Szymborski Chat, 12/7/2015
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NotYourAverageBear
12:10
If the DBacks get another solid starter and a couple elite bullpen arms, is it not fair to say they're a real contender for the NL West?
Dan Szymborski
12:10
I think they're already close enough to be interesting, though far from the favorite.
Curtis
12:11
Where to the Ms go for starting pitching now that Iwakuma is gone?
Dan Szymborski
12:12
I think they look at Chen. Not because of some Asian player quota, I simply think he's a good fit there.
Jake
12:12
Hey Dan, thanks as always for your time. NYY is still in a weird place; most of their money comes off the books next season, in line for one of the worst FA classes in a while. Assuming the right trade never opens up, does signing Heyward+Wei Yin Chen give them a reasonable 90+ win expectation for 2016?
Dan Szymborski
12:12
I'd probably take the lighter side of that, simply because there are a lot of things that can quickly go horribly wrong
Neil Huntington
12:12
What kind of deal do you anticipate Cliff Lee getting and is there any way of knowing who might be interested yet?
Dan Szymborski
12:12
1/10 possibly
erniecamacho
12:12
Dan!!
Dan Szymborski
12:12
Ernie!!! More exclamation points. I win.
The Dude
12:12
When a team signs a good free agent, they win the "[player's name] Sweepstakes." What do you call it when a team signs a really mediocre player?
Dan Szymborski
12:13
Funny.
leprekhan
12:13
Your projections for the Braves are understandably low. Who amongst the Braves offense has the best chance to outperform their projections?
Dan Szymborski
12:13
Olivera as there are unknowns.
David
12:13
J.Ross/T.Turner for C. Seager. Who says no?
Dan Szymborski
12:13
Dodgers
Trainman
12:13
So how scared should we be of the Dodgers? Chapman- Jansen combo, rotation though after Kershaw has questions. Do they pay for Cueto now?
Dan Szymborski
12:13
The Dodgers with their money and willingness to spend, are always a threat for any good pitcher available.
Guest
12:13
What would you do if you're the Mariners Gm now?
Dan Szymborski
12:14
Get to Nashville really quick since I'm not there and I really should be.
WHY DID YOU GUYS HIRE ME DURING DAY 1 OF THE WINTER MEETINGS, THIS WOULD MAKE MORE SENSE LAST WEEK, ILL BE THERE IN A FEW HOURS I NEED TO CALL HERTZ
Jeff
12:14
Is Zobrist a good fit for the Mets? Wouldn't they be better off with Desmond/Herrera than Flores/Zobrist?
Dan Szymborski
12:15
I would not sign Zobrist if I'm the Mets. Or, more practically, the Mets GM since it's weird for a person to be a franchise.
Trainman
12:15
If the Mets miss on Zobrist, how would Dilson Herrera project as a Murphy replacement?
Dan Szymborski
12:15
Well.
Julio Pepper
12:16
How did Hisashi Iwakuma just get half as much money as Jeff Samardzija? Does ZIPs agree with Steamer that Iwakuma is a better pitcher right now? Why is he always criminally undervalued?
Guest
12:16
If the d' backsgot Fernandez would that put them atop the west?
Dan Szymborski
12:17
Dammit, I keep posting comments as URLs and they get thrown away
Because I'm used to ctrl-enter for CiL
ZiPS likes Shark better overall, Iwakuma on a per-inning basis
12:18
Say what you will about Shark, but he has good attendance, which does matter for a pitcher!
Guest
12:18
Will Jesus Montero start for the M's at @ 1st?
Dan Szymborski
12:19
I suspect he does not.
Guest
12:19
Would this week be the highest traffic week for mlbtr?
Dan Szymborski
12:19
How woudl I know?
Ernie Camacho
12:19
How does ZiPS deal with handedness and platoon usage for batters? Does it essentially project performance against LHP and RHP separately and then project the platoon use? Take Ryan Raburn for example: how should we interpret his projection?
Dan Szymborski
12:19
ZiPS assumes past usage of platoon splits. I project platoon splits separately in the final posted spreadsheet
12:20
ZiPS has no mechanism for predicting future platoon usage and I'm not sure if I can even make such a thing
Neil Huntington
12:20
Should the D-Backs have interest in a guy like Neil Walker? It's an upgrade by a lot over whoever they run out there to play 2nd.
Dan Szymborski
12:20
If they're going win now, they need to do stuff to win now.
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