JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Prev Page View Full Chat Next Page

Sabey Sabes

2:12

Thoughts on Jose Miranda next year? Underlying says his slumps could be *ugly* but so much fun right now

Paul Sporer

2:15

We could see an improved K rate next year that would raise his floor and if the power jumped up at all along with it, he could be huge. I don't think he will be cost prohibitive in drafts so I'll be in on Miranda as a solid floor guy with strong upside

Alex

2:16

Are you maintaining any hope for Vidal, either for a stretch run call-up or long-term? His fits and starts to this point have me worried that, even if he does get the call, he doesn't necessarily have much to offer (fantasy-wise, at least)

Paul Sporer

2:17

It's still just 178 PA so I can't quit him, but we have to start seeing some of that AAA performance in the majors

2:18

And speed of course lowers the threshold of what you need to do with the bat to be useful, but you gotta do more than a 26 wRC+!!!!!

2:18

Why is Springs so good?

Paul Sporer

2:18

He came out of the bullpen and was really proud of his success

2:21

3 pitch mix, powered by a strong changeup gave him a fight chance to stick as a starter. The Rays are always smart about curating innings and not pushing their guys too far. And I'd be remiss if I didn't mention how helpful an 84% LOB rate is for a starter! I think he's more a mid-3.00s ERA true talent, but that's still plenty useful with a good WHIP and plenty of Ks so he will be an all formats options as long as the Rays are running him out there. It remains to be seen how they will manage the SP IP down the stretch, so stay tuned!

Marty

2:21

Any potential Sept Callups we should think about stashing right now?

Paul Sporer

2:21

I'll have an article out late this month with some guys I'm eyeing for Sept. call up

Blue-Color Tweeker

2:21

Iglesias. Time to set him free? I need saves.

Paul Sporer

2:22

Yeah you gotta chase some of the dudes in lesser team pens who are notching SVs

2:22

I agree with the recency bias in fantasy. I'm always surprised at how cheap a 32 year old player will be in the auction after a very small drop in performance. Then a guy like Sieya with 0 games in the MLB will go for as much a type #1 OF.

Paul Sporer

2:23

Oh yes, fantasy baseball is obscenely ageist. And let's be real, there is reason for that... guys get worse as they age, but we don't use much nuance for that in fantasy and if your age starts with a 3, chances are you will be a lot cheaper than you should be

Armadillofury

2:23

Can we please get an Italian pinched fingers gesture emoji for the chat in honor of Vinnie P?

Paul Sporer

2:23

🤌🏻🤌🏻🤌🏻🤌🏻

Rich

2:26

Actually, I stand corrected. It looks like they plan to limit Heaney to roughly 75 pitches per start ROS. That's five innings on a good day, but still not great for fantasy purposes.

Paul Sporer

2:27

Exactly! He can mix in some 5s, but it will be tough. Really dents the fantasy upside unless you just need ratios

and Ks, but even those will be limited by the IP

KCbbq

2:27

With so much hype for Riley Greene this year and him falling on his face how much of a discount are you expecting in 12 team AL only leagues?

Paul Sporer

2:27

AL hard to say if there'll be much bc pickings get so slim in AL/NL only of that size, but even 1-2 rds is worth it IMO!

Guest

2:27

What is Manea's problem?

Paul Sporer

2:29

The longball right: 10 in his last 38 IP after 11 in his first 85. That usually speaks to command trouble.

Trevor

2:29

Montas and Kirby for wheeler would you do that (I’m getting wheeler)

Paul Sporer

2:29

Kirby if you're chasing a title this year bc he is likely to be IP limited at some point

Armadillofury

2:30

Do the Braves collect kompromat on their young players to be able to sign them to below market contracts?

Paul Sporer

2:30

LOLOLOL, no they are just aggressive with it and find these win-win deals that make sense for the player and team (Albies notwithstanding... that deal was just awful, even in the contact of these types of deals. His agent... man, I dunno!)

KCbbq

2:30

Do you think Royce Lewis will have a starting job with the Twins next season? Am wondering if Correa will walk as I think he has a player option.

Paul Sporer

2:31

Yes as I do think Correa walks. Things could change w/a big October run so it's pure spec., but I see him leaving and Lewis taking SS. The thing is, Correa doesn't HAVE to leave to open a spot for Lewis as he can get an OF job, too. We also have to see how he recovers from the ACL of course

Colton

2:31

What did you think of Eckersley's comments on the Pirates last night? Didn't mince words much in that take, but definitely seemed like he was holding back a tad as well

Paul Sporer

2:31

I respect the honesty!

2:32

You don't wanna just be mean for the sake of being mean, but he wasn't wrong and it's not like he was out of pocket with his comments

Matt

2:32

Pitchers that have quietly been pretty studly: Zac Gallen and Jon Gray(prior to injury). I mean Gallen has a sub-3 ERA in Arizona…

Paul Sporer

2:34

It's a brutal division, but Arizona has some pieces to build around: Gallen, Kelly, Varsho, Thomas, Marte, Rojas off the top of my head plus some prospects on the way - namely Corbin Carroll. Gallen was a rebound candidate for me this yr and I'm really happy w/how he's pitched!

Moose_Bolton

2:34

How do you manage pitching staffs when you're starting to get close to the innings cap for your league? I've traded off a couple of pitchers to improve my hitters for after I reach the cap, but I sometimes wonder if I should start sitting starters more if they aren't outright studs.

Paul Sporer

2:35

I definitely start sitting the mid or lower tier guys more often. I don't want to be left missing my stud starts in late September. Rank your guys are you see them and start plucking starts from the guys at the bottom!

Martin

2:35

Any tips on getting ready for H2H playoffs?

Paul Sporer

2:36

Check the schedules to see what sort of edges you can gain (to the best of your ability... hard to project SPs outside of a wk or 2). Can see if offenses are going to strong parks, etc... Also check your opponents squad and see if there are spots where you can sort of counter him. Maybe some of your bench hitters are facing their pitcher on a given day and you can start them hoping for the double whammy of them giving you pts while hurting your pitcher. Little things like that is what I usually look at in my H2H playoffs

Oh, we're still going?

2:37

Curious your thoughts on Merrill Kelly. Saw he was fairly low on your rankings but (maybe to my detriment) his SC numbers look pretty good and his pitch mix is looking more like 2020 than 2021. Wondering if I should look to sell high before our deadline

Paul Sporer

2:37

Got a similar Q earlier, here was my response: Still not starting at COL or v. LAD. He's on another heater, but still with just a 16% K-BB rate which is fine but hardly elite and not strong enough to feel confident in projecting him as as more than a mid-to-highs 3.00s rest of way.

Connecting…

Message History

On Off

Your current subscriptions

None

E-mail Address	Chat Owner	Status	Remove

Enter your email address to be notified when Paul Sporer hosts a chat