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Longenhagen and McDaniel Prospect Chat
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:48
And for those who aren't following the 2018 draft super closely, Turang is somewhere in the top 10-15 overall right now
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
A little old for the class so not a surprise he's popped up a little earlier than his peers. Plus run, 45 or 50 raw right now, good chance to stay up the middle, some bat control. Lots of the profile still shifting around but up the middle guy with chance to hit and hit for some power, agree he's likely first half of first rd
Jeff
12:49
How worried are you about Estevan Florial? Is the defense good enough even if his bat never fully gets there?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:49
Somewhat. Think both the approach and the swing itself are issues. He's 60 raw (at least) with 70 run so if the light turns on it'll be crazy, but it's not on right now.
Magic 8 Ball
12:50
Does Jake Peter have a decent chance this year to take over Chase Utley's role in LA as a left-handed hitting second baseman/pinch hitter?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:50
We both wrote about this right after the deal. Spoiler: we both think there's a chance https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/scouting-the-prospects-received-by-dod...
Colin
12:51
Gentlemen - Does Michel Baez have a #2 starter ceiling, and how aggressively do the Padres move him through their system?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
Just on stuff yeah, that's probably where I'd say he maxes out. Potential plus-plus fastball, plus change, plus command, avg breaking ball.  But also haven't seen a guy this size with this kind of velo and command already, so maybe there's more in there.
Ham Bone
12:53
I have a 3 year old beef with Kiley. Why didn't you accept my Snapchat friend request? I took it personal....and I send great snaps
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:53
Just added all my requests so I think I fixed this? You'll have trouble beating my current top snap friend Chris Mitchell
C-Dawg
12:54
Which second round outfielder of Fairchild, Waters, or Diechmann has the highest floor? Ceiling?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:54
Like Waters wide base of skills/tools, but for what I think you're asking it has to be Deichmann. Bonkers LH power, raked pro/amateur in 2017 and is already 22, should move fast. Also is just fine on D in RF so no DH/1B concern either.
TKDC
12:55
Would an Inciarte, Acuna, Pache outfield be a contender for best ever (defense only)?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:55
Don't have great context for this all time, but Inciarte is a 7 (maybe 8?) in CF, Pache is a 7 in CF and Acuna is probably a 6 in a corner. Anyone have other candidates?
Drew
12:55
People always talk about pitches with late break/late movement. Do pitchers have control over when their pitches break? And do some pitches have problems with their pitches moving early?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
Would think this largely due to some combination of spin axis, release point variables and extension. Not sure pitches move sooner for some hurlers or if it's just perceived, visually.
Drew
12:56
Who are some of your favorite super young latin prospects to break out and go from blob-of-tools to exciting prospect (ala Acuna, Robles, etc)
Eric A Longenhagen
12:56
Lazarito
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
Physics would say it's impossible. Obviously if scouts and hitters are seeing it and hitters are reacting to it, then it's something, even if just a visual trick
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
^ Regarding Lazarito? Yes.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
lol physics has lots of thoughts on lazarito here lemme get neil degrasse tyson on the phone and hold it up to the chat window
Colin
12:58
Will we see Patrick Weigel come back as a starter or reliever?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:59
Don't know the plans but I would put him in the pen and let him go mid to upper 90s and plus slider. He has and avg CB and CH and throws strikes, so wouldn't rule out SP but I think his best role after the TJ will be potential multi inning RP. Okay, no more Braves questions
Slurve
12:59
Who is the most exciting Mariner prospect these days?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:59
I think Mike Ford is exciting from a 'What the hell is this guy?' perspective and Evan White is exciting because he's a weird profile. Upside/ Tools-wise, Lewis is still exciting, as are Sam Carlson and Julio Rodriguez.
Erik
1:01
Sixto Sanchez is just 6 feet tall and throws very hard. That almost always leads to constant talk of him eventually moving to the bullpen, but I don't hear much of that with him. Why is that?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
Three pitches and has at least early stages of feel of a starter. Still not a big dude but hey Sonny Gray can do it so that alone isn't enough.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:02
He's short but not small, plus athlete, no command issues nor is he mechanically violent. Up to 102, sits 98+, deserves all the love.
Eric
1:02
Were you using "on blast" in the slangy way of sharing damaging/embarrassing information about NYY? Rest of your comment seemed complimentary.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
Nah just didn't want to say everything I've heard/know details-wise
Andy
1:03
Kiley.  How do you pronounce your name?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:03
Riley with a K seems to be the easiest way to explain it
Alberta clipper
1:04
Is mike Soroka the next great Canadian pitcher
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:04
Him vs. Quantrill will be fun to watch the next few years
Billy Beane
1:05
So in the future there will be 2 prospect chats? Because that sounds good tome.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:05
Yes, just combined today since Eric valued the White Sox over the readers yesterday FOR SHAME
Eric A Longenhagen
1:05
It's true, I'm sorry.
Erik
1:05
"So the upside (which increasingly is less important these days)". That's an interesting statement. What does it mean? What evidence is there that that's true?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
Covered a little in both of my last two article. It's always been a little overrated when someone like us would say hey this guy will be a 50 and might be a 60, that's his upside. Then he turns into an 80--like Cliff Lee, for example. So what good is having false precision of upside or ceiling when Jose Ramirez (CLE) can just bust right through it. I believe Cameron has said (and I know I have) that every player's upside is 80. That's obnoxious but also true. So parsing that this trade was good/bad bc Clint Frazier's upside is a 55 or a 65 or whatever you think it is...it's all kinda silly when used in that way.
1:08
But as a way, like with Nate Pearson, to communicate hey this guy is far away but there's a wide range of possibilities...that is instructive
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