JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Kirilloff Off

2:58

Just read that Kirilloff is going to get wrist surgery, maybe done for season. Makes sense given Twins are out of it. Do you think he's a keeper for 2022?

Paul Sporer

3:00

Son of a bitch! Really love Kirilloff, so this is a bummer. I'd need to know more specifics to determine his keeper value, but generally speaking, I'd like to acquire shares of him in keeper formats

Jay T

3:00

Is Votto underperforming his stat cast numbers because of his speed? rather, lack thereof

Paul Sporer

3:02

This can definitely happen w/older guys who are still ripping the ball, but end up turning 2Bs into 1Bs and even some 1Bs into outs (I remember this with Pujols when teams shift him deep in the hole at SS and are able to get him out at 1st on would-be 1Bs because he is SOOO slow)

Freddy Peralta

3:04

In dynasty, where do I fall in SP rankings for next season? Top 25?

Paul Sporer

3:04

Definitely top 25 for me

mplais

3:04

How long can Cole Irvin continue to dot up and outperform his peripherals

Paul Sporer

3:06

Love the super-sharp command and control, but I still see him as a 4.20-4.60 ERA type of guy. Hard to say how long he can keep outrunning the periphs, but he's a must-start right now IMO

Branch

3:07

Do you think the fantasy community underrates Kyle Hendricks? He's ranked 40th for you for the second half despite turning things around and having a history of strong ERAs and whips

Paul Sporer

3:12

He has definitely turned things around, but it's still an 18% K rate during the run which is REALLY bad. I love the 2.48 ERA/1.07 WHIP over his L12 starts, but the 10 wins are a fluke and cannot continue at that rate espec. as they deal off pieces in the lineup and pen. Without a league-leading 12 Ws, he's definitely more in the 40-45 range than the 31 rank he has thus far. So I don't think I'm underrating him. Look at Sandy Alcantara for example. He also has strong a ERA/WHIP combo, but just 5 dubs and thus slots 52nd on the Razz Player Rater (type SP in the Pos field) https://razzball.com/playerrater/

Matt

3:12

McClanahan has been kinda sneakily great of late (3.08 ERA/2.87 FIP, averaging 5.1 IP/start over his last 5 starts). Do you think the Rays' decision to limit his innings early could actually mean that he could pitch more-or-less a regular SP workload for the remainder of the season?

Paul Sporer

3:17

I'm a huge McClanahan fan, but don't forget they also have to leave some gas in the tank for October so I just don't see how he can get a full SP workload rest of way. There's about 13 starts left on the schedule for Rays SPs (67 gms left) so 5 per is 65 IP which would double his season total and set a new pro high (120.7 in '19) and that's before any playoffs which are essentially a 1.5-2x tax per IP in terms of judging workloads. I think he's got closer to 40-45 IP left so they can save some juice for the playoffs and not hinder him for '22 and beyond

Kirilloff Off

3:17

Thanks for the extra long chat, BTW. Very helpful stuff!

Paul Sporer

3:17

Thanks, I appreciate y'all hangin out!

Brujan

3:17

Brujan optioned...

Paul Sporer

3:20

Figured it was coming after a brutal start and Margot nearing a rehab. Brujan was worth a gamble bc of his upside, but he joins the list of prospects to come out of the gates stumbling. I'm not worried about him long-term and would even try to buy at a discount in dynasty/keeper lgs

Ton

3:20

Where would you have ranked Manoah if healthy

Paul Sporer

3:21

I did rank him bc he's due back so quickly. It was in the opening notes and he's ranked 36th

Brujan

3:21

This is the sign of a nice long chat: kid was striking out in the bigs when it started and down in the minors before it ended. Well done!

Paul Sporer

3:21

lol

brad

3:21

Is Buehler so low due to worries about innings?

Paul Sporer

3:24

Is 9 so low? I could see a pushback or two but I don't have any major concerns about Buehler. I quite like him, I guess I just liked those ahead of him a bit more

Ton

3:24

Out of your rankings, who is the best trade target aka buy low among the top 10-20 guys?

Paul Sporer

3:25

I'd try to target guys who I don't think will be held back IP-wise... Lance Lynn, Max Scherzer, Yu Darvish

Brujan

3:26

I've got Brujan in an al only keeper for $11. Only 3 man bench, though. Should I hold? In first right now but taking some hits.

Paul Sporer

3:26

$11 isn't super keepable. I can't imagine he'd cost MUCH more than that even with a guaranteed role heading into '22

JND

3:26

12 team dynasty league competing for the 'chip. 5x5 roto (OBP not avg) - is Hiura cuttable at this point? what is a realistic return?

Paul Sporer

3:31

Oh yes, for sure. I was cutting him a while ago, tbh

Joe

3:31

I saw that you have Darvish ranked high for ROS any concerns about spin rate?

Paul Sporer

3:32

Not really, no.

Guest

3:33

any concerns with kelenic? or is the gap between major and minor league pitching that significant?

Paul Sporer

3:33

Not really, no.

3:34

OK I just wanted to do that gag of answering the same way twice. But no, even w/the struggles again this 2nd time around, he's fine. MLB is tough!

SPRanks

3:37

Stripling started poorly this year then heated up nicely, but now has 12 R, 8 H and 4 walks over the last 4 innings. Any worry he’s turning back into a pumpkin? Are these last starts baked into your rankings?

Paul Sporer

3:41

He made a mechanical change in late-May that delivered big dividends up until these last 2 starts. There is a chance that he's lost his way w/the changes, but getting worked by TB and BOS isn't crazy to me, especially Boston. Definitely giving him another start and if he settles at NYM this weekend, I think he'll be fine

Phil

3:42

You seem high on Gonsolin. He didn't look sharp last outing vs. SF. Any reason for a relatively high rank? Was also going to ask about Cease being lower than I would think but sounds like there is an innings limit concern

Paul Sporer

3:49

Yeah 1 start isn't deterring me from Gonsolin. The Giants are 5th in wOBA against righties and tied for the 2nd-highest walk rate. I think Gonso will be a full-time starter the rest of way for LAD - https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/the-sleeper-and-the-bust-episode-956-six... ... as for Cease, yes I'm worried about his IP. I could see him and Kopech trading roles down the stretch

SPRanks

3:49

I’m a bit surprised to see Cobb in the 70s, even though his estimators say that he’s been quite unlucky so far. Are you buying ROS?

Paul Sporer

3:49

Are you thinking it's too high or too low?

High Houck

3:49

You've got Houck pretty high given the uncertainty of his starting and so-so numbers during AAA rehab. Is he someone you'll trust immediately, even against a decent offence?

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat