JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat | 4/5/2023

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

1:50

Just utter filth. I instinctively switch tabs when my gf walks in if I'm watching deGrom bc it feels like I should be hiding it

That and JV's BRef page

laughing

2

Spot

1:50

Is Kyle Stowers worth holding in a 15-team Ottoneu FG points league? Pretty crowded situation

Paul Sporer

1:55

I was hoping he'd be the strong side platoon, but yea he's not playing much so I'd be OK moving in right now if there's someone you want on the wire

Ugh

1:55

I'm very frustrated watching home plate umpires miss ball/strike calls constantly... I really wish they would remove the K zone on the TV so it would be less obvious. Do we have a chance at robo umps any time soon?

Paul Sporer

1:55

I can see robo umps in the next couple yrs

deGrom 99, 99, 100 mph punchouts to fan the side. PLEASE STAY HEALTHYYYY, we deserve it as baseball fans!!!

Spot

1:55

Watching Arcia closely for signs of a breakout, any interest?

Paul Sporer

1:57

Orlando? Yeah I think he's a decently solid player. A worthy 15-team option who could play into some shallower formats if his hitting comes along. He was pretty good in his 234 PA sample last yr so when he won the job, it put him on my deep lg radar

CJ

1:57

Fraley or Myers in the Cincy outfield? Daily league, categories including OBP, where I could bench Fraley vs lefties when needed!

Paul Sporer

1:58

Ahh, why you making me choose between my 2 faves? I wouldn't stop talking about either this year and got them across many leagues. If I have to choose just one, I lean Fraley as I suspect he will run more than Myers, but they're v close for me (mere cents apart in my projections)

Last of the OFs

1:58

Looking for a last OF, AL only OBP league. Isbel, Vierling, Kiermaier, Capel, or J. Lowe?

Paul Sporer

2:03

Intriguing group. Isbel is on the Paternity List right now, Capel just isn't playing right now (but I really like his skills). I think we know what KK is. Lowe is a pure platoon which isn't an eliminating factor in AL Only, but Vierling is playing daily so I lean his way. Short-term: MV, JL, KI, CC, KK... long-term: KI, MV, JL, CC, KK

Guest

2:03

complaint: some of the baseball zen's aren't very zen

Paul Sporer

2:03

lol truuuueeee

Swearing off Suarez

2:03

That Degrom k of Santander should definitely qualify as pornography

laughing

1

Paul Sporer

2:03

LOL right???

Guest

2:03

I know small sample and all but Syndergaard's statcast and underlying metrics looked solid. Where do you see him ROS for pts leagues with added points for QS? What are some players you have ranked around him that are widely rostered?

Paul Sporer

2:07

I'm fully in the bag for Thor, so let me get that bias on the table. LA's penchant for fixing guys only added to my interest in him and obviously I loved the debut. The velo was down, but I think they can find a path to success even at a lowered velo by leaning on his secondary stuff. He was my 86th ranked SP around MKeller, MBoyd, JUrquidy, and teammate DMay

jay

2:07

how long of a leash are you giving berrios before you pull the plug in shallow leagues?

Paul Sporer

2:07

If there's someone I really want on the wire and I don't have another cut, I might be ready already. This isn't just 1 start. It's last year, a bad spring, and a poor debut. I've been a long-time Berrios believer, but I'm losing faith. His fastball is just SOOO hittable

J

2:07

Not a great start for Wesneski yesterday but worth noting he's 3rd among starters in BotOvr and 13th in pitching+. A lot of promise there.

Paul Sporer

2:08

Yeah, I'm not worried at all by the outing. Not his best, but I also really like the Cincy lineup and of course the park is tough so he gets leeway with me. If shallow leaguers cut him, I'd insta-scoop

Grayson!

2:08

Grayson looking nasty after the rough start. If he stays up, do you break the bank in AL only FAAB? (was draft ineligible)

Paul Sporer

2:10

Only if I have $0 bids. I can't leave myself in a position where I can't make any changes. And even then, I'd be leery truly breaking the bank for a rookie SP who they've said will an IP mgmt. Now they did say it won't be a hard stop in Aug/Sept, but rather in-game mgmt... that could manifest in fewer win opps. and of course lowered K totals with 4-5 IP outings on occasion to save some bullets and hopefully get him through all 6 months. He's super appealing for obvious reasons, but I'd be in the $60s on a $100 budget at most. If someone wants to go harder than that, I'm OK letting them

C cray

2:10

o/u on 162 games played for d'arnaud

Paul Sporer

2:10

OVER! lol

Kyle

2:11

Level of concern for Lauer / T. Anderson? Results were fine first time out, but missing velo

Paul Sporer

2:11

Not terribly concerned off 1 start

Kolton

2:11

Kolton Wong is starting to get platooned and now dropped in the lineup. I think you were out pre-season, but how concerned should I be?

Paul Sporer

2:12

Depends on league type. Can probably absorb it in a 15-teamer or deeper but starts to get cuttable pretty quickly in 12s and lower. As you mention, I wasn't huge on him coming in so I'd keep my eye on the wire for a potential replacement.

deGrom looking human in the 5th!

Punk in drublic

2:12

What do you think about some of the young guys in the Arizona bullpen, namely Jameson and Vargas?

Paul Sporer

2:16

Ctrl-F for Jameson as I've mentioned him a couple time (short answer: I love him). Carlos Vargas is a sneaky guy to keep tabs on. I actually learned about him playing OOTP as he became a late-inning RP for me in a franchise I'm doing which led to looking him up IRL. Throws 100+, has tons of swing-and-miss, and of course also lacks control... your prototypical flamethrower. Had a 39% K and 18% SwStr at AAA last yr and I wouldn't be surprised if he found his way toward the 9th if the BB% is manageable (10-12% is workable if you're fanning 30%+). Deep lg spec at best right now but probably only need to watchlist him for now

Kate

2:16

I feel like it's easy to be patient with hitters, but my pitching has gotten blown up so far and I'm a little concerned. Only 1-2 starts, I know, but what are some things you might notice in the early going that you would look at as red flags other than a big velo drop?

Paul Sporer

2:18

Outside of velo there isn't too much that's really going to worry me after 1-3 starts. Sharp SwStr drops, major BB% jumps. All of my top half of the draft pitchers are getting at least 5 starts.

Chone of the Dead

2:18

Chappy throwing 103.5mph last night. Is he relevant in a ten team points league?

Paul Sporer

2:19

Not unless Holds are rewarded or he takes over the closer's role from Barlow. He's still walking the yard and will remain pretty volatile.

Ghost of Patrick Corbin

2:19

Why do the Nationals keep sending me out to take a beating? Do they not accept my contract is a sunk cost? My slider went from one of the best pitches in baseball to one of the worst. I'm clearly awful, but they keep sending me out every 5th day. Is this a nightmare? Am I a character in a Kafka novel?

Paul Sporer

2:21

Teams don't really apply the sunk cost fallacy. And in a way, I get it. If you're paying him, you want to try & get something from the contract. Yes, you're paying it no matter, but in Washington's case, it's not like they have legitimate options being benched in favor of Corbin so I kinda get it. But yeah, he seems cooked af

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