JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:14

I'm at like a 6, so there's some concern, but it's not grave concerns. Velo and whiffs are still there, but too many BB, H, and HR. I'd sit him down on reserve before an outright cut at this pt

Vader

1:15

WIlliam Contreras, Zunino or Gomes ROS in H2H?

Paul Sporer

1:15

I ranked it Gomes/Contreras/Z yesterday and then Z dropped 2 HRs on my face... that doesn't really change my ranking, though

CaseyMchehehe

1:15

Dolis or Fairbanks nsvh league?

Paul Sporer

1:16

Ah Dolis is back. OK, well to the person I said Robles over Dolis, I want to change that as I thought Dolis was still IL'd. I'm also picking him over Fairbanks here

Curtis

1:16

Odds the Mariners keep Lewis AND Haniger along with Kelenic and JRod and utilize the DH to provide days off the field? Whenever JRod gets there that is...

Paul Sporer

1:17

Let's get JRod to that majors and keep Haniger healthy before we worry about how that's all gonna play out. It does set up as a great OF/DH quartet, though, if they can nail it

Kyle

1:18

Hi Paul, as always, thanks for all you do! Question about Savant. I know that many of the stats on there are descriptive, not predictive. Do you know if xWOBA is predictive? Or is it mainly descriptive?

Paul Sporer

1:18

Thank you for the kind words, Kyle! Gotta turn this one over to my guy Alex as he wrote it up a few yrs back: https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-in-season-predictiveness-of-xwoba/

Guest

1:18

Is yaz a top 30 of moving forward?

Paul Sporer

1:19

I'd say more top 40. That's where I had him coming into the season and while there has been some shuffling, I'm not sure he's jump 10 spots. I can commit to top 40

Brandon

1:19

Standard 5x5. Would you drop any of Morton/Gray/Alzolay/Maeda for McClanahan?

Paul Sporer

1:20

I don't think so. If McClanahan is still available, that tells me it's a 10- or 12-teamer so those guys all still have a better outlook

Guest

1:20

who might help most while trout is down: cj cron, bader, schwarber, happ, pham?

Paul Sporer

1:20

I'd go Bader/Happ if you want to mix in some SBs, too, but Cron will likely be the most outright productive player with his power and great home park

Bill

1:21

7-inning double headers are stupid. Wins are stupid. But why shouldn't minimum innings for win be 4 innings in a doubleheader? And 5 innings min for a QS? and 2 innings to qualify for save, rather than 3?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Oh for sure. Seems insane that those thresholds aren't changed for 7-inn. gms. Can't just lop off 2 innings and change nothing else. Makes no sense

Al Gone Quinn

1:21

Who you got btwn Sanchez and Garver?

Paul Sporer

1:21

Garver

Guest

1:21

What’s up with Matt Chapman? Should he be playing in 12 team mixed leagues?

Paul Sporer

1:24

The baseline with these Qs is that it depends who you're replacing the player in question with, but for Chapman specifically, I'm sticking with him. He's actually coming out of it late with a solid .324/.390/.485 in his last 20 gms (77 PA).

Marnell

1:24

Ian Happ, thoughts on him turning his season around?

Paul Sporer

1:25

I'm a Happ fan, so I'm buying low where applicable.

Guest

1:25

Is stroman a sell high pitcher? Or can he keep this going?

Paul Sporer

1:26

Ratios are his calling card so while I'd project more of a mid-3.00s ERA rest of way than the high-2.00s we've seen thus far, I do believe he'll be a WHIP asset throughout. I'd be open to selling high if his lack of Ks are something you want to replace, but otherwise, let him do his thing and be a ratios god

billyjojimbob

1:26

The Austin Riley Breakout is about to happen or is it another tease?

Paul Sporer

1:28

I'm happy with the production we've gotten to date, but this isn't the full on breakout yet bc the power isn't there (.142 ISO). I'd trade 20-30 pts of AVG for 60+ pts of ISO as I think he can be a .260/30 HR kinda guy, but again, I can't complain about where we are thus far

Zac Gallen

1:28

Am I done for the year?

Paul Sporer

1:28

Not officially, but I'm super nervous

HarryLime

1:28

Will Urias be on an innings limit?

Paul Sporer

1:29

I mean, he wont get 200+, so to that end, yes. But I think they actually take the reins off him a bit and get him to 170-180

Holden

1:29

Are you a David Peterson fan? xERA and Sierra/ xFIP are painting two different pictures

Paul Sporer

1:33

I like the improved K% for sure, but I imagine the consistent hard contact and homers are fueling the elevated xERA. I wouldn't pay for the SIERA, I'm still viewing him as a mid-4.00s ERA baseline

Big Tuna

1:33

Brady Singer: is he anything more than a streamer in 12 team leagues?

Paul Sporer

1:36

I've been pretty consistently starting him, tbh, but he's at least a team streamer for me which is a step above a standard streamer as I'll bench Singer when not using him as opposed to just cutting for that roster spot. He's still working off that first start (3.06 ERA/1.25 WHIP since... nearly a run and .10 WHIP pts lower than his composite)

1B Help

1:36

I'm in need of a 1B upgrade in my home league (currently have Bell & Cron). Outside of Freddie who is unobtainable, what 1B guys are you targeting in trades?

Paul Sporer

1:39

I'd buy high on Jared Walsh or target Matt Olson, though I think a healthy Cron will be pretty sufficient, tbh.

Guest

1:39

Is wheeler a top 15 pitcher ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:39

Well he hasn't been one thus far, so no

Al Gone Quinn

1:39

Sort of hit the MI low cost lottery with 2 tickets, Hampson and Josh Rojas. Do you see them keeping this up?