JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

2:04

Low for both unless the CBA changes things this offseason. At the very least, they will get first couple weeks down for the svc. time manipulation... er I mean to work on very important things that can only be mastered in a 2-week sample of time at AAA lol

Eric

2:05

Any chance Andujar has a significant role for the Yankee's next year? I have him at minimum salary in an AL-Only keeper league, so there isn't much risk in keeping him, but wondering what my expectations should be for next year

Paul Sporer

2:05

Really hard to say and I'd be no w/NYY. He feels like an easy trade candidate for them. They need to make some moves and a 26-year old who can hit a bit will garner some attention

Liam

2:06

are you expecting more pop from luke voit as the season progresses?

Paul Sporer

2:06

Yes, as long as he's healthy, I fully expect him to rake

2:06

Is L. Wade Jr legit? His AAA numbers weren't great but he has produced well in MLB. How would you rank L. Wade Jr., E. Olivares and K. Isbel in a keep forever league (ave, hr, rbi, ks, sb)

Paul Sporer

2:07

I think so, yes. I mentioned him from another question earlier and there's some real upside here, especially w/SF trusting him atop the lineup. Solid pop, lots of runs, and impactful speed (to me, anything 10+ is impactful)

Tree Pants

2:07

Do you see Alzolay getting back on track? Was great before the IL stint but has been iffy since coming off

Paul Sporer

2:09

Yes, provided the blister isn't a recurring issue. Getting knocked around by the Dodgers isn't too worrisome and somewhat expected, tbh. I know CLE got him a little bit, too, but that was the first start off the IL. I'm not worried about Alzolay ROS

Richard

2:09

Do you prefer Schoop or Ty France ROS?

Paul Sporer

2:10

I'm not sure there is a real difference between 'em, but I'll pick France based on the fact that Schoop has to get traded (there'd be no pt to Detroit holding him IMO) and he could be traded into less than a full-time role whereas France is locked in as a full-timer

Jackie

2:11

K Hayes for Hader, fair trade?

Paul Sporer

2:11

Without any further context, it definitely checks out

Luis Castillo

2:11

Am I fully back? 1.71 ERA with 4 QS in June. About a K per inning. Chase % took a big jump over the month. What say you, Paul? Did the Fireside set me straight?

Paul Sporer

2:12

I believe so, yes. Early on during his struggles, I thought it was his standard hot/cold weather thing, but it went a bit beyond that as he was even struggling in some warm weather games, but now he looks like himself and the weather is heating up. The buy low opportunity is fully gone

Mr. Fister

2:12

How on earth does Brad Keller still have a job? Statistically the worst pitcher in all of baseball, so I think we can shoot past the whole "he's having an off year" stuff and go straight to the DFA conversation, no?

Paul Sporer

2:14

There's no need to DFA him since he still has options. The fact is that even w/this year's monstrous struggles, he's still a career 4.08 ERA/4.13 FIP as a 25-year old. Perhaps they need to give him a blow down in AAA or put him in the pen for a bit, but completely getting rid of him is unnecessary, espec. for a team like KC

Re: Romano Train

2:15

All I can picture is a train made of cheese.....

Paul Sporer

2:15

Cambodian Creamsicle

2:15

Marcus Semien is quietly having a top-5 in the MVP voting type year. So, maybe 2019 was the legit Semien?

Paul Sporer

2:16

No doubt. I wasn't moved off Semien based on last year at all. Loved when Toronto got him and really liked him for this year. He's great!

Ryne Sandberg

2:17

Looking under the hood on Willy Adames statcast page isn't too inspiring...

Paul Sporer

2:20

Yeah, not everyone is a Statcast darling and that's OK. I think a lot of fantasy players put waaaaaaaaay too much weight on the SC profiles and if they aren't blood red, they assume the player can't be good. That said, as I look at it right now, I'm kinda wondering what you're referencing specifically. 80th% HH, 83th% Barrel (I realize there's some overlap there), 77th% Max EV, 80th% sprint speed. His K% is trash, but that's really his TB work holding him back (35%) as he's at a perfectly acceptable 24% w/MIL

Jerry

2:20

Thoughts on Pham?

Paul Sporer

2:21

Just a general note - and not to call you out specifically bc you're not the only one - but "thoughts on" is far too vague to offer any real substance to you. Need something more specific to answer

Ashby

2:21

Well that went poorly...

Paul Sporer

2:22

Kowar-esque. It's like that sometimes.

Zach

2:22

You prefer Z Thompson or Kyle Muller? Muller looks to have more upside, but the control is a worry.

Paul Sporer

2:24

Muller probably has more upside across multiple years, but I'm not sure he does for this season only. His command and control is a problem as you mention while Thompson's command is concerning (see his HR9s in MiLB), but doesn't share the control issues w/perfectly solid BB rates. They're close so I'm really OK going with your personal preference. My preference is leaning Thompson

Parts and Gleyber

2:25

Who exactly picks the Futures Game rosters, and why is Dominguez, with all of 10 professional at bats, on one? Seems like someone who has performed in pro ball for longer should have earned that spot.

Paul Sporer

2:26

I'm not exactly sure the picking process, but it's meant to highlight the future stars of the game and Dominguez is absolutely expected to be one and is exactly the kind of guy who should be in a showcase like this. Sure, there are lesser prospects w/more stats under their belt, but if they don't have the same upside for the future, it doesn't make sense to take them. Those guys can make the ASG for their given league instead.

Jack off all trades

2:31

My preseason acquisition of Woodruff for Gleyber looks better by the day. You slam dunked all over me for mentioning that trade back in April.

Paul Sporer

2:34

I did? Where? Show me where I did that because I had Woodruff as a top 10 starter so I don't feel like I would've "slam dunked all over" you for it.

Rickey H.

2:34

Playing for next year in NL-only keeper league, have the chance to acquire T Edman or Alex Reyes. If I knew for sure Reyes would be Card's closer, I'd lean that way -- but typical volatility among RPs makes me think Edman and his SB potential is right choice. Agree? Thanks!

Paul Sporer

2:34

When it's close, I go for the hitter for sure and with Reyes' extreme volatility, it's not even that close for me here. Edman for sure

Mike

2:35

Are you comfortable plugging Jesus Sanchez into your lineup every day?

Paul Sporer

2:35

Depends on league type & size, tbh

FantasyManager

2:35

Thoughts on mullins ROS? He just appeared in a biggest xWoba overperformer article, indicating regression, but his expected stats have been trending upwards over the last month too. Sell high? Hold?

Paul Sporer

2:39

I'm not really moved by the xwOBA stuff, tbh, as it's just telling us what we should know inherently - someone out of nowhere playing like a superstar is bound to regress, but I'm not selling Mullins unless I have a specific need that he doesn't cover and I can get a star player to fulfill (like an ace arm or something). Even if his power dips (and it likely will), he has the speed to remain productive and I'm willing to ride out this special season

mike

2:39

do you think wainwright can continue to pitch well and have enough steam to start the rest of the year?

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