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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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The Other Castro

2:46

Harold Castro is hitting .313. Obviously there's BABIP luck, but do you see something there?

Paul Sporer

2:49

Career .299 in 486 PA, albeit with a gaudy .380 BABIP. I'm kind of impressed that he's maintained such high BABIPs, but I'm not sure there's any skill behind doing so, meaning I can't really get behind him as a fantasy asset

Chris

2:49

Thoughts on Castillo and if buying low is a good idea?

Paul Sporer

2:50

Got an entire pod w/Nick Pollack on him coming so I'm going to defer to that (out later today or early tomorrow, don't have a firm time yet). But Justin & I did mention him on yesterday's pod briefly, too. Buy if hte discount exists

Chris

2:50

How do you manage deciding when to start ohtani as a pitcher vs a hitter in leagues that lock each week?

Paul Sporer

2:51

I just start him as a hitter every week, tbh. I paid for a hitter and always felt the pitching would be extra. This recent outing is very encouraging and if I need pitching in the leagues where I have him, I'll start to consider him based on matchups.

Can't Steal 1st

2:51

What's you prognosis on V.Robles and A.Gimenez? Are they droppable in 12 or 14 team rmixed leagues?

Paul Sporer

2:53

I'm definitely concerned about Gimenez bc of his disastrous plate skills (30% K, 4% BB) and think he's cuttable in 12s for sure and on the fringe in 14-teamers depending who's available. I'm probably not cutting Robles unless I'm picking up a speed option. I know he only has 2 SBs, but I'm inclined to still hold for those SBs I paid for. If say Robbie Grossman is available, I'd make the move

Colin Weatherwax

2:53

First time chatter, long time listener. Please talk about how good Seth brown is.

Paul Sporer

2:54

He's putting in a lot of work and study to become as good as Mitch Moreland, who is a far superior player. Most don't see him reaching the extreme heights of Moreland, but we respect the effort. :)

2:55

(Just so ppl don't get the wrong idea, the above is a bit. Colin and I bet on Brown v. Moreland bc he bashed my Moreland pickup, so we're just memeing!)

Kate

2:55

How much of this do you expect to stick for John Means and Trevor Rogers. Obviously both are pretty darn good, but how good are you expecting once things stabilize?

Paul Sporer

2:58

I don't want to let confirmation bias overwhelm here as I really had high hopes for both coming into the season so seeing them start so strong is very encouraging. Obviously, neither is a sub-2.00 ERA pitcher all season, but I think both are mid-3.00s ERAs, sub-1.20 WHIPs (maybe close to 1.25 for Rogers given his BBs if the hit rate trickles up) with strong K totals the rest of the way. I'm not averse to selling high as the market is hot on both, but if you don't get what you want, there is nothing wrong with holding

Guest

2:58

Which gurriel brother will be better ROS?

Paul Sporer

3:00

I'm not out on Lourdes (big target coming into the season) and I do believe he'll iron things out, but big bro is going to still outproduce him thanks in a large part to that strong AVG

Brooks L Pooter

3:00

Is Aguilar back to his 2018 form and will he provide salvation for my offense?

Paul Sporer

3:03

I think he's close to 2018 levels and I was quite surprised he got ZERO play in the offseason after a quality effort in 2020 (122 wRC+, .277 AVG, 8 HR in 216 PA). He was dirt cheap and even a waiver pickup in many leagues despite looking like a 30 HR candidate with solid AVG upside

Don Von Handburger

3:03

My injured list is more bloated than a preacher at a rib picnic

Paul Sporer

3:04

Not sure I've ever seen a preacher at a picnic, but I'll take your word for it. I have one team with sooo many injuries that it almost seems fake so I can relate

Nate Pearson

3:04

In 14 team mixed am I worth a hold? Would need to drop one of Dunning, Montgomery, or Triston to keep him. I can pick up Montas, Luzardo or Kikuchi as well. Thanks so much!

Paul Sporer

3:06

I prefer Montas. That's my guy. He has two mega duds and five solid-to-good starts. He's still outrunning the duds in terms of his composite ERA, but he's looked sharp in his last 3 after Minnesota ripped him for 6 ER

Kate

3:06

Benintendi back to what he was pre-2019 (or at least pre-2020)?

Paul Sporer

3:07

I think he's more 2019 than pre-2019 and I'm concerned by the 5-for-9 on the bases. Hopefully that doesn't get him a red light from Matheny

Saul Porer

3:07

Paul! Any reason to be worried about Conforto yet? Lots of ground balls, max EV down. SSS?

Paul Sporer

3:10

Nah, I'm not too worried. Had a similar GB rate last yr and he was still great. The bottom line is there's nothing actionable as I wouldn't even bench him let alone come close to cutting him. Hold firm.

Don Von Handburger

3:10

In an OBP league, are you starting Yandy Diaz at 1B over Josh Bell?

Paul Sporer

3:11

Yeah, I think I would. Bell has been roughhhhh

Jason

3:11

With OAK, CWS, & LAA upcoming on the schedule, is this when I get sobered up on Michael Pineda?

Paul Sporer

3:14

LOL, probably. It's always too good to be true with Michael Piñata, isn't it? That said, I'm not benching him.

uru

3:14

Odds Manoah gets called up this year?

Paul Sporer

3:15

Pretty high. He's in Triple-A and the Jays rotation isn't exactly flush with options

Adbert Alzolay

3:15

Or Adbert Alzo-truth?

Vader

3:15

Alzolay looked great yesterday. Think he'll be more worthy of ROS H2H pick up over Brubaker?

Waveland

3:15

Less fantasy oriented but how do you feel about Adbert Alzolay as a pitcher? Can he remain a starter? How good is He?

Paul Sporer

3:18

I wish he had a true third pitch (he does have a 4-seamer and sinker w/the slider, but that's still 2 fastballs) as that would make his outlook as a starter much better, but that said, we see guys live w/the fastball-slider combo. I think he will survive in the short-term, but if that third pitch doesn't come to fruition, we might see a relief future (in a yr or 2) for Alzolay. I have him and Brubaker too close to separate them by talent and would rather play it by matchups.

Saul Porer

3:18

Are you interested in Luzardo when he comes back? He's been ... not good.

Paul Sporer

3:20

I am, yes. It's been brutal to be sure, but his core skills are still pretty solid and it's not unreasonable to see the .350 BABIP coming down to earth and helping smooth things out. The 4.28 SIERA v. the 5.27 ERA keeps me encouraged that there's still reason to invest here

Junior

3:20

How concerned are you with Lindor? Think he can still finish the season as a top 5 SS?

Paul Sporer

3:21

I'm not overly concerned. The transition to a new team can take some time and he might not even be his usual great self this year, but I think he's easily much better than this rest of way and would absolutely buy low

Chip

3:21

Would you start Mahle in Coors Field in a 12-team H2H?

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