09
Klaw, how low could Rocker fall in this draft? Any chance he falls to the Mets at 10?
Keith Law
2:09
Yes, there's a chance. I think 10/11 is his absolute floor.
Ben (MN)
2:09
Any non-baseball vacation spots you are looking to hit now that it is more feasible to do so?
Keith Law
2:11
We've been talking about going to Wales to visit my wife's cousins there for a year, but I think that'll have to wait until 2022. (I'm not going there in the winter unless absolutely necessary. Dw i ddim yn hoffi'r gaeaf yng nghymru. Mae'n rhy oer a rhy gymylog.) And eventually we'd like to take that honeymoon to South America ...
SG in SD
2:11
Thanks for the chat Keith! When will your next mock be up?
Keith Law
2:11
Tomorrow, as it says up top.
nate
2:11
How do you think NIL would effect high school players? Do you worry that two sport guys might go to college just for football because there's more money there?
Keith Law
2:12
Those are the guys most affected (helped) by this - the two-sport guys who could make real money off their likenesses in football or basketball. Maybe one baseball player a year is like that, but will he make enough via NIL to pass up $5MM now (compared to the NIL income plus whatever bonus he expects in 2-3 years)?
droopydave
2:12
Have you ever been hunting?  Would you consider it?
Keith Law
2:12
No. No.
Steve
2:12
Hi Keith, thanks for the chat. Do you think the NYM go top heavy again like that past few years ( Allan and Ginn ) or revert back to normal with Alderson/Scott ?
Keith Law
2:13
Same guys running the draft and you can't argue with their results. Look at how much of the current team came through their amateur work. I bet they do the same - go big on someone in the 2nd/3rd rounds and then save money elsewhere. But at 10 the only name I've heard that would be a discount would be Colson Montgomery, and I think they'll have better guys available.
Bob
2:13
After a brutal 1st month, Pedro Leon has been pretty good. Is he one of the most intriguing players at the Futures Game? Do you think he’ll hit enough to get to his tools in games?
Keith Law
2:14
Yes, and yes. Really looking forward to seeing him.
Chris
2:14
Which of the tier of 8 (rocker, leiter, jobe, house, mayer, Lawler, Watson, Davis) are most likely to slip? What's the latest you could see one of them falling to?
Keith Law
2:14
Rocker I mentioned. Jobe could go 3, or he could slip out of the top ten.
Drew
2:14
I know he's young and I'm not too worried, but I'm not too familiar with him so I wanted to get your opinion on the Cards' Johan Oviedo.  Makeup seems good, and that slider could  be fun but the lack of control is tough to watch, even if it's expected for a kid that young.
Keith Law
2:15
He's 23 and he's never been good anywhere. He's just big. I'm not a big believer.
Darren
2:15
Hi Keith,
   Would be interested to hear your thoughts on children playing baseball that have some anxiety. Our son got hit a few times early this season and now is afraid of getting hit. He steps back when he swings and if he stands in there, he steps out of the box at anything close to being inside. Have you had issues with anxiety going back to full stadiums? We still have not been to a game yet. Hope all is well
Keith Law
2:15
That's a question for a medical professional, but I'm going to guess they'll at least argue for some exposure therapy.
Bryan
2:15
With Jarren Duran not making the Olympic roster, do you believe a call-up to Boston is imminent?
Keith Law
2:15
Yes.
mRNA BTN162b2
2:15
Have you heard/seen any more about Noelvi Marte? Worth the trip to Modesto?
Keith Law
2:15
Nothing new, just that he is what we expected so far, and I'm bummed he's not in the Futures Game.
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