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Top 100 Prospects Chat with Eric and Kiley
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AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:56
whole arsenal, but it obviously varies by pitch
Max
12:56
Never gotten comment through
Billy Beane
12:56
What is your rationale behind putting players at a projected position even if they've never played it?
Eric A Longenhagen
12:57
'member when Miguel Cabrera spent his first two pro seasons at shortstop? It's just subjective projection on guys like Vlad and Chavis, you can either buy that we have good feel for that kind of thing or not, totally fine.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:57
Going back to an earlier comment: we are projecting. We know Chavis and Vlad Jr. haven't played 1B before. If we think they're both below average 3B that move and could only fit in a regular role at 1B...do you want us to list them at 3B when we think they won't play there? You can look up the hard data about where they played, we're trying to tell you what's going to happen.
Stupid McStupidface
12:58
Likewise, Bo Bichette has a current 30 Hit Tool. Is this because if you were to put him in the show now, his hit tool would be 30? If so, that's kind of confusing and seems incredibly low even if that was the case.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:58
I feel like your name undercuts the question a bit
DB
12:58
What happened with Tigers' pitchers this year? Manning, Perez, Burrows all at the bottom or off the list. Are they hitting bumps in the road, or is this just one of those cases where it's hard to rank 50-ish FV guys consistently?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
12:59
Also these hit tool grades can change a lot for players like these. Carlos Correa was probably a 20 in Low-A then a 40 in Double-A then like a 60 right when he got called up. Tippy top prospects can prove themselves very quickly when we know the tools are present. it would be silly to call Correa a 60 hit when he's in Double-A even if a month later it would look like that may have been correct.
Eric A Longenhagen
12:59
Manning hit a bump but we still like him. Burrows had a huge mechanical change last year (his stride direction is totally different) so we wanna see more of what that changes, and we also like him, just not quite enough to slam dunk him on the 100. Perez I touched on already.
Joe
1:00
What kept Chance Sisco out of the top 100?
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:01
For a guy without standout speed or defense that moves to 1B if he can't catch, you need to really rake and we'd like to see more in that area.
Ryan
1:01
What about Dane Dunning keeps him from being a 50?  He has pedigree (FL and 1st rounder), results, and good stuff across the board. Is it just the lack of something exceptional?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:01
You nailed it exactly. We like him as a #4 starter, think he's a 50 without much ceiling above that.
Vladmir Putin Jr.
1:01
Only a 65 for Vlad Jr's hit tool? Seems low relative to industry consensus and his stat line last year.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:02
Answered this one on twitter, but projecting guys in A-Ball to be 70 or better hit or power is super dupe rare and obviously not much margin for error. I also feel like people aren't talking as much about how Vlad Jr. doesn't lift the ball that much, so his K/BB and average profiles will likely change when he starts doing that because I bet he will. Can't just scout the stat line, even when it's historically good
Tom
1:03
Can Eric Haase be an everyday MLB C and if not, does the bat play anywhere else? Power spike last year in limited ABs, but not sure if the receiving is there.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:03
We talked about Haase near the back of the list. We think the power is real but teams I talked to thought he was old for the level, thought he stuck out too much and had a 40 or 45 on him. I do know scouts who think he's an everyday player but industry opinion overall is a bit beneath that.
Scott
1:03
You guys seem more bearish on Mackenzie Gore than other sites. Obviously you like him, any particular reason you see mid-rotation potential though?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:04
Was 90-93 once a week last year, I don't know that his velo spike in the summer holds.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:05
Agree--he isn't huge and velocity tends to go down as you age anyway. Most command-focused starters will choose to dial down as well. Velo isn't the calling card here.
Francona
1:05
Would like thoughts on George Valera, Indians’ big ticket international signee, realizing he has yet to play an organizer game. Thanks
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:05
Not much speed or defense but a really pretty swing and real power. I mean you could squint and say it could be Kyle Tucker, another celebrated teenager with comparable tools but Valera has obviously a long way to go to reach that.
JaKob
1:06
Was Brent Rooker even considered for the top 100? He claimed the SEC Triple Crown and came out of the draft on fire.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:06
As we talk about 40 and 45 guys we like for next year and try to put them into buckets we can write about, one of my groups is 'The guys who are staring us in the face' and I think Rooker and LaMonte Wade are two of those guys.
BK
1:06
Who's the best defender on this list?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:06
Pache
Generic Fan
1:07
Why are you so biased against my team?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:07
I hate everything (sips PBR)
Patrick
1:07
Looking to this year's draft, how do Brady Singer and Kyle Wright compare as prospects?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:07
(rides away on fixed gear bike)
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:07
I would prefer Wright but not amazingly far off
(puts on vest and goes back to being a mixologist)
Eric A Longenhagen
1:07
I think Wright and it's more clear to me
Hannah Hochevar
1:08
Thanks for the excellent list and info!  Thoughts on Ryan Mountcastle? High on ba but off fg.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:08
We have concerns about the approach. Same reason we left off Alfaro. Has the bat to ball skills, though.
Luke
1:08
Favorite pure 2019 college bat? Just looking at hit/power, not factoring in defensive and baserunning considerations.
AvatarKiley McDaniel
1:09
Okay not top 100 prospects but here's some names for you. Matt Wallner, Bryson Stott, Bobby Witt Jr., Drew Mendoza, Andre Nnebe, Adley Rutchman
Bob Cooter Jim
1:10
It seems like you value relievers significantly more than most other lists (i.e. Zack Burdi making the list), what’s your reasoning for that?
Billy Beane
1:10
So question: J.P. Crawford appears on the list with 'average' speed, but he was the 32nd fastest player in baseball last year and has the same sprint speed as Jarrod Dyson. Similarly Matt Chapman had a 40 slapped on his speed metric and he has the same speed as the average CFer by statcast. Is this because of acceleration? Like you think Crawfod doesn't get to his speed quickly enough? I'm not trying to criticize, just understand.
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