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Longenhagen and McDaniel Prospect Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
12:23
Miguel Amaya didn't do much on paper but scouts love his glove, athleticism and frame.
LudeBurger
12:24
omgomgomg this is HUGE
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:24
Agreed
Derek
12:24
What are your thoughts on Clint Frazier? It seems like the only thing holding him back is recognition of breaking balls. Do you agree? And do you think this is something he should be able to improve on with reps?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:24
The power, pitch selection and even game power are all real but, yes, the chasing of off-speed pitches out of the zone is the issue
12:25
Often this is not fixable, it depends on what the root of the problem is
but if he's 45 bat, 55-60 game power and avg in corner OF that's still a really good player, but more of a 55 FV
976
12:26
Who's the better prospect, Willi Castro or Domingo Leyba?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:27
I prefer Castro. Leyba continues to be an interesting analytical prospect but scouts aren't as on him.
Sixto
12:27
Your thoughts on Nate Pearson's upside / long-term role?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:29
I may have seen his best outing last spring, so I may be beating the drum of the upside on Pearson for now. Mid to upper 90's and flashed plus slider and changeup while throwing enough strikes. The scouts were all looking at each other like (choose your favorite OMG emoji). So the upside (which increasingly is less important these days) is soooo high. If he starts or relieves or how close to that level he can consistently get is the question and we'll learn a lot about that in the next year. Very high variance, along with the new velocity issue that sometimes can cause problems.
Rocky Mt High
12:29
Where do you project Yonathan Daza and do you think he can hit in the bigs? Thanks
Eric A Longenhagen
12:32
I kind of like Daza. Plus run, swing has some natural loft, he has good feel for the barrel. Swing is also long, he's a little over-aggressive and he was old for the Cal League so take the stat line with a grain of salt. For now think he's a 4th OF but he's definitely a prospect.
TornUCL
12:33
How much should I worry about pitching prospects who have had Tommy John? I know the recovery rate is crazy high but does it also indicate a higher probability of a second surgery?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:34
I used to worry about this because of what it said about future injury or chance to go deep into games, reliever risk, etc.
Another Dan
12:34
No longer a prospect, but what are your impressions of Jharel Cotton? Still looking at a #4 starter long term? Thank you!
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:35
That said, with the game now moving to less 200 IP starters, relievers having outsized postseason impact, etc. teams are now looking more for high octane arms and 3 years from now or 200 IP upside are less important, thus I feel like TJ is less important.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:35
Still like Cotton but his fastball plays way down due to poor extension and he might not have the command to get away with what is essentially a 40 fastball after you back out like 3mph of perceived velo. Might need to incorporate his secondaries more heavily, but less fastballs might mean his changeup is less effective.
Drew
12:35
Who are you more concerned about: Jay Groome or Kyle Lewis?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:36
Groome. Obviously pitcher is almost always the right answer, but I have a feeling about Lewis figuring things out
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
Lewis for me. Was rushed back from the knee injury too soon, has had several aborted attempts to get going again. Like three now.
Frank
12:37
Is Albert Abreu a legit top prospect or just Yankee hype?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:37
I'm in, though he was one of top three arms in AFL. Up to 99, chance for plus breaking ball and plus changeup. Might be 'pen arm but if he is he's lights out. If the command comes he's a 60.
Hunky Dory
12:38
Kiley’s back wut wut
Brick
12:38
You're not Dave
Craig
12:38
Miguel Andujar seems to have one of the more violent swings in the minors, yet his contact rate is very high. Is this something you think will translate well to the bigs?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:39
Lots of Andujar questions in the queue. I'm a believer and the tools are really good, have developed further since he stood out for his raw tools as a teenager. Tools to be above average on D but some arm accuracy issues and some mental lapses. Real bat speed and bat control and above contact rate as you say. Rare ability. In the Pirates article I said he is worth, to me, about as much as that Musgrove package.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:39
I'm lukewarm. Has had issues with throwing accuracy in my looks and he pounds the ball into the ground.
BoofBonser
12:40
Most exciting prospect in the Twins system besides Royce Lewis?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:41
I think Akil Badoo is exciting, Wander Javier, think LaMonte Wade is real...lotta guys
Hunky Dory
12:42
McDaniel in the McHizzouse!!!
Drew
12:42
Do any orgs/college have reputations for being able to teach certain pitches/skills better than others? Maybe the Mets and sliders? Or Stanford sapping power?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:43
Lots of interesting tendencies in college, like Vandy/UVA going into the northeast to get the well off types that get to school, etc. The one that comes to mind for this is Dallas Baptist. Almost all of their pitchers are Driveline types with some effort that throw 4 seamers up in the zone, almost the whole team throws 95 and almost all the hitters swing hard and try to hit it a mile. The staff is pretty good at teaching these things.
Also I appreciate the enthusiasm for an internet baseball chat, guys
Randy
12:44
As an Astros fan I like to think I have a pretty good idea about their prospects, however, I would be lying if I said I knew who Jairo Solis is.  Who is this guy?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:46
Smooth, athletic righty up to 95, sitting 90-92, change and curve both look good right now. Still just 18, got taste of affiliated ball late last year.
Matt
12:46
I saw on Twitter that you got a look at Bobby Witt Jr. the other day. There's been a lot of hype around him, so I'm curious how he compares to the top HS guys in the 2018 draft?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:47
Think we both have seen Witt, so Eric may have thoughts too. The kid is basically above average at everything as a teenager playing against kids older than him. Not sure exactly what the position or tools are but it's first round for sure. Brice Turang did a similar thing a year ago to give context.
12:48
Should say not exactly what the tools will be, since I obviously just said what they are now
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