MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 1/17/17
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Aaron
4:33
Any thoughts on where Colby Lewis will wind up? Can he get a major league contract?
Steve Adams
4:34
Minnesota? Just a shot in the dark due to the Thad Levine connection. I can see a team throwing like a $3MM guarantee at him.
Person
4:34
Thoughts on The Duffy extension
Steve Adams
4:37
I mean, I can never knock a guy for taking his first eight-figure payday. The notion of turning down $65MM to me is so far from reality that there's no way to blame Duffy for doing so. We often forget the human side of this business, and the guy just got like 20 lifetimes worth of money to stay in the city he had no desire to leave.

From a pure baseball standpoint, I don't think it's a great deal. He basically took the same money for his age 29-32 seasons that Ervin Santana got for age 32-35. Another really good season out of Duffy, and he's looking at $100MM+ as a 29-year-old free agent.

So, I do think the Royals got a nice deal here, and I do think Duffy probably should have commanded a bit more, even on an extension. But hell if I'm ever going to call some guy "stupid" or something for taking a guaranteed $65 million bucks -- especially one who's already had some injury problems. Good for Duffy.
Bucco Lefties
4:38
With Diekman hurt, any chance Rangers match up with the Pirates overloaded lefty bullpen? What might Watson bring in return?
Steve Adams
4:39
Yeah there's a definite fit there. They could just take Bastardo for some cash and a warm body, or they could offer up a package of some actual talent for Watson. Watson's a free agent next winter, so I don't think he's going to command a significant haul, but one legitimately decent prospect and another upside play that's further down the minor league ladder makes some sense.
c.rizzi
4:40
Gardner to Tigers for Justin Wilson..Any chance
Steve Adams
4:40
If the Tigers more Wilson, I think it'd be to get some younger, more controllable assets.
Jonathan Villar
4:40
Since I can't even be a free agent until 2021, and I'm 25 and coming off a really nice 4-WAR season, would the Brewers be right to hold out for even more than what the Twins want for Dozier, if they made me available?
Steve Adams
4:42
Dozier's been really good for 3-4 years now (despite the fact that many don't realize that), whereas Villar's career has been a roller coaster. I don't think every team would be sold on his ability to repeat the 2016 season... if the Dodgers offered De Leon, that's something the Brewers really have to look at taking, I'd say. But, I'm not as sold on Villar myself as I am on Dozier.
Free Plawecki!
4:42
WHen are you going to answer a question about Kevin Plawecki? (and don't reply by saying "I just did" that's weak).
Steve Adams
4:42
I love the assumption that I'm getting flooded with Plawecki questions.
The guy hasn't hit in the Majors or in Triple-A -- I don't think the Mets (or another team) would look at him as any sort of long-term option behind the dish.
4:43
That should say "or much in Triple-A" -- but the sentiment remains similar.
Seattle
4:43
Why do people keep saying that adding Drew Smyly is some sort of game-changer in terms of their expectations for next season? Dude had a 4.88 ERA/1.27 WHIP last season, hardly a game-changing level of production. Wouldn't even be in the starting rotation on some teams.
Steve Adams
4:45
Because they look beyond ERA and WHIP to evaluate him and see a high-strikeout, low-walk pitcher that had a bit of poor luck on home runs and posted a 2.98 ERA from 2013-15.
4:46
Plus he's an extreme fly-ball pitcher moving to Safeco, where fly-balls go to die, and to a team that's going to trot out Leonys Martin, Jarrod Dyson and Mitch Haniger in the outfield. I love Smyly's chances in Seattle.
4:47
Ok, I have to wrap up for the week. Thanks for all the questions, and feel free to ask more on Twitter (@Adams_Steve). Jason chats tomorrow at 630pm CT and Jeff on Thursday at 2pm.
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