Top 50 MLB Free Agents Chat
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Tim Dierkes
1:06
Welcome to our Top 50 free agents chat!  Sorry for the late start.
Steve Adams
1:06
Sorry about that technical hiccup, haha, we're good now.
Guest
1:06
how many top 10 FAs do you see signing before Dec 1?
Steve Adams
1:06
Off to a roaring start here!
Tim Dierkes
1:07
I can see Freddie Freeman, maybe, but generally I don't expect any to do that.
Steve Adams
1:07
I'm frankly not sure I see any of the top 10 signing that early -- maybe Freddie?
BusterBats
1:07
How the heck is mlb.com already suggesting that the Giants are going to sign both Justin Verlander and Max Scherzer
Tim Dierkes
1:08
I think it's just a plausible idea.  The Giants can easily afford both, and have a ton of rotation spots to fill.  So they could do that, even if that specific outcome isn't likely.
Steve Adams
1:08
Yeah, the combined price point there wouldn't be all that heavy.
Guest
1:08
i noticed nobody picks the White Sox to make a BIG SPLASH on free agency. Why is thatv
Steve Adams
1:08
It'd be stranger if they were saying like, Ray + Gausman. But even then, the Giants have so much to spend this winter.
Tim Dierkes
1:09
They don't have a ton of places to upgrade, and they seem up against it budget-wise with the lack of a QO to Rodon.  That was my logic.
Steve Adams
1:09
Yeah, they're also at near-high franchise payroll levels
ROX SADNESS
1:09
Why would CO FO not even tender Jon Gray? Are they just being cheaper than their usual selves?
Steve Adams
1:09
I expect they'll be able to add, but I'm not sure about them cannonballing into Marcus Semien's market or anything
Tim Dierkes
1:10
They want to retain him, but they must feel that 18.4 mil is too much to pay for one year of Gray.
Steve Adams
1:10
Gray not getting the QO was surprising to me
Jays Fan
1:10
Will you do the MLB FA fan predictions contest again?
Steve Adams
1:10
I don't understand the combination of not trading him and not making a QO
Tim Dierkes
The contest is open now.  I'll do a separate post on it later today.  Runs through Nov 15, and you can edit your picks up until then.
Tyler
1:11
Avisail Garcia to the Royals? I appreciate it as a Royals fan, but there’s no way.
Tim Dierkes
1:12
That was all me.  I thought an affordable established RF might make sense there, given what they have in-house.
Steve Adams
1:12
I didn't make that pick, personally, but they certainly have the money to do so. It'd require some machinations, likely on the trade front, but I don't find it crazy.
Cody
1:12
First I wanted to say great job on the list! I was a bit surprised that nobody picked Story to the Cardinals or any SS to the Cardinalsfor that matte. Is the Arenado-Story relationship overblown?
Tim Dierkes
1:13
Thanks!  We definitely talked about that fit.  I find it plausible.  There are more teams that could sign a SS/2B than there are free agents, even having so many SS in one market.
Steve Adams
1:13
Yeah, and I just don't think the presence of one longtime teammate/friend is going to matter there. By that same logic, why not the Yankees and DJ LeMahieu?
Graham
1:13
You guys have a very generous list to say the least compared to other outlets. Seager and Correa both at 300+ mil? Hard to see, Lindor was an overpay if that supposedly set the market.
Tim Dierkes
1:14
We seemed to land more on the aggressive side, but we're trying to guess what they will actually get and not say what we'd pay them personally.  Lindor got 341 without the open market, so those guys getting to 300 is reasonable to me.
Steve Adams
1:15
I don't think it's unreasonable to expect either player to eclipse $300MM. Correa is the youngest premier free agent we've had since Harper and Machado both got to 300 in a dead offseason market. Seager is a superstar-level hitter who is only a year older than Correa.
And yeah, to Tim's point 341 was without the benefit of open bidding.
A guy
1:15
The cubs have Huge payroll Available. Why wouldn’t any of the top guys sign there?
Tim Dierkes
1:16
I don't expect the Cubs to make a play on the top guys, because I don't think the Cubs are going all-in to win in 2022.  There's too little talent across the roster.
Steve Adams
1:16
The team has to actually want to spend that money, and nothing president of baseball ops Jed Hoyer has said since the season ended gives me any confidence that they'll do so.
Chop-Chop
1:16
I see Rodon as a potential Astro.  What about him do you think makes him preferable to Click over the other free agent pitchers?
Tim Dierkes
1:17
That was just my pick.  I'd say that was as much about trying to find a plausible way for the Astros to spend some money in conjunction with my other picks than it was thinking or knowing they like Rodon.  But the idea of a one-year, high-AAV deal for a guy that pitched like an ace for four months should appeal to all contenders, if they're OK with his medicals.
Steve Adams
1:17
I just think that, in general, Rodon will appeal to contenders who are all-in on the 2022 season and willing to take on a good bit of injury risk/downside. Tim's Astros pick felt fine to me, and I chose the Red Sox for similar reasons.
Yankees
1:18
If the Yankees pick up a starter, which one from your list makes the most sense for them to get?
Tim Dierkes
1:18
For me, Verlander would be the best SP who they have some chance and interest in signing.
Cashman
1:18
You guys only have me signing Seager and no starting pitchers?
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