JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Paul Sporer

3:23

It's a personal preference thing totally. I am 100% fine with someone basically saying they won't start anyone outside the top 15 or top 20 in Coors. I love Mahle, but it seems like an unnecessary risk especially since his one main issue are the homers (1.5 this year and career)

Siri

3:23

What's your concern level on Eugenio? Where would you put his O/U HR total?

Paul Sporer

3:25

His first 32 gms last yr were pretty close to this awful and then he reeled off a .900 OPS and 8 HR in his final 100 PA. He's another guy I'd confidently buy low on. I think he still threatens 40 HRs by season's end.

Chris

3:26

Should bumgardner be rostered in all leagues? When/how can you trust him?

Paul Sporer

3:28

Yes and I'm more or less setting & forgetting save trips to COL and anything v. the Dodgers. The primary key to his success is being 91+ in velo. Sub-90 in his first 3 starts (and all last yr) and got blitzed for an 11.20 ERA. Got the velo up at 91 or higher since: 5 starts with an .90 ERA, .47 WHIP, and 34 Ks/2 BBs in 30 IP.

3:28

Would you drop Sano for Asdrubal Cabrera (standard 5x5 roto)

Paul Sporer

3:29

I am completely fine w/that

Guest

3:29

Willie Calhoun has really good statcast batted ball #s (0.364 xwOBA) this year....except for barrels. Do you think he is an empty batting average guy? Or will he turn his hit tool into more of a HR threat?

Paul Sporer

3:30

No, I still think there is some real pop (25-30) in this bat. I think we are in the midst of his breakout season

Crystal Ball Q

3:31

Blake Snell will record a QS within his next ___ starts.

Paul Sporer

3:31

2... at home v. COL next week

Joe

3:31

I did not intend to punt saves, but I'm in last place in the category and nothing I'm doing seems to work. At what point do I stop chasing?

Paul Sporer

3:32

When it starts to look like you need to find TWO closers just to make up a spot or two in the standings. If you're still like 7-8 SVs from 6 pts in the standings (just making up some numbers, these aren't hard & fast), then I'd keep chasing

Mooseknuckle Curves

3:32

Where have you been Paul? The internet misses you. I wanted to lambaste you for overvaluing F Montas the last two years and bringing my teams down with you, but then I noticed you had disappeared. Now that ol’ Frankie has rattled off a couple good starts, you’re showing your writing face around again? Are these events actually related?

Paul Sporer

3:35

I have to imagine this an attempted troll which is all good, but if it's serious, then get real... I'm on the internet every single day, lol. I have never run from a prediction or player I love. If you're wanting to dunk on me every time Montas has a bad start, I guess you're free to do so, but you've already seen how bad that would've gone for you so maybe your misguided notion that I "disappeared" saved you from some embarrassment. All that said, I can't be held responsible for your ability to navigate to twitch.tv/sporer 5-6 nights a week if you have something to discuss. 😏

Jerry

3:35

I have Tatis and picked up Wander for insurance. Is there any way Wander does not come up this year?

Paul Sporer

3:37

Yes, I think it's possible. I will say, I was leaning that he wouldn't come up this year if they slotted him in AA to start, but being in AAA certainly makes it a lot more likely that we see him eventually. I still see Brujan and maybe even Taylor Walls coming up ahead of him depending on length of need, but I'd say it's about a 30% chance we don't see him this year. I was at like 60% when I thought he'd start in AA.

Don Von Handburger

3:37

Wander Franco date: June 15th. Are you betting on earlier or later?

Paul Sporer

3:37

Obviously it's hard to say bc injuries can change things on a dime, but assuming there isn't an obvious need and/or Wander doesn't light Triple-A on fire, I'll say later.

Brad

3:37

Short-term projections for Larnach?

Paul Sporer

3:39

bad AVG w/some pop. admittedly a bit of a basic take for a rookie, but that's where I am until I get a good look at him

Smokin Lowed

3:40

Assuming both remain on track and return in June, you prefer Soroka or Framber in points leagues? Thanks as always!

Paul Sporer

3:40

New news out on Soroka is bad. Close to just punting '21 for him, tbh.

Smokin Lowed

3:41

Looks like Soroka set to have exploratory surgery. Bummer.

Paul Sporer

3:41

Nvm, you saw it. Sorry, queue is a bit backed up

Mooseknuckle Curves

3:41

Ha no actually I was totally kidding but also I have actually been looking for your content and didn’t know to look for you on twitch. Montas isn’t your fault, but I do think you had him too high on your pre season ranking

Paul Sporer

3:42

I'm glad I said that thing about a troll at the outset bc I thought it might be playful, but I decided to defend myself a smidge just in case. But yeah, twitter (@sporer) and twitch (also @sporer) are the best places to reach me absent this chat which sometimes does get shelved though we should be pretty consistent the rest of the season!

DerrickA

3:42

Arrival date for Logan Gilbert?

Paul Sporer

3:44

Just as a general rule, I'll usually ignore these bc it's literally impossible to make a good call. I'm not trying to chastise you specifically for asking as I totally get why we want to know, but guys like Eric Longenhagen who do prospect study for a living are barely equipped to make these calls meaning I have no chance. The thing is that needs are just unpredictable so a gameplan can be thrown out the second a team experiences a big injury. Plus, prospects can move their date up by dominating above expectations. I'm hoping for Gilbert sometime in the 1H and if he Seattle continues to play well, I think they'll be inclined to bring him up, but it is guesswork.

Marco

3:44

Is Woodruff (my best sp) + conforto too much for soto or freeman in an obp league (12 teams redraft h2h).

Paul Sporer

3:45

Honestly, that'd probably what it'd take. Are you getting enough hitting juice moving from Conforto to Soto to give your ace? I tend to think not so I wouldn't want to make such a trade. If you start with Woody, go lower on the hitter going back.

Don Von Handburger

3:45

Do you talk a lot of trash on your league messageboards, or is that not your style?

Paul Sporer

3:45

Don't really do much on the leaderboards, but love cutting up with leaguemates in twitch chat or on text like Colin and I are doing w/the Moreland-Brown thing

Jerry

3:45

Wander is 100% coming up this season (barring an injury)

Paul Sporer

3:46

We'll see. Tampa Bay slow roasts, he's just 20, and they have other MI options. I mean, I have it at 70% so I definitely see it, but I don't think it's the slam dunk that many do just bc of the org. in question

Guest

3:46

Are you still holding on Happ to see if he turns it around?

Paul Sporer

3:47

If I can, but if injuries have piled up in leagues of FEWER than 15 tms, I understand if he becomes a cut for someone

Tony

3:47

Points leagues are a much better depiction of real baseball and how to use that knowledge to be a successful fantasy player. Real baseball doesnt accumulate stats and then see who wins the World Series. For more skill goes into winning each week than compiling. Argument?

Paul Sporer

3:48

At the risk of being flippant, who cares? I understand the elevator pitch of fantasy baseball is build a team and pretend to be a GM, but nothing about fantasy truly emulates being a GM so I'm not really worried w/playing the best format that most closely resembles "real" baseball. I just play what brings me the most fun. I've come around big time on H2H pts lgs in recent yrs and really enjoy them, but I still love roto, too. Play what brings you joy, it really is that simple!

Skylark

3:49

Traded mccullers for suarez in obp fwiw

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat