JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:37

In dynasty, I'm cool with scooping him early

Paul Mushrooms

1:37

I know we’re all here to ask about our teams, let me be a gentleman and ask how your teams are doing? Perhaps make a poll with a question about your teams and we’ll help you out for a change.

Paul Sporer

1:40

I greatly appreciate that, but I'm happy to help y'all. I'm off to a decent start this year. 1st in my Main, 1st-7th-10th in my Online Championship lgs, 2nd in TGFBI, 8th of 12 in Tout, mid-pack in LABR, 2 gms out of playoffs in my H2H pts lg.

1:40

Nolan Gorman was called up to AAA and will be playing 2B. Think he's up and providing value this year?

Paul Sporer

1:41

It will definitely depend how he does in AAA, but I can definitely see him making the club at some pt this year if he continues to hit well

1:42

(and the defensive switch goes well)

El Oso Cafetero

1:42

Rank these guys for the rest of season: JT Brubaker, James Kaprielian, Jake Odorizzi, Patrick Sandoval

Paul Sporer

1:42

Reverse order of how you have em

FannyGraphy

1:42

Hi Paul, what would you say is the best stat to look at to find under the radar hitters, barrel %? XwOBA? Something else?

What about for contact hitters without much power? Their Statcast pages usually aren’t all red, so what’s the key stat for finding undervalued guys there?

Paul Sporer

1:43

I don't know that there's a magic bullet stat. I think you can definitely check out the two you mentioned and highlight the guys w/good xwOBA and Barrel rates who aren't getting a ton of results and I definitely think it can be worth looking into high contact guys w/decent pop as guys who can jump a level or two in-season

Kate

1:43

Any chance Schwarber has found something sustainable in terms of a new level of production? I mean obviously he's not going to hit a HR everyday, but is there any reason to think he's legit improved from what he's done over the rest of his career?

Paul Sporer

1:45

I doubt it, I think it's just a standard heater. He's devastating righties and still can't really hit lefties - the HR v. Hill last night notwithstanding. This surge puts him in line to set a new high in HRs, but his core skills are that of a 35-40 HR hitter w/a below average-to-decent AVG and solid OBP bc of his BB%.

Derek

1:45

Need some pop, 1st place in my 10 team keeper league and want to keep it going. Trade Corey Seager and Lance McCullers to get Bryce Harper. Is this too much or am I valuing my own players too much, like I tend to do...

Paul Sporer

1:46

I think that's fair in a 10-teamer for sure. Your opponent is taking on the risk of two major injury guys, including one who is currently hurt and not progressing well in his return. This is a good one to do IMO

mary

1:46

What do you think of Yelich as a "buy low" for ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:47

I'm not averse to it at all, but it has to be a true buy-low. In situations like this, I'm just up front with my trade partner. Something like "hey, I'm not trying to rip you off or anything, but obviously I can't pay full price for him at this juncture." and then present your offer with something that helps your partner's team while still affording you a fair price on Yelly

Kate

1:47

Is Sano toast? Is he done as a starter in Minny?

Paul Sporer

1:48

I feel like he's essentially been himself in terms of core skills. The .243 BABIP is holding him back a bit, but he's a low-.200s AVG, premium power source.

Trey

1:48

Do you think Mike Soroka will pitch in the majors again?

Paul Sporer

1:48

Yes, but it's such a freakin bummer that he re-injured the Achilles

Kate

1:49

Let's assume for a second that there was really something to Adames' whole "I can't see the ball in the Trop" thing (I'm not saying there's not, just saying let's assume that's really a thing that makes him better leaving). What do you think is a reasonable upside would be for him going forward? 25ish HR, 5ish steals and like a .330-.340 OBP?

Paul Sporer

1:49

I'm not assuming, I fully buy it. The split is far too stark to not give it merit. I think the numbers you outline are totally fair and could even see some more SBs since MIL likes to run

Guest

1:50

Better 16tm, QS H2H league option - Santillian or Tylor Megill?

Paul Sporer

1:51

I'm not sure they are too dissimilar when it comes to skills, but I think Santillian has a much better shot to stick around long-term while the Mets will almost certainly upgrade their staff via some trades

1:51

Sorry for the vague question, but curious to get your outlook on how to approach things when you're mostly out of it by mid-year in a redraft league. Had everything go wrong with one team (currently 10th out of 12 in a 5x5 roto redraft) and realize there's likely not much I can do to save the season, but it's not over yet. What sort of desperation moves do I start looking to make? Hoarding prospects, taking chances on injured guys, punting categories, etc - what's the play(s)?

Paul Sporer

1:54

You're on the right track w/the options that you mention and honestly I'd do all of em. Find a weak category that makes sense to punt (though if none stand out, just keep plugging away on all of 'em), take some big gambles on upside, and see if you can spike a big run to at least get back in the mix. If trades are allowed, consider some buy-lows. Maybe sell the couple stars you do have (assuming they aren't all hurt) to plug multiple holes. And don't give up on the ratio categories. They are often given up on way too soon in a season when they are the only cats where your opponents can come back to you w/poor performance.

1:54

Is right now the best time to buy low on Kenta Maeda?

Paul Sporer

1:55

Yes, this is a true buy low as things look remarkably bleak. There isn't a ton in the stat profile to get excited about but you're buying on the track record and it should come at a real discount

Jerry

1:55

Hector Neris at all worth stashing?

Paul Sporer

1:56

Yeah, I know he's the one on the shit list right now in Philly, but I can't be convinced that Alvarado and Bradley are appreciably better

Save it for Later

1:56

Best chance at closer ROS...Merryweather or J.Romano?

Paul Sporer

1:57

I'm still on the Romano train

Snake v. Bear

1:59

Better ROS in a 12 Teamer, K.Calhoun or I.Happ?

Paul Sporer

2:00

It pains me as a Happ guy, but I gotta say Calhoun. Calhoun's power has really emerged and Happ no longer looks like the chip-in SB guy he did early in his career, going just 4-for-8 since '19

Liam

2:00

are you a zach thompson believer? if so are you starting vs atl this week?

Paul Sporer

2:02

I am, yes (check out this piece where I mentioned him - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/on-the-radar-vol-1/), but maaaan that is such a tough matchup, especially in Atlanta. I think it depends on league size, but I could see rolling the dice in deeper leagues.

Pdubs

2:02

Spencer Howard has been bad. Do you think he will move to relief, I don't think he has pitched more than 4 innings since becoming a starter.

Paul Sporer

2:03

I don't think so. His BB rate is driving up those pitch counts and getting him out early, but they still see him as an SP. Maaaaybe they consider it for this year, but long-term, definitely still SP

Not_Matt_Damon

2:03

What are Adley Rutschman's and Spencer Torkelson's chances of being on an MLB roster on opening day next season?

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