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MLBTR Live Chat with Steve Adams -- 11/29/16
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Carlos Beltran
3:30
Does my potential salary increase after Cespedes' new contract?
Steve Adams
3:32
I don't subscribe to the popular narrative that contracts have that level of impact on each other unless they're extreme outliers -- e.g. Cecil getting 4/30.5. Plus, Cespedes' contract is disappointing. His agents will get people to play up the AAV component of it, but he fell shy of five years for the second straight offseason when almost everyone expected him to get five (and many thought he'd get six last winter).

Bottom line: No to your question. Beltran will sign for $15-18MM if it's one year and something in the mid-20s if he's sure he wants to play for two years and can get a team to commit.
Low and Outside
3:33
Pitchers and catchers report in (about) 76 days and it can't come soon enough.
Steve Adams
3:33
I look forward to actual games as well, but the offseason is its own sport and it's tons of fun to follow.
Rick Hahn
3:34
If I try to handcuff Shields to Sale how much does it diminish the return?
Steve Adams
3:34
It'd diminish it a fair amount. Really, though, it's not worth doing that. The Sox effectively owe Shields $20MM over two years. It's bad, but it's not crippling or anything. They can just eat the deal and move on if he sucks in Spring Training/April.
Tasharama
3:35
4 corner OFs and only 2 corners. What is most likely for the mets? And I hope conforto stays
Steve Adams
3:35
Moving Bruce is the easiest call, and most reports out of NY have indicated they'd look to do so if Cespedes returns.
Brandon K
3:35
Archer to cubs for Soler, Haap, Cease and a flier??
Steve Adams
3:36
Archer can be controlled for five years and $38.5MM -- his contract is even friendlier than Sale or Quintana. That's not getting it done.
Jack
3:36
Biggest obstacle standing in the way of a Cubs repeat?
Steve Adams
3:37
The simple fact that winning the World Series is incredibly hard to do? Some of their players are going to regress (Kyle Hendricks, for instance). Others are going to get hurt. Some will rebound. There are any number of year-to-year fluctuations that make a repeat victory or even a repeat return to the World Series exceptionally difficult.
Gizzard
3:37
Future Giants closer?
Steve Adams
3:37
Guess has been and continues to be Melancon.
the JUDGE
3:38
do you think the Yankees will put me in right field and let me develop?
Steve Adams
3:39
Judge struck out 42 times in 95 MLB plate appearances. Barring an otherworldly Spring Training showing, I'd be surprised if he opened the year in the Majors.
Steve Adam's Son
3:39
Of the 3 top closers in FA (Melancon, Jansen, and Chapman) who is the least expensive?
Steve Adams
3:39
Melancon, by a long shot
Atlanta
3:39
Over/Under 80 Wins for the Braves first year in SunTrust Park?
Steve Adams
3:40
Questions like this don't make tons of sense to ask when the offseason is only about 25% over. Let's see how the rest of the winter shakes out.
Ghost of Wayne Static
3:40
Josh Harrison/Clay Holmes for Anibal Sanchez/$14M. Who hangs up first?
Steve Adams
3:40
The Tigers are open to moving Harrison -- they're not aggressively looking to dump him. They don't make that deal.
Drew
3:41
Giolito for Sale, straight up. Who hangs up?
Steve Adams
3:41
Not even close to getting Sale with just Giolito.
Fowler
3:41
More likely, Cardinals or back to the Cubs?
Steve Adams
3:41
I'd say Cardinals, but I don't think it has to be one of only those two teams, of course.
Landon
3:41
Is Colorado a front runner for Melancon?
Steve Adams
3:42
There hasn't been any real link between the two sides with the exception of some pointing out that Melancon is from Colorado. Can't see the Rox beating the market on him. Nor should they, in my view.
M's Fan
3:43
How will players with a qualifying offer be affected if it is eliminated in the next CBA?
Steve Adams
3:43
Any QOs extended this year will remain in place, but obviously players would be likelier to consider one-year deals if the new agreement stipulated that you can't receive a QO in successive years.
mat
3:44
how do you like the thames signing
Steve Adams
3:45
$15-16MM isn't much of anything to an MLB club these days -- I think it's a reasonable gamble for the Brewers and a great deal for a player that doesn't have a track record in the Majors to this point. (It takes a weird signing for me to call it good for both the team and player, ha)
Curly_W
3:45
Gio to Miami for Ozuna? I realize that's probably not an even trade,but assuming Nats can throw in enough to even it up, does that make sense?
Steve Adams
3:47
It'd need to be Gio and some other pitching prospects, but the framework of moving Gio (and other parts) for an MLB-ready asset makes some sense, and the Marlins do need MLB-ready rotation help if they're moving Ozuna.

Have to wonder how the whole intra-division thing would play out though. Do the Fish really want to move Ozuna to a division rival for four years? And do the Nats want to see AJ Cole or someone starting against them for the next half-decade?
Orioles
3:48
Will anybody take Chris Davis off our hands? Strikes out way too much and his contract wil hinder our ability to resign Mannt
Steve Adams
3:49
Doubt anyone's touching that contract. It looked bad from the get-go, but that's what happens when an owner decides to keep a player at any cost.
JC
3:49
Dietrich or Spangenberg to Angels? And for what cost?
Steve Adams
3:49
Seems like the Halos would prefer a better defender than either of those two
Curly_W
3:49
Future Nats closer?
Steve Adams
3:50
I have them on Greg Holland, since I don't think they'll pay enough (or be able to pay enough without deferrals) to sign one of Chapman, Jansen or Melancon. And the Lerner family/Mike Rizzo have a good relationship with Boras
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