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Klawchat 7/8/21
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Mac
2:29
Do you think MLB will keep a mid July draft date?
Keith Law
2:29
Yes. It's not like Manfred ever listens to any feedback from club execs or scouts.
Jason S
2:29
Do you think Jazz always as swing and miss issues? His swing looks so quiet to me. Is it just pitch recognition?
Keith Law
2:30
Yes and maybe some inexperience. I think he's going to end up a superstar at least in some years. He'll be worth The Wait.
Mac
2:32
Madden or Bednar?
Keith Law
2:32
Bednar for me.
Uli Jon
2:32
Any chance the Giants go pitcher, or are they committed to position players and hoping Farhan and the ballpark can continue to weave magic with former prospects?
Keith Law
2:32
I don't think they're committed either way.
ChrisP
2:32
Do you think Adrian Del Castillo can stay behind the dish, and if not, then what would his ceiling be?
Keith Law
2:32
At the end of the day (spring), no, I don't think he will, and unless someone gets him to power, he's a bench guy.
2:33
Now, there's probably power in there, but he's a swing overhaul guy who needs a position. I don't take that guy in the first round.
Justin
2:33
do any of the prospects in this draft crack your overall top 40 or 50?
Keith Law
2:33
Yes, at least 5-6.
Pat
2:33
It's interesting to hear you say the Red Sox are choosing out of conventional candidates after what they did last year with Yorke. No chance they just go way off script again?
Keith Law
2:33
Not at pick 4, I don't think. They picked later last year.
James
2:33
How worrisome is Matt Manning right now? He can't get anyone to swing and miss, has no secondary stuff, and no spin on his fastball.
Keith Law
2:33
He was hurt last year in August and hasn't looked right at all this year. Something's up.
Kevin
2:33
Do you think it is better for Triston Casas' development to go with team USA to Tokyo, or to stay in AA for the next month+?
Keith Law
2:33
Staying in AA.
ChrisP
2:33
What's happened to Gore this year? Is he hurt or tinkering with his mechanics?
Keith Law
2:34
Blister. The Padres are also working on his mechanics but every time his blisters return this happens.
Brian
2:34
I have a hard time believing Detroit would take Jobe at 3 if Leiter and Mayer are gone. Who should they take in that situation? One of the shortstops or Davis?
Keith Law
2:34
Jobe or House. Not Davis.
Danny
2:34
Any idea what's up with Alexander Vizciano and TJ Sikkema for the Yankees? Haven't pitched at all this season. Are they expected to come back this season?
Keith Law
2:35
Sikkema has had a "lat" injury for like three months.
Rick Sanchez
2:35
Baz, Cavalli, and Detmers have all seen their prospect status soar this year. Is it too aggressive to say these guys have ace upside?
Keith Law
2:35
Detmers is hitting 97 now. He's way better than we thought.
Appa Yip Yip
2:35
I read that draft pick trading was nixed in the 80s because the commissioner was worried cheap teams would trade all their picks so they never had to pay draft bonuses, which is hilariously on brand for baseball, but do you know if it's actually true?
Keith Law
2:35
That was the rationale, but it turned out to be totally wrong. Cheap teams want more picks. The draft remains the best value in baseball.
xxx(yyy)
2:38
Wife and I are taking a trip (long weekend) to one of the following cities late this year, which of these do you (most) recommend? Charleston, Denver, New Orleans, Portland or somewhere else? Mainly a food/exploring trip so open to other places!
Keith Law
2:38
Charleston is amazing. Portland might be the best combo of food + stuff to do, though.
Drew
2:40
Have you followed any of the Bret Weinstein / anti-vax / Ivermectin saga? It's kind of sad to see a scientist use his credentials to spread such paranoid tripe.
Keith Law
2:40
Yes. Not sure if he's really lost his mind, or if this is just a grift. He's a good example of someone on the political left who has delved into pseudoscience and anti-vaxxerism, though. It's not solely the province of the right.
Brad
2:40
On the podcast, you mentioned Benny Montgomery as possibly a Rockies pick. Would he be a reach there? BTW, I will see you Monday, and I don't need a note from you to miss work for the event.
Keith Law
2:41
Oh cool, I assume your boss is coming too, then. It would be a reach but perhaps an under-slot pick.
Roy
2:41
Have you always felt averse to taking HS pitchers early? I thought you were on board with Hunter Greene going top 2 a few years back--this is not an argument, by the way, but a genuine question. I wasn't sure if there are exceptional talents, or if I was wrong about that, or if this is a more recent development in drafting strategy. Thanks!
Keith Law
2:42
No, this is somewhat new for me, after I looked at the data while writing The Inside Game and realized just how significant the differences between classes of players were. It's not just a scouting axiom; high school pitchers really are way riskier.
2:43
That's all for this week. I'm still not 100% sure what I'll be doing during the draft itself, but I'll be at the Futures Game on Sunday and will make myself available on the concourse some time between the end of BP and the first pitch, plus I'll be at the Tattered Cover on Monday at noon MT for a talk nd book signing. I hope to see many of you there!
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