JotCast | Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

Paul Sporer Rotographs Chat

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Paul Sporer

3:45

I generally wait until it's upon me bc if I have a decent core, you never know so I'm unlikely to give up on a season before the first pitch is ever thrown

Beach life

3:45

Tell me that Francisco Mejia will get his chance to start at catcher for SD? He had his cup of coffee already - no need in holding him back right?

Paul Sporer

3:45

....... I can't quite say that 100%. Hedges is a damn fine defender so he's going to get his burn. Without a trade, Mejia doesn't have a clear path

Beef

3:46

So we're really gonna watch the Super Bowl without Manny Machado and Bryce Harper being signed. This sucks. What fantasy sport are you going to write about during the strike of 2022?

Paul Sporer

3:46

Fantasy MLB The Show and Out of the Park Baseball where I host leagues and then play out the games on my Twitch stream

Cory

3:46

In a keeper league, where I can keep him for this year and next year and stash him on a DL spot, would you keep Cespedes? Or would you let him be someone else's headache?

Paul Sporer

3:47

If it's a free DL spot and you have others for the inevitable other injuries that will crop up, I say hold it. He could be a great stretch run addition for you

Michael

3:47

Hey Paul, how are you feeling about The Dentist this year? Seems like we’ve entirely soured on him since last season, but has a lot changed in that profile? Some BABIP luck with full time at bats seems potentially intriguing still

Paul Sporer

3:48

(Delino DeShields is The Dentist for those unaware... DDS) ...... his price has TANKED so I'm back in now. He rose way too high last year and I wasn't able to get him anywhere (thankfully as it turned out), but now as a mid-300s pick, let me get those cheap SBs

Joliet Jake

3:50

Who are you more bullish on this year - Austin Meadows or Harrison Bader?

Paul Sporer

3:51

Meadows. Love watching Bader play bc of that defense, but until I see improvements vR, I gotta tamp down my excitement for fantasy baseball w/Bader

Ryan

3:51

How do you value Aranado as a keeper going forward, I mean last year in CO, won't there be some serious regression coming?

Paul Sporer

3:52

I wouldn't say *serious*. Keep in mind that Rockies get impacted by a Coors Hangover that hurts their road numbers. Everyone shaves off their home numbers, but never accounts for the road penalty. Outside of Colorado, Arenado is probably a high-.800s/low-.900s kinda hitter with low-to-mid 30s HR totals and strong R/RBI (depending on park & lineup). He's still going to be a beast IMO

Evan

3:52

Hi Paul!

Paul Sporer

3:52

Hey Evan!

Scott TINSTAAPP

3:52

So which Astros arms not named Justin or Gerrit are gonna have 150 IP this year?

Paul Sporer

3:52

Josh, Collin, and Wade

3:52

Is actually signing free agents the new market inefficiency?

Paul Sporer

3:53

LOL, right? That's why teams like CWS and SD are jumping in. They see these top guys available and there is still value to be had at the top end. Top and bottom ends of the FA market can still be winners. It's that mid-market that delivers most of the busts

Zack

3:54

Baez for belllinger too light? I have a ton steals and could roll with andujar at third and arenado at corner.

Paul Sporer

3:54

Nah, that's pretty fair. You might be able to get a cheap secondary piece w/Belly bc Baez is so hyped right now while Belly's hype subsided, but I don't have them too far apart

jvetter

3:54

Over/Under 500 PA for Adam Jones

Paul Sporer

3:54

Need a landing spot. 600+ if he goes to Cleveland

Ham

3:55

Hey Paul, thanks for chatting! I'm working on a pay structure for a 12-team roto league w/ a $50 buy-in, and I'm trying to keep as many people interested over the course of a season as possible. Any tips?

Paul Sporer

3:57

Having a buy-in helps... the proverbial skin in the game. Could do something where not placing teams get incentives/dis-incentives... like if top 4 pays out, then 5th gets top pick (or top choice, maybe they don't want #1). Like 5-6-7 get top 3 choices then 1-4 then 8-12 or something. No, finishing 6th or 7th isn't some great achievement,but it keeps teams battling. Rewarding tanking is always bad in fantasy

Clay

3:57

Do you think teams might jump into the Harper/Machado sweepstakes with 6 or 7 year offers at AAV of $35-37M in with an opt out in year 3 or 4? Seems like that might be more attractive that what is being offered now.

Paul Sporer

3:57

Whatever the deal is, it will be complicated

Bman

3:57

Why is everyone down on Marco Gonzales (ADP 270ish)? He's slated to be the #1, had FIP and xFIP in the 3.5s, and his new cutter has a .283 xwOBA!

Paul Sporer

4:01

Being the #1 doesn't mean anything. It doesn't inherently make you better. He's 107th among all Ps (incl. RPs) which seems fair. He's a control artist but doesn't really have great command to go with it. I think he's a true talent high-3.00s/low-4.00s guy with a mediocre K rate. I don't know that everyone's down on him, I think he's just part of a glob so he could range as high as 210 or so and I'm OK w/that. I think he's solid, but just don't see a ton of upside

Ryan

4:01

last keeper spot (of 12)- Devers or Marquez? Same price, balanced roster

Paul Sporer

4:01

Devers for me

Ryan

4:01

How many ABs can we realistically expect from Astudillo?

Paul Sporer

4:02

350 realistically. Needs to carve out some time and it's not there yet. The beauty is that any injury seems to bring him into consideration

4:02

Based on your interactions with your readers, if you played in 10 roto leagues against them, how many do you think you would win? (assuming you had the time)

Paul Sporer

4:03

I dunno, what's a normal win rate for a quality fantasy player? I think I'm a pretty solid player and I'd continue to win at my normal rate. Skill can keep me in the top half, but it takes plenty of good luck to win, too

John E

4:03

What is your preferred order in NFBC?

Paul Sporer

4:03

1-2-3-15-14-13 then just 4-12

dezre

4:03

which projection systems do you typically like best when prepping preseason rankings?

Paul Sporer

4:03

I don't overly favor any. I like the ones we have on our pages

Vegan Man!

4:04

Garrett Hampson hit 10 HR in 110 games across AA/AAA last year (to go along with his elite OBP and 40 SB). Do you think he can hit 12-15 HR this year in COL? Think he's a CIF starter in 14 team points leagues? Thanks!

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