JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:41

Nicely done! I was a huge Hampson guy a couple yrs ago as you may recall if you listen to the pod and then he flopped until that insane September. I can definitely buy what we're seeing from him. I think we've all been waiting for Rojas to come through and we're finally seeing his skills in play. I can see both remaining viable and startable all year

Guest

1:41

Willie Calhoun is rostered in less than a quarter of leagues. Why?

Paul Sporer

1:48

I think part of it was entering the yr UT-Only. Consider how good the UT-Only pool has been. That means that like half or more of most lgs are already locked there with Ohtani, JD, Cruz, Stanton, Franmil, Alvarez and then Yermin joined the mix v early in the year as one of the first breakouts.

So that's 7 tms w/a better UT already and no place for Calhoun. In a standard 12, you can probably assume at least 2 of the remaining 5 tms have a good UT situation with surplus from somewhere on their roster. That leaves just a few teams to even consider Calhoun until very recently when he hit OF elig. at the outlets where he hadn't had it. I'll be eager to see if his number jumps a good bit here in the near future at ESPN where he's on just 19% of rosters.

Travioli

1:48

How real is Adolis garcia? I know he's not going to stay this hot but is he a hold or a sell high?

Paul Sporer

1:50

There is devastating cold streak coming at some point in the summer. 28% K/5% BB/31% HR-FB just can't hold up for 6 months as a 153 wRC+. I can see him remaining about league average rest of way bc he has some legit pwr (think he can maintain .200+ ISO), but he'll be cut before season's end in lots of 10 and 12 tm leagues

1:50

Winker or Hader/Canha in a dynasty with walks included

Paul Sporer

1:51

Both Hader/Canha? Them alllll day. Winker is a platoon goon. Absolutely decimates righties, but his inability to hit lefties caps his overall upside. I'd take Canha straight up v. him

Big Tuna

1:51

Is this the beginning of a Sano breakthrough or should people be selling high?

Paul Sporer

1:53

He is who we thought he was: a poor AVG power stud. He's hit sub-.200 before so while I don't see the .171 maintaining, it certainly wouldn't surprise me. Meanwhile, he will keep a mid-30s HR pace per 600 PA, though we can't count on him getting to the 600 PA

Bobby

1:53

Does it make sense to drop Alec Bohm for Dylan Moore because of the additional position eligibility for Moore? The BA is atrocious but other hitting stats and 8 SB are not bad.

Paul Sporer

1:55

I don't think I would. Maybe if I REALLY need the SBs and have the protection to take on his AVG. You acknowledge the terrible AVG in your Q, but I think a lot of us in fantasy don't truly calculate the damage it does bc it's not as easy to visualize like we can with counting categories. Unless you have excellent AVG elsewhere, the steals gains would likely be offset by the AVG losses, leaving you where you started in the standings and with the worse player talent-wise

cardz

1:55

I know you are a big Bader guy. What does a full season line of Bader's new found batting profile look like? Is he a 20/20 guy now that he's striking out 50% less? thanks!!

Paul Sporer

1:57

Yes, he definitely has a 20-20 vibe. I looooove the new contact-heavy approach. Even when he was K'ing a ton, he wasn't just up there flailing as he always had decent swinging strike rates. I'm pretty excited by this, though fully aware that it's still early

Guest

1:57

What do you think Randy Arozarena's final 5x5 line will be? Steamer said .268/28HR/19SB, do you think he will make it?

Paul Sporer

1:58

I believe he definitely can. He hasn't been elite thus far, but he certainly hasn't been bad, either. A solid week-to-10 day hot streak would get him right back on track for that Steamer pace

Timothy

1:58

Thanks for your superb work Paul!
Chisholm finishes as top 3 2B or Albies finishes outside of top 3?

Paul Sporer

2:00

Thanks for hanging out & reading my stuff! I think Albies finishing outside is more likely just bc top 3 is really hard. I'm an Albies guy and would definitely be open to buying at a discount right now, but it's not hard to see him rallying to have a good season and still finishing out of the top 3

Dan

2:00

The biggest question I have is can you beat my friend OleBallGame in MLB The Show?

Paul Sporer

2:01

We absolutely need to do a series! Tell him to come through on the stream or DM me and we can hammer out some time for a 3-game set!

zurzles

2:01

Is Gavin Lux a dude now?.327/7/2/12/0 in May

Paul Sporer

2:03

I don't want to overreact to the positive run as much as those against him overreacted to the negative run but he has been expected to be a dude after a great prospect run and I just couldn't quit him bc of just 200 PA, no matter how bad. 57 PA doesn't erase the 200, but those who had lost or were losing hope finally got to see him do something in the bigs. Now we see if this is the spark to him being a consistent producer

2:03

Roster crunch coming: Would you keep Cease or Luzardo? And what to do when Sixto Sanchez is back?

Paul Sporer

2:05

You have to keep Cease. He's producing and there are skills to bet on. Luzardo was overrated coming into the season as a top 100 pick, but he's not this bad. Things will probably sort themselves out w/someone else getting hurt or underperforming by the time Sixto is back. Especially w/all the dang injuries we're getting this year (not just confirmation bias, injury rate is definitely up this year)

Steve

2:05

Thank you for all your help. Jesus Sanchez (mia) thoughts on his stats ROS when called up?

Paul Sporer

2:06

I was actually kind excited for him when he came up last yr and thought he could make some noise pwr-wise. He was a dud but you know I'm not giving up on 29 PA. I think he can be a power source quickly if he comes up and gets an everyday or very close to everyday role

Rachel

2:07

Shall we keep Ohtani and enjoy what he’s doing as a hitter or trade him now while his value is off the charts assuming he gets injured?

Paul Sporer

2:09

I don't know why we'd assume he's going to get injured. I know he's had some issues, but I'm not just waiting for the injury shoe to drop on him. He's the best player in baseball this year, fantasy and real life, so I think I'm just going for the ride. If he gets hurt, shit happens. Trout just got hurt. Tatis, Soto, and Acuña have been hurt this year. Everyone is at risk. Some guys are higher if they have chronic issues, but I don't think Ohtani is one of those.

BringBackDeSpanielHair

2:09

Nooo! I missed the best time to get questions answered!

Gimmee your thoughts on Castillo last night? Stuff looked back, locations still a little wild?

Paul Sporer

2:09

One bad pitch to Alex Dickerson. Definitely an encouraging start. Hell, I started him in Coors so I haven't come close to giving up

MadBum's Dirt Bike

2:09

Ohtani has actually logged 2 games in the OF. I can "stay in the game to get his next PA" become a thing and him get to 10 games

Paul Sporer

2:09

That'd be SOOO sick

Kate

2:10

I've noticed a bunch of starters (particularly young guys, Alzolay and Dunning are the two I can think of off the top of my head) getting pulled REALLY early so far this year. Like before 80 pitches and 5 innings when they're pitching well early. Obviously teams are moving to shorter outings as a whole (third time through the order, etc.), but there also seems to be some general concern about overextending arms (esp young ones) after the cluster that was 2020. Do you think this is something that slowly goes away as the 2021 season goes on? Next year? Or is this more of a permanent thing?

Paul Sporer

2:11

I think we knew it'd be MORE of a thing this year given last year's weirdness. But I do think it's more of a longer term espec. w/younger guys. Teams are fine to build a guy slowly in the majors w/4-5 IP outings. It's becoming the norm.

Yerminator

2:11

I passed on Vlad Jr for Moncada in a mixed league draft this year. I have no question, only shame :(

Paul Sporer

2:13

I can't say I was banging the Vlad Jr. drum. I was concerned about paying full price bc he was 1B-only and I liked some many other 1B going much later, including my biggest mid-round target: Jared Walsh. I understand having some concerns about when the pwr would come to fruition, but credit to those who stayed committed to the elite core skills and paid top dollar to bet on the come

Dr. Funk

2:14

Haniger or Meadows ROS? OBP league. What range SP do you think either could fetch?

Paul Sporer

2:15

Haniger and I'm always reluctant to answer those "what could I get for" Qs, bc they are impossible to really answer. It truly depends on what your trade partners will give you and every league differs in that respect. You might not even get to trade w/the biggest Haniger fan in your lg bc they're full in the OF or they don't have pitching to trade. So you gotta shop and see what you can get. You should get an impact arm for sure, someone you're starting virtually every time out (maybe sitting at Coors, stuff like that).

First Burst

2:16

I foolishly put all my eggs in the Blue Jays basket and took Bichette, Guerrero and Biggio. I guess I should be happy that two of the three are performing but what about Biggio? Whats a guy to do here? Sit on him and hope he breaks out or try to sell him for a pitcher, like Rich Hill or someone in that tier?

Paul Sporer

2:17

Yeah I'm not sure you're going to garner much sympathy for the 1 dud given how the other two are performing! As long as Rich Hill or a Rich Hill-type substance will help you, you can make the move

Guest

2:17

Not a fantasy q. But is ohtani the MVP so far?

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