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Top 100 Prospects Chat
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Matt
12:41
If Jasson dominguez was on the list now where would he be?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:41
We didn't go thru the exercise yet, but he isn't the last guy and may actually crack the top 100
AJ
12:42
Can you give us a couple of names that aren't in the top 100 consideration this time, but have a good chance to landing within top 50 this time next year?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:42
We will do that tomorrow in our picks to click article
Here's last year's list. We did pretty good!
Eric A Longenhagen
12:43
Would you folks like it if we had an option of seeing amateur players mixed into the pro guys on The Board?

Yes (60.4% | 136 votes)
 
No (32.4% | 73 votes)
 
What's The Board? (7.1% | 16 votes)
 

Total Votes: 225
greg
12:43
Tony Santillan was listed as a 50 FV on the Reds list, but didn't show up on the top 130.  Was there a common deciding factor on guys listed as 50's but not included on this list?
el Guapo
12:43
Curious how much listed heights and weights get updated. Is that entirely relying on teams for that information. Weight gain is an obvious example where those numbers are probably off some (Gohara 240) but I'm actually asking more in terms of height and especially for SPs. Seems like with younger prospects that sign at 17-18 by the time they are 22 are their true heights reflected or is that still what they signed at? Seems relevant for that 5-11 guy who is now 6-2/6-3 in terms of handling a starter's load.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:44
Especially for Latin players, they often don't change from when they sign (about 16) to when they reach the bigs (sometimes 6-7 years later)
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
just reposting so people just joining know: Santillan and Shed are on there and got lost during database import, we''ll fix after the chat.
Comparitives
12:44
More of an accounting question: The top 100 list is meant as a real life ranking system more than a fantasy top 100 correct?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
yes
tommyboy
12:44
In the Taveras writeup, you mentioned that many scouts/execs told you to move down your list. Were they telling you to move him down from 94 or did you bump him down to 94 as a result of their feedback?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:44
the latter
Eddy
12:44
Isn't there a fear of having teams sway you one way or another on prospects because you go to them for their opinion? Can you clarify why you rely on them as opposed to your looks? Seems like there could be some conflict of interest
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:45
We're very aware of this and have found over time which sources are trustworthy and also scouts that have a better track record than others, even with certain sorts of players. There's pretty easy ways to crosscheck opinions we get that seem unbelievable, but sometimes they end up checking out
Big joe Mufferaw
12:45
The yankees have been awesome at trading prospects that turn into "nothing" and keeping prospects that turn into very good players (seriously, since the Cashman regime took over, look at the track record). Does that impact your lists at all?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:45
Probably subconsciously but it's not a driving force behind how we line guys up.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:45
Like if I talked to one guy about Jasson Dominguez, I would assume he wasn't that good, but after 4-5 guys give me about the same story we realize that guy is probably legit
Weenie
12:46
Singer got picked 18th overall. 50 FV's don't go that low. Obviously clueless guys running draft rooms too.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:46
Well he also got a well above slot bonus and he also has a delivery that some teams just wont pay big bonuses for, so he had less consensus than most accomplished college pitchers
Eddie
12:47
I have not seen an updated kotah rankings from you guys.  Will you be doing this for 2019?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
Chris Mitchell took KATOH with him to (redacted)
Marc
12:47
No Johnny Lasagna love despite the flashes he showed in the majors? Just wondering what would drop him from a 50 FV to a 45+
Eric A Longenhagen
12:47
all the shoulder stuff, pretty clear in the NYY writeup
Chris
12:49
Was Elehuris Montero close to cracking the list at all? Seems to have a decent hit/power combo, albeit 3b seems like best case scenario.
Eric A Longenhagen
I think he's one of Kiley's picks to click for tomorrow tho
el Guapo
12:49
Thanks for all the work you guys do. Witnessing the evolution of FG from a fringe website for baseball nerds to something that gets referenced in every baseball broadcast has been awesome. The depth of the prospect work you do is amazing and keeps me coming back every day.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:49
Thanks!
Mike Fetters
12:50
If Baez is the high end outcome for Jazz Chisholm, what does a median outcome look like? Pre 2018 Trevor Story? Jazz is probably the most interesting prospect to me on this list.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:50
I don't think Baez is a possible outcome, just think Jazz swings otu of his ass like Javy does.
Roger
12:52
What might an outcome probability distribution look like for Dustin May vs Luis Patino?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
that's a thoughtful question but there's an answer for it on the 100 article already
Fritz Ferter
12:52
Logan Gilbert is back end 100 if he shows velocity return and command?  Yay or nay?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:52
yay
Mister Baseball Man
12:53
Holy high guys on Kebryan Hayes! Is the expectation that he will eventually be an above average producer on offense, or is the defense simply that good?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:53
we think there's a chance of both, just like with Pache
Bitter Fan
12:53
Why do you hate my team(s)?
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