You are viewing the chat in desktop mode. Click here to switch to mobile view.
X
Trade Rumors Front Office Fantasy Baseball Chat With Brad Johnson
powered byJotCast
Prev Page View Full Chat
RAGBRAI
1:51
How easy is to make up ground in WHIP or ERA? What is a reasonable amount to gain in either category. I know this is a bit vague with out context but wondered if there is info out there?
Brad Johnson
1:52
With what remains of the season? We can do a little math. We have 1/4 of the season remaining. A normal (round number) IP total for roto is 1500.
1:53
So that's 375 IP remaining.
Let's say you have a 1.20 WHIP and a 4.00 ERA (roughly fantasy average).
And let's say you manage your pitchers to a 3.00 ERA and 1.05 WHIP ROS (i.e. they're very good).
1:55
In that case, it's a 3.75 ERA and 1.1625 WHIP
1:56
You're probably actually doing better than those initial conditions, and you can't really expect to outperform the ROS line I proposed. So, realistically, like .10 ERA and .02 WHIP.
Answer might be different if you just got back deGrom.
Tim
1:56
Will Trevor Bauer pitch next year and is He worth a roster spot? -11 Team Dynasty League
Brad Johnson
1:57
Ugh, I'd just let someone else grapple with that.
1:58
If I recall correctly, he's suspended through the end of 2023 with some small hope of an appeal overturning some of that. People throw batteries at players for far lesser offenses so I can't imagine it being a "smart" signing for anybody.
1:59
I bet some teams would take the negative publicity for $5MM, but he'll probably wind up playing in Asia, Mexico, or maybe even Europe.
Eddie
2:00
Has Ketel Marte settled into a (just) better than average player as opposed to his early success?
Brad Johnson
2:00
He's pretty dynamic if you ask me. This is something of a lost season due to the early slump and the hammy issues that clearly require a retool of his conditioning.
RAGBRAI
2:01
Will we see Bryant yet this year? Should we care if we do?
Brad Johnson
2:02
Doesn't seem super likely as of today. There's certainly no rush for him to get back on the field unless he's hungry to do so (see Trout).
2:03
As for caring, yeah, he hit for a high average and at the very least looks like a potential monster at Coors Field. Even if the power doesn't play the way we thought it would in 2016.
A id-lineup guy who hits. 300 with a 20-dinger pace is still a nice player
Dano
2:03
Are any of Luis Robert's injuries going to affect him in 2023 and beyond?
Brad Johnson
2:04
tbh I don't really know. Lot of nagging stuff that could just need some rest. This is also a recurring issue for him. Some guys just need to slow down a little - learn to leave a little gas in the tank each day.
If I ran the White Sox, I'd want to build the roster such that he could play 3 of every 4 days from April-July.
2:05
Or at least shift to DH twice a week.
GBS42
2:05
Following up on the Gallo comment (and a bit off the fantasy track, but somewhat related), have the "he can't handle the pressure of New York" stories started regarding Gallo?  .267 with 3 HR, 5 RBI, and 6 runs for the Dodgers in 35 PA is pretty nice.
Brad Johnson
2:05
I mean, those started after 5 games last season.
2:06
I don't really have an explanation for Gallo's NYC struggles, but pressure doesn't really pass a smell test for me. He wasn't especially important to the team.
GBS42
2:06
What players have been your biggest surprises and disappointments in fantasy baseball this season?  Could be based on industry-wide perspective on players or on guys you thought would be better or worse than they are.
Brad Johnson
2:06
Last question!
2:07
Jesse Winker turning into a believable pumpkin was certainly disappointing. Just shows how important Great American Smallpark was to his power game.
2:08
fwiw, I'll be buying a lot of shares next season
Same with Ketel, Gallo, and basically any veteran who underperformed this year. That's a go-to strategy for me.
2:09
(I even drafted Matt Carpenter in a 15-team, 50-round Draft and Hold that ran Feb/Mar)
Dansby Swanson is probably the guy who's most proved me wrong. Was really confident in his mediocrity. Still kinda am tbh.
2:10
Jeff McNeil's rebound also caught me slightly off guard. Just because it really looked like he lost the knack for barreled contact that made him a unicorn earlier in his career.
2:11
Can't say I even notice Andres Gimenez come on strong either.
2:12
On the pitching side, I didn't expect Dylan Cease to hold this ERA for any length of time. I still view him as a 4.00 ERA guy, but I guess I have to do another deep dive and figure out why his lousy command works.
2:13
I was an early advocate of Jhoan Duran, Seranthony, Helsley, Andres Munoz, and Scott Effross so it's nice to see them having great seasons.
2:14
One last one, I got a billion shares of Merrill Kelly in late-March (either late drafts or preseason waiver wire) and it's turned out better than anyone could have ever hoped. I doubt even he thought he could produce a 2.87 ERA in 150 innings.
As always, thanks for playing folks!
Connecting…