JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

3:52

Discussed him deeper on the pod - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-956-six... Unless he just flops, I really think he has a full-time SP role the rest of the way. Richards has no business in the rotation at this point and I'm not sure Perez does either, tbh

Logan Gilbert

3:52

Dipoto said on podcast when Gilbert was called up that with the late start + the 6 man rotation they wouldn’t have to shut him down at any point. Just pointing this out because I keep seeing people concerned he’ll stop pitching.

Paul Sporer

3:56

I'm not necessarily worried he's going to be fully shutdown, but the 6-man will cut into his workload and I could still see a pushback or two even w/the 6-man. The fact that they're sort in contention helps for sure, but there's also no guarantee he stays pitching this well the rest of the way. All that led me to my 42 ranking. I could see someone wanting him in that 29-40 tier, but I don't want to get too drunk on this run and just think he's beyond reproach from here on out. Bottom line: I'm a fan, but there are some light concerns that kept me from pushing him top 35

Cheez

3:57

Who'd you want in a keeper league - Bellinger or Buehler?

Paul Sporer

3:57

Always the hitter when it's close like that, even given Bellinger's health issues

Dr Pelotas

3:57

Non SP question but I'm a world of SS hurt. 10-teamer. Who do I cut out of London, Gleyber and Franco. Need to weather an IL storm and having all 3 is a drain. Thinking Lindoewon't

Paul Sporer

3:57

London = Lindor?

3:58

He's going to be out for a good while IMO so while Torres has been brutal, I'd still hold the healthy dud over the injured one

Guest

3:58

Paul, how do you deal with a season where everything goes wrong? In a 6 player keeper I've already traded all my useable assets for injured stars who will come back next year. At this point my team is comically bad. It's tough to maintain any interest when you have no chance at the playoffs. How do you keep it interesting in a down year?

Paul Sporer

3:59

You've done the #1 thing, which is trade useful pieces for keepable players. Best you can do from there is just respect the rest of the lg and make sure you have a full lineup and play out the string. Sometimes shit just goes completely against you and there's nothing you can do

We Stan Jarren Duran

3:59

Thoughts on Wisdom the rest of the way assuming they deal Bryant?

Paul Sporer

4:04

He'll likely become a true full-time player (though he's been playing a good bit already). He is a pretty straightforward all-or-nothing power hitter. The AVG will continue to slide but the power is legit. .230 AVG/12-15 HR

Mooseknuckle Curves

4:04

Patino tomorrow. Could he be a 2H stud?

Paul Sporer

4:09

Yes, it's certainly possible. I'll be updating the ranks on Patreon tomorrow and he'll be included, probably around 75-80. He threw 80 and 90 pitches in his last 2 AAA starts so he's stretched out. There's major upside here, a definite pickup in pretty much all leagues where he's available

Chamaco

4:10

Gonsolin - it hasn’t been one start where he hasn’t looked sharp, it has been pretty much all of him. He is running up high pitch counts, walking a lot of guys, and his slider just isn’t there. Looks like a different pitcher than last year - wonder if he is still hurt…

Paul Sporer

4:13

I really don't see it that way. He had the 8 BB in his first two starts and then put together a 1.80 ERA/0.95 WHIP with 22 K and 7 BB in 20 IP with 16 pitches per inning before the dud v. SF. He was tracking very well and then a great offense pushed him off the track a bit. I'm not that worried and still see real upside with him

robertobeers

4:14

Where are we at with Jeff McNeil in 12tm mixed?

Paul Sporer

4:19

(sorry my sister called me... one sec)

4:23

He's not a must-keep in 12-teamers given his awful power. Looks he was a product of the 2019 superball w/that power surge as he's been a complete dud since. Justin and I have this saying about some guys in 10 or 12 teamers where they belong on A roster, but maybe not YOUR roster. A team in need of AVG can find a spot for McNeil, but if AVG is a strength and you need pop, he's a cut.

4:23

If Grandal is close to returning within the next two weeks, trade away Haase or IKF?

Paul Sporer

4:29

IKF would probably draw more bc of his speed, but that's ALL he's doing. He's been brutal for a while now (.246/.280/.315, 1 HR, 18 RBI, 26 R, 10 SB in his last 275 PA). I know the SBs will still rank him pretty highly among Cs, but he's not good

What Happ-ened?

4:29

No JA Happ in the rankings. Seems intentional, but asking for a friend.

Paul Sporer

4:29

I had him 116 but ended up removing him bc I'm never starting him in any format

Vince

4:30

12-team H2H Roto, need to make a trade for power. Can you list in order — with any comments — MOST DROPPABLE from my roster Ryu, Eduardo Rodriguez, Kikuchi, Framber Valdez, McClanahan, Manoa, Cavan Biggio. Thanks

Paul Sporer

4:30

New SP ranks hot off the press https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-second-half-starting-pitche...

4:32

I just saw Biggio was included, but I'd find an SP to cut first given your power need. He has a .211 ISO since returning w/4 HR in 108 PA (24 full season pace)

Nate

4:32

Think there's a power breakout coming at some point for Ke'Bryan Hayes? I'm sure his wrist issues sapped a lot of it when he came back...debating making an aggressive buy low bid in a keeper league though

Paul Sporer

4:33

Oh yeah, I definitely see power upside in Hayes' future. Not necessarily this year, but in the coming seasons for sure

lunch angle

4:33

Robbie Ray finding the strike zone at last has been a revelation. F-strike% up five points over career, Zone% up four points over career. But how much can we trust him to keep up this level of control?

Paul Sporer

4:36

I took a while to buy in bc he had a 2.4 HR/9 thru May so I figured the lowered BB rate was just bc he was filling the zone, but it's down to 0.97 since June 1st and he's continued to have an excellent BB rate. There's nothing to suggest he's in danger of turning into a pumpkin so I'm trusting him quite a bit at this point

SaltyD

4:37

Caught up a couple weeks ago on some of the pods - the one in June with Justin still confident in the universal DH was comedy gold!

Paul Sporer

4:37

I think he's still holding Seth Beer in an NL Only juuuust in case they make the move at the trade deadline lol

Tyger

4:37

What are your thoughts on Derek Hill? Shouldn't he start every day the rest of the season and steal 20 bases?

Paul Sporer

4:43

Shoooould get pretty close to full-time burn once Robbie Grossman is traded (or I guess IF since they could keep him, but they really should deal him IMO) and he could be a nice SB source. He has gone 6/7 in SBs so far so there's major upside but I doubt he maintains a 17% BB rate

zurzles

4:43

Is the power coming for Ke'Bryan Hayes or is this who he is?

Paul Sporer

4:43

Not even sure you have to scroll up to see that I just answered that exact Q, lol

Jose

4:43

Is there anymore upside to Dylan Carlson this year and next or is what we see what we are going to get?

Paul Sporer

4:45

I still love Carlson and absolutely think he's more than just a league average hitter. He might just linger around average this year, but long-term I'm quite bullish.

4:46

OK we finally got a marathon chat on the books! I appreciate y'all for hanging out so long. Thanks so much for coming out! Follow me on Twitter (@sporer), Twitch (sporer), and Instagram (p_sporer). I’ll be streaming on Twitch tomorrow & Friday and you can definitely come by and ask questions about fantasy there. Have a good one, y’all!

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