JotCast | Top 100 Prospects Chat with Eric and Kiley

Top 100 Prospects Chat with Eric and Kiley

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Eric A Longenhagen

1:10

For Billy: Yup, this is a great question. Remember what sprint speed measures: The fastest single second a player posts after they've accrued a baseline of max-effort runs. It literally measures JUST the fastest second. I think that's too narrow to be useful in the middle of the sample where acceleration and sustaining speed over great distance makes a huge difference when we're lining up runners.

Kiley McDaniel

1:11

BCJ: Again, the comments on Burdi explain why we like him and we also valued RP and SP/RP guys more than in the past due to factors discussed before. Still not many slam dunk relievers on the list but we'll have a list of 45 FV relievers we like coming tomorrow.

Rockie Dangerfield

1:11

Is this the first time y'all have set a prospect's PV on a tool higher than its FV? I can't recall ever seeing that before.

Kiley McDaniel

1:11

Common for teenage power-type guys or catchers to have speed projected to slip a tick or two

Eric A Longenhagen

1:11

I don't think measuring speed with a stopwatch from home to first is perfect, but I think it's combination of relevance, application and ease of measurement makes it king of all speed measurement, still.

VampWeekAtBern

1:12

Former 1st round pick, Nick Travieso, missed 2017 with a shoulder injury. If he rebounds 100%, do you see him as a 45 FV or better?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:12

Was a reliever for me pre-injury so probably a 40

mikecws91

1:12

Listing Zack Collins as a 1B is fightin' words! In your eyes, what are the odds he sticks at catcher? 25% maybe?

Kiley McDaniel

1:13

I think he's mid career Carlos Santana. Bat you want in the lineup, 1B/DH and maybe once a week at catcher, more of a 3rd catcher than a backup since you don't want to wear him out multiple times a week.

The Man With No Name

1:13

I'm curious about the relationship of league-wide trends at the MLB level and in the minors, specifically the flyball revolution. Did that arrive in MLB first? If so, how far down has it filtered in terms of instruction (i.e. teaching batters to get more loft)? Or was that something that was happening, for one reason or another, at lower levels (minors or even below) that has filtered up?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:13

I think we're at the point now where it has trickled down into player dev for low-minors players and that we're going to see real effects on the big league game in the next tree years

and not all of them will be good

1:14

And at some point we'll reach a critical mass of the Ur Swing and everything will collapse, which I'll enjoy because I don't like to watch three true outcomes baseball.

Giants fan

1:14

give me hope?

give me hope

The Laser Show

1:15

Approx. how many more 50 FV prospects are there besides the HM's on your list?

Kiley McDaniel

1:15

Just the ones in the list and listed just below it. 136 I think was the count?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:16

I still think there are a couple that, when we deeply examine the orgs, we'll feel they're a 50. But that's maybe 5 guys?

Cuyahoga Skin

1:16

How close was Lowther, drafted 2nd round Baltimore last year?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:16

Not especially close, but I do like him and so does Chris Mitchell.

Kiley McDaniel

1:17

Definitely a guy to watch the surface numbers on, because the deception and whatnot won't really show up in scouting reports.

Bryan

1:17

Brandon McKay with a 60 arm? I figured a top pitching prospect would by 70+ by default. How is arm measured for position prospects.

Kiley McDaniel

1:18

This always varies. Some guys with 70 arms get on the mound and throw 84 mph and can never figure it out. Some guys throw 95 and have a 50 arm in RF. Other times it matches up perfectly. The mechanical aspects of throwing from the field and on the mound are different enough that some guys are much better at one than the other.

Dan

1:18

Will we be hearing a lot about Vidal Brujan by the end of this year? Same with Gilberto celestino? Full season teenagers?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:18

(Sinister Jack Nicholson nod)
I'm unhealthily smitten with Brujan. Kiley, get ready to hear about him on the phone after this.

Kiley McDaniel

1:19

We may end up in a Brujajan if that happens

Pie

1:19

Is it Duplanti-AY or Duplanti-ERR?

Kiley McDaniel

1:19

Pretty sure it's french and AY

Eric A Longenhagen

1:19

https://streamable.com/ojs5y

UncleWeez

1:19

Eric's thirsty for tools & Kiley loves safety, yet Eric had Mahle higher than Siri, and that changed on the Top 100 with Kiley's input. Care to discuss?

Kiley McDaniel

1:20

We aren't that easy to pin down? Preferences get overwhelmed if we just like any one player more than another

Johnny

1:21

Who are the several most *fun* prospects to watch play and why?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:21

Just to limit it to the 100, I'll say Bi\chette, Whitley, Calhoun, Abreu's stuff is freaking crazy, and Siri

chance adams

1:21

where is my name :(

Kiley McDaniel

1:22

this just got real :(

Keith

1:22

I didn't really expect him to make this list, but man, Franchy Cordero is so intriguing to me. One of the best ARLs in AAA last year. Yes, the K/BB is obviously holding him back a bit, but he seemed to be showing some positive signs in the Dominican League this winter with a better than a better than 1:2 BB:K ratio, while obviously still hitting well. I think he might be more young Carlos Gomez than current Keon Broxton. What do you guys think about him? Was he considered at all for a 50 FV/HM?

Eric A Longenhagen

1:22

We talked about him because the speed and power on contact are exceptional, but we think the tools play way down in games because of his approach and poor defensive instincts.

VampWeekAtBern

1:22

Is there such thing as a stupid question?

Kiley McDaniel

1:23

Just stupid people that ask questions

Pat

1:23

All of Baltimore is on the edge of their seat waiting for you to answer a Hays question. Please do so. I'm sure you've received many.

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