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Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Red in the face

1:26

What am I to make of the glut of outfielders on the Cardinals? Who should I pick between Carlson, Nootbar, Burleson?

Paul Sporer

1:26

Noot when healthy is a cut above those 2 for sure. Carlson and Burleson will be fighting for time with an edge to Carlson

Matt

1:26

I demolished my ratios with Kopech, Berrios, and Kutter Crawford all in the same league. Should I be less aggressive with 2 start pitchers?

Paul Sporer

1:30

That's probably judging too much off the results over process to immediately tone down your 2-starters. Crawford will hopefully rebound v. DET, but how do you not go for PIT/DET as a 2-step? Kopech is someone I was starting even without a 2-start, he just got beat v. SF (some of the HRs were pretty good pitches... some were terrible, too) and Berrios I didn't mind betting on a rebound, but after a modest spring and rotten debut, I might be ready to overreact on him

Joey Votto

1:30

Is Jason Vosler the next Derek Dietrich/Scooter Gennett?

Paul Sporer

1:30

Brandon Drury!

Honkus Wagner

1:31

Grayson....my boy...look how they've massacred my boy...

Paul Sporer

1:31

I mean if they really thought he needed some work after not making the team out of spring, I'm not sure how they thought he was already fixed. Not saying I disagree w/the call-up or anything, but I won't be surprised if it's a modest debut espec. bc this Texas lineup is no joke, too

Dale

1:32

i know one start and small sample, but thoughts on Clevinger ROS? Add now, wait and see? 15 team roto and don’t see much available on the wire

Paul Sporer

1:32

Can't really wait & see in 15-teamers, so I'm OK if you're in need and want to pick him up

jAAAArred Kelenic

1:32

Well... He's got a 40% K rate and is a platoon bat sitting against lefties. Fool me three times...

Paul Sporer

1:33

*don't take a victory lap*
*don't take a victory lap*
*don't take a victory lap*
*don't take a victory lap*
*don't take a victory lap*
:sprints:

Jokes aside, nothing is settled yet. And if I victory lap Justin on Kelenic, he's just gonna drop the Eloy IL news on my head lol

Juiced Ball

1:33

It feels like very pitcher I have except Jesus Luzardo is getting shelled

Paul Sporer

1:37

I feel that and I don't even have Luzardo. Lost JV off rip and then the rest of my guys sucked including Kutter & Kopech

Loading Save State

1:37

McGough and Finnegan worth a look? Saves are such a mess this year and guys that should have a lock on the job are getting clobbered

Paul Sporer

1:37

Ehhhh.... I wasn't much for either coming in and the early returns aren't great, either. As much as I was hoping Jameson would start for Arizona, maybe he's the answer at closer? I'm staying away from Washington's closer situation

Guest

1:37

Kimbrel or Puk as a saves source?

Paul Sporer

1:38

I lean Kimbrel slightly

Great bounce back inning from Grayson, btw! Sometimes it's just nerves in those ugly 1st innings

Baseball Randy

1:38

12 team roto: Moncada, Heyward, or Brian Anderson?

Paul Sporer

1:39

I'm such a Brian Anderson stan. If he's healthy, I think he can go .280/20+ in that park. I reeeeaaalllyyy hope there's a Heyward rebirth in LA, but he prob won't play enough to be 12-tm viable unless he's hitting HRs and stealing bases, so Moncada is probably 2nd to BA for me

Cheap Seats

1:39

hi Paul, please rank Kimbrel, P. Johnson and W. Smith In saves only. Thank you.

Paul Sporer

1:40

Kimbrel, Smith, Johnson. Bard will likely be back relatively soon and I'd imagine he instantly reassumes the role as they love him in Colorado. Smith will be sharing with Leclerc and Kimbrel will probably cede some to SerAnthony & Alvarado, but he should def have a bigger share than Smith

Lorenzo

1:40

Bench Chris Bassitt until he shows some kind of glimmer of promise, or roll him out there again?

Paul Sporer

1:42

I think he's done enough to not be benched after 1 dud. I know it's hard to not overanalyze the small samples, but I'm keeping Bassitt in the lineup right now. Another mega dud would have me tapping the brakes on start 3, but for now, I'm sticking with him if I drafted him

John Olerud’s Helmet

1:42

Mr Paul!! Got a $50 bet on who has a better year Nick Gordon or Oswaldo Cabrera.I’m on the Gordon side. Every projection I can find has them extremely closely ranked. What’s your take kind sir??

Paul Sporer

1:43

You picked 2 of my favorites, but only one of em made my breakout piece for OF and that's Oswaldo so I'm on that side. That said, you're completely live. I could see that coming down to September, tbh --- https://fantasy.fangraphs.com/4-breakout-outfielders-for-2023/

Brad

1:43

Thoughts on Drey Jamison’s role this year? Are you in?

Paul Sporer

1:44

This Q was in before I made the earlier comment about him closing, but I still wanted to address it directly. I'm totally in on Jameson. Been a fan since throughout his come up and while I'd prefer he start, I won't be made if he starts getting regular saves. For now, it seems the multi-inning role is the way they're going to use him so he can shift back to the rotation when a need arises, but there is a world where he takes over the closer's role and just dominates there

Guest

1:44

Please refrain from talking about baseball players as I am DVRing the whole season. Thank you.

Paul Sporer

1:45

😏😏😏

(Just teasin the earlier commenter, not trying to be nasty. I totally get DVR'ing games and not wanting them spoiled, it's just tough to then go into baseball-heavy spaces and expect a spoiler-free environment)

Quarantino Martinez

1:46

Josh Lowe also has a better k/BB situation. Any optimism?

Paul Sporer

1:46

Yeah we always talk about not quitting guys like this after 200-400 PA because things are super unsettled still. He has a 5% Swinging Strike Rate early on and that's fantastic. Like Mateo, if he can improve his plate skills, there is tons of upside given his pwr-spd capability

Farhandrew Zaidman

1:47

Very very early indications based on the work of Codify and Dr. Meredith Wills indicate the ball has less wind resistance this year that the past few. Coincidentally we're seeing a bunch of personal best exit velos and an uptick in HR. Long intro to a simple question: how much of a story will the ball be this year?

Paul Sporer

1:48

It'll be a story every year until they're less secretive about it which will probably be never so folks like Codify and the good Dr. will stay doing excellent work to give us knowledge about the ball which we can then use for fantasy purposes! It's an X-factor every year. If I could magically be granted any single piece of info every yr before my fantasy drafts, it'd be "what ball are we using?"

Mitch Keller

1:48

Am I breaking out today?

Paul Sporer

1:49

It's been a great outing, but breakouts are rarely done in a single game. I do believe he can build upon last year and continue his ascent. I'm a Keller believer

Swearing of Suarez

1:49

Degrom is so nasty

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