JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:41

LET'S GOOOO

1:41

Are you starting Whit Merrifield at this point? He's sat 3 of the last 5. Other options include Luis Urias, Nolan Gorman, and waiver wire folks including Ramon Urias and Paul DeJong. Would you cut one of the first three for one of the last two?

Paul Sporer

1:45

The waiver options tell me this a 12-teamer or lower so I'm OK with getting rid of Whit. He had bounced back nicely prior to getting traded: .280 AVG w/6 HR/12 SBs in 303 PA (14 HR & 29 SB full season paces) but he's been brutal in the disjointed TOR sample and PT is king in shallower so I'm moving on unless Merrifield starts playing everyday

KCbbq

1:45

Either of Kaprielian $1 or Jose Suarez $1 in 12 team AL only H2H keeper league worth taking a flyer on in 2023?

Paul Sporer

1:45

I prefer Suarez

Ira

1:45

what is the rationale for Pittsburgh to keep R. Contreras at AAA at this point?

Paul Sporer

1:45

No idea!

At least he's back now

1:46

Didn't see anything about Dustin May in your rankings. Your expectations?? Also, Manoah @NYY on Sunday. SP whose been so-so lately versus a struggling offense that could explode at anytime. Do you start him?? Thanks for the help.

Paul Sporer

1:47

I'm always nervous about TJ returners and the Dodgers aren't really fighting for anything so I'm not sure if he consistently gets legit starts (5+ IP), but there likely won't be a better SP talent on the wire the rest of the year so I understand going hard for him w/remaining FAAB. I can't bench Manoah, not even at NYY

Armadillofury

1:47

Phillies broadcast mentioned that they want Thor to throw the old Mets hard slider again. Last two starts he's upped both the slider velo (87.7 vs 84.3 on the season) and usage (37.2% vs 21.6% season). Anything to this? Why did he stop throwing it in the first place?

Paul Sporer

1:47

Yeah I noticed the slider thing and I'd say there's something to it. Not 100% sure why he stopped throwing it so hard, maybe self preservation? But if he's feeling well enough to throw it now, that's awesome

Gabe

1:48

Kirby or luzardo ROS?

Paul Sporer

1:48

Same tier so probably just playing schedules. Kirby also an IP mgmt. concern which pushes me toward Luzardo a bit (despite Kirby being a few ticks higher within the tier) https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/paul-sporers-updated-starting-pitcher-ra...

ke'bryan hayes

1:48

Will my power ever show at the major league level or am I just avg and SB's at 3rd base?

Paul Sporer

1:49

I think so. It's still just 925 PA for the 25 yr old. Plenty of time!

Pirate Seeing Red

1:49

Are Lodolo and Contreras worthy pickups in a 12 teamer or are they too risky on the ratios?

Paul Sporer

1:50

They are risky for ratios, but both are worth pickups. I am a HUGE Lodolo fan, especially long-term. Both of these guys have crazy volatility in the short-term so if you're protecting ratios, you might look elsewhere, but if you're looking for some potential big hits, they can absolutely deliver

1:50

Outlook on Bubba Thompson as a source for SB?

Paul Sporer

1:52

Classic can't steal 1st base kinda guy. Didn't stop me from getting in my Main Event! Until he starts losing PT (which could be on the horizon with the way he's playing so far), I'm rolling with him and hoping for any SBs I can get

Kutter

1:52

Munoz for closer next season? Is Pena still have more potential going into future seasons, i.e. is he close to his ceiling in your opinion?

Paul Sporer

1:53

Andres Munoz will be a legit closer candidate next year. I won't get into trying to call who's closing this FAR in advance for any team that doesn't have a locked down closer, but he is definitely a major consideration

Tork

1:54

Is Tork just undercooked? Showed declines every jump in the minors, so the Tigers pushed him up too early. Does that wipe some of the luster come draft time?

Paul Sporer

1:54

Getting a bit worse up the ladder is normal, but this year is just a bust. Prospect growth isn't linear. I'll have Tork in every league next year as his price will fall of the cliff after this nightmare season

Kretin

1:54

Oof, what's happened to Jared Walsh?

Paul Sporer

1:59

Looks like a power outage v. righties! His HR/FB rate took a 10-point this year and that's a big part of the fall off otherwise than standard volatility of an all or nothing profile like this.

Guest

1:59

Rutschman or Rodriguez for ROY?

Paul Sporer

2:00

I know Rutsch's WAR is riiiight there with JRod, but I lean toward the guy who has played all year. It's not Rutsch's fault he wasn't called up earlier, but there is some extra value in playing a full season and holding up to the rigors of it.

Kenny

2:00

"We overly rely on StatCast profiles to the detriment of fantasy success" - This is super interesting to me. Do you think there's anything the fantasy community is not relying on enough, also to its detriment?

Paul Sporer

2:03

I'm not sure I have one set thing. Maybe just track records overall. It's weird because we have to react quickly in the internet age of fantasy so I'm not trying to clown anyone for picking up a prospect sight unseen or even cutting a solid veteran after 6 crappy weeks to start a season only to see them get on track. Sometimes you just can't wait around in 10s and 12s. So when I say track record I think I mean more at the draft and sharp overreactions to the most recent season without given proper due to the full track record

Guest

2:03

I've been in the same fantasy league since 1993 (12-team, AL-only, 4x4, classic roto). Haven't won a title since 2004. Currently in 9th place. Still love every minute of it.

Paul Sporer

2:05

I cut my team on a 10-team AL only 4x4!! It was amazing! Started at my dad's work back in 1989. It has disbanded but it was a glorious league, especially pre-internet when I'd wait with anticipation to see if my dad and his friends were able to run the stats that week and bring home the stat packet with the standings, every team's weekly breakdown, and season breakdown by player. Loved it!!

KCbbq

2:06

Kerry Carpenter hit for power and OBP machine in AA/AAA. Are we seeing the beginning fo something that has legs.....even on a crappy Tigers' team? Worth a $1 or $2 FAAB to replace Bolt in a 12 team AL only keeper league?

Paul Sporer

2:09

Definitely taking a shot in AL only! There is a little steam taken out of the numbers when you realize his breakout was as 24 yr old, primarily in AA, but he put up another great month at AAA ahead of the call and I'm adding him in deeper mixed leagues, too. Absolutely no reason for the Tigers to not play him at least v. righties if not everyday

Salty

2:09

Re: Your comments regarding the SFG Alexs' in your rankings, the Giants have to make a sharp focus to improve their D in the offseason, right? If they do, maybe now is a good time to pick up Cobb and Wood on the cheap in dynasty/keeper, with those still competing this year or in redrafts keeping those names on the backburner for next spring.

Paul Sporer

2:10

Yeah I think they will absolutely address it this year. I wonder if they will lean toward platooners with good gloves or start to look for more everyday guys instead of running platoons across the lineup

Rich

2:10

Hi Paul. McCullers's return looked good on the surface (no runs, 5 strikeouts in 6 innings), but he walked 4, had only seven swinging strikes, got some help from a sub-.150 BABIP, and his velo was down a tick to 93mph. Would you drop him, or drop Heaney or Garrett to activate him?

Paul Sporer

2:11

I guess I'd drop Heaney right now with the way they're limiting him right now

Guest

2:11

Assuming he doesn't limp to the finish, where does Bobby Witt Jr figure to land in 2023 preseason rankings?

Paul Sporer

2:12

Top 4 rounds. He was going as high as the 4th by the end of this draft season will be up somewhere around 20 HR/30 SB!! Even with the modest slash line, the hype will still be sky high and understandably so

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