JotCast | Travis Sawchik FanGraphs Chat

Travis Sawchik FanGraphs Chat

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DJ Kitty's Paw

1:08

It's the Mariners, right? It was always going to be the Mariners? And the rest of this is just a show?

Travis Sawchik

1:08

Not if he's aware of the Mariners' travel miles per season

Jack

1:11

How much of the pitches are going to be about why he shouldn't sign with other teams?

Travis Sawchik

1:11

Negative recruiting attacks!

I think most focus will be on selling their own teams

Jack

1:11

If the Ohtani sweepstakes was an episode of Mad Men, which would it be? Chevy? Heniz? Do the Mariners and Padres merge and create a superteam to land Ohtani?

Travis Sawchik

1:12

I think it would when Don decided to move out to California

Wes

1:12

America cannot develop a player like Ohtani because all of the ones that have that athleticism go to play football. Once the NFL dies, we will see more.

Travis Sawchik

1:12

Youth football participation is down, baseball is up ...

Daniel

1:12

Best news yesterday, Ohtani not going to New York. Hopefully next year we get the same news about Bryce Harper

Travis Sawchik

1:13

Bryce Harper to San Diego

Matt

1:13

Assuming Cubs miss out on Otani, what’s their move for front-line SP? Sign Darvish? Tradefor

Travis Sawchik

1:13

Cubs need a big-time arm and bullpen help. I'd take a long look at Darvish

DSav

1:13

If Ohtani & Stanton both land in LA do the Dodgers become a decent team?

Travis Sawchik

1:14

Let me think about this ...

Babe Lincoln

1:14

Why don't any Japanese players come stateside out of HS (or even earlier like non-PR Latin American players)?

Travis Sawchik

1:15

That's a good question. A few Asian players have, like Choo, but I think there is pressure to stay ... and it's probably hard to make that leap to a new culture at 18 for many

CamdenWarehouse

1:15

You want to watch pitchers hit???? eww

Travis Sawchik

1:15

I want more decisions, quicker games, and head-hunting pitchers to have to step in the box

Birddog

1:16

have a hypothetical... If the Cards don't get Stanton and trade for Donaldson, if January comes around and the price for Hosmer drops below $90 MM, would the Cards be in on the bidding?

Travis Sawchik

1:16

I'd want Hosmer on a short-term deal, not sure about the Cards. The price would have to drop lower for me

Alright folks, thanks for attending!

1:17

I have to go create more Ohtani content because you demand it as Ad-free members

Until next week (when the FG team will be at the winter meetings) be good and do good

Connecting…

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:06

Travis, have you been listening to the Wheelhouse, Jerry Dipoto's podcast?
"They had a roster crunch. If something has to give and a trade is imminent, there is a 60-40 chance you're going to wind up with the Mariners."

Nick S

6:24

New reply feature?

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:06

How poorly does Jeter have to run the Marlins to have a negative pWAR (popularity WAR) in the mainstream baseball world? What about his pWAR in the New York markets? Like, if Jeter sends Giancarlo Stanton to the BoSox and Dombrowski fleeces Jeter, he's dead to Yankees fans, right?

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:06

A.J. Preller signs a three-year extension with the Padres. Thoughts?

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:06

\I know people joke about the "scales" and color scheme on the Diamondbacks uniforms, but why is there a disproportionately low amount of outrage about the jerseys saying "D-Backs?" If you want to put your nickname on your uniform, just make that your name...idiots.

Andy

5:07

Hi there!

Roadhog

5:07

How rude do you have to be to create a list of "west coast, small market teams" and then include the Giants, but not the A's?

5:08

Yankees fans reacting to Ohtani is funniest thing ever

Roadhog

5:09

I could see Oakland working on a deal for both Puig and Grandal, both fill areas of need and seem expendable.

Bagel

5:10

Any chance the Astros make any splashier moves if a team in the division gets Ohtani?

The old professor

5:10

Bichette or Guerrero who has the better offensive career?

Average fan

5:10

If Ohtani comes to Seattle, will we disappoint him as well?

Roger

5:11

Aaron Boone?!?

Nelson

5:11

Did the Stanton contract affect the sale price for the Marlins? Like if he never resigned, would Loria have gotten more?

Bang

5:11

Is there any way to figure out what proportion of the "third time through the order" effect is more due to fatigue or familiarity? It might be harder to get around the fatigue issues, but familiarity could be something that a innovative team could figure out a way to lessen or exploit.

Tony

5:11

Why do you think the Rangers and Cubs were the 2 non-West Coast exceptions to Ohtani's list? Cubs in particular are big market and 3+ hour plan ride from the west coast

Sonny

5:12

Substantial Ohtani news and the parameters of a Stanton trade in one day...is it happening? Is the stove finally on?

CamdenWarehouse

5:12

Is Preller as disliked as Coppy was?

Nelson

5:12

If Otani's making almost no money anyways, better to use SDs pitching environment to boost his stats pre-FA

The old professor

5:13

Tommy Pham a Cardinals 1 hit wonder like Allen Craig, Aledmys Diaz, etc or is this who he is?

Ben

5:13

If Ohtani goes to the Cubs and they sign someone like Cobb, does that put them even with the Dodgers this year?

Scott

5:13

If the Giants can somehow get Ohtani and Stanton without giving up much from the major league roster, where would you project them for next year? Above Colorado but below Arizona and LA?

ChiSox2020

5:13

If Otani and Stanton are not signed/traded by next week do you expect anything to happen at winter meetings?

Ray Liotta as Shoeless Joe

5:13

Moving to San Diego in three weeks. Really hope Ohtani beats me there!

I've Made a Hughes Mistake

5:13

With Ohtani narrowing down his list of destinations is there a chance teams like MN try to trade international money? Or do they target the former ATL prospects?

Ben

5:14

If for some reason Ohtani loves Miami, but only wants to play there if they keep Stanton, would Jeter decide not to trade him?

George

5:14

Are the Red Sox the AL East favorites?

Estevao

5:15

Hey Travis, wrote a piece on the AL MVP award, would love to hear your take on it http://maximustake23.blogspot.com.br/2017/12/al-mvp-again.html?m=1

Terry's Sarape

5:16

Exactly what can the remaining clubs offer to Ohtani aside from the international money? Financially, etc...

Guest

5:16

It looks like it's either going to be SF or back to Miami for Stanton right? He's really limited his already very small market

Dan man

5:16

How would the Angels give Ohtani at bats? There's no way they can put Albert at 1B right?

5:18

Are you looking forward to the end of Ohtani questions and the beginning of the offseason?

Alex

5:18

If the Giants get both Ohtani and Stanton, who's jersey should I get?

YDG

5:18

What should the yankees do with all that International bonus pool money now that Ohtani isn't an option?

Estevao

5:19

Hey Travis always a pleasure, wrote a piece on Yandy Diaz and his upside, would love to get your take on it http://maximustake23.blogspot.com.br/2017/12/hey-man-jump-on-flyball-b...

Joey Gathright

5:19

Nelson Cruz will stay at DH bc Dipoto's gonna trade Ohtani

SMITTY

5:19

Now that the Yankees are out on Ohtani, odds they sign sabathia? and how many years does he get

Silly Beane

5:19

The Marlins have basically told Stanton he can pick b/t StL and SF. Reports are he wants to wait on LAD. But if its down to SF or LAD for him, why hasn't he told StL they're out? MIA already has the SF offer, so its not like SF can re-negotiate if StL gets nixed

Silly Beane

5:20

Derrick Goold is reporting that the Cardinals did not want to include Jordan Hicks in a Stanton deal. Who is Hicks and why are the Cardinals valuing him so highly?

tb.25

5:21

Any idea if Otani could influenced by Stanton if Stanton goes to SF? To expand that "I don't want to be the big city star" desire Otani has.

Dylan

5:22

Are you surprised at how little Petit and Boxberger cost?

Geust

5:22

I know you've been saying Angels, but how would you rate the 7 teams in terms of where you hope Ohtani lands?

Estevao

5:22

What is up Travis, saw your appearance on MLB Network talking about Eric Hosmer, wrote an article on him, would appreciate if you could take a look at it http://maximustake23.blogspot.com/2017/11/a-false-premise.html

Big Papi

5:22

As a Red Sox fan, I was really concerned that Ohtani would go to NYY. Fair to say that Boston will now be the better team in 2018?

Garrett

5:22

Stanton and Ohtani on the same team doesn’t feel like it would work, right? Giants should pick on or the other?

Ryan

5:23

How much value does Ohtani add due to him combining Ohtani the pitcher and Ohtani the hitter into a single roster spot? Having him will be almost as as good as having a 26 man roster when everyone else plays with 25.

Smith

5:23

What dirt does AJ Preller have on Padres ownership? What has he done to earn an extension besides being a finalist for Ohtani?

Cam

5:23

"Sterling Malory": imposter or typo?

MIKE

5:23

Are yankees gonna sign a mid-high price DH, or will they rotate for rest?

Jack

5:23

Rangers for OHtani all the way

Cam

5:23

nvm

PTBNL

5:24

If SFG were to somehow land Otani and Stanton, what's the over/under on their # of wins in 2018?

George Weiss

5:24

I'd peg most of Ohtani's worth being in his pitching given his SO ratio in Japan. What do you think?

Mike

5:24

Good thing Yankees fans took the Ohtani news well and respected him and his decision. Not.

Christian

5:24

Who is the best free agent this year in your mind and where does he sign?

Magic 8 Ball

5:24

Of the Ohtani seven and the Stanton meeters, seems Dodgers are flying lowest under the radar as far as rumors go. Are they the bar by which all others are being measured?

Estevao

5:25

Who'll be the bigger disapointment to delusional expectations, Beckham or Avisail?

Sonny

5:26

What are the limits to extra contractual perks an MLB team can add to a first year contract? In the big FA deals we've seen teams get creative but can Ohtani or a draft pick get something like 'use of the team mansion/jet/etc' added in without violating terms?

Estevao

5:27

Hey Travis, among great estabilished FA, this was a remarkable sign right http://maximustake23.blogspot.com/2017/11/a-rare-great-fa-sign.html

hola

5:29

Would Ohtani be the ace on the cubs?

ssf

5:29

Argument against LAA: They're already the luckiest team in a generation simply from having Trout and if they can't put together a winner without another superstar falling in their laps, they don't deserve to win

Rockie Dangerfield

5:29

If the Giants get Stanton and the Padres get Ohtani, how likely is it that the Rockies finish at the bottom of the NLW next season?

Andy

5:30

If Ohtani was over-the-top concerned with getting as much publicity as possible, couldn't he do something like LeBron did? Have an hour-long ESPN special where he sits down and eliminates team ballcaps one-by-one?

Estevao

5:31

Hey Travis i know i'm no Bill James, but i wrote this piece on pitching WAR and i know i'm virtually disagreeing with your employer's version but could you take a look at it and let me know what you think, big fan of the site, especially Cistulli, thx

CamdenWarehouse

5:33

But that doesn't bring Seattle into play because of the potential volcano issues

Joe W

5:33

It almost seems criminal that the cubs underachieved as hard as they did last year, but the more i think about it was 2016 an aberration?

Magic 8 Ball

5:33

Grandal for Britton. a Good start for a trade?

Nate

5:34

If you're the Giants or Cardinals, how long do you allow yourself to get strung along in the Stanton sweepstakes?

drewyBagels

5:34

6x6 dynasty slug % replacing xbh. Regardless, why are Hunter Renfore projecions miniscule and jabari blash so massive?

Joey Gathright

5:34

Kinda funny that Ohtani's potential surplus value could fund like a third of a new stadium for Oakland

David

5:35

Any guesses on why the DBacks were out? Smallish market and west coast-ish.

Mister Puppy

5:35

We may never know w/o the questionnaire or Ohtani himself telling us, but it's very possible that Oakland's stadium situation just cost them a shot at the best international FA in the world. Does that realization force the organization's hand in ramping up their efforts to find a new home?

James

5:36

If SD lands Ohtani how big of an impact does it have on their window of contention?

Wes

5:36

If Ohtani signs with the Padre's, how quickly does the MLB start investigating Preller's conversations with him?

Andy

5:36

Given Preller's reputation within the industry, are the chances that SD remains on the list due to ill-gotten-gains more likely than not?

Kosch

5:37

As an Astros fan, I would prefer Ohtani to the Padres than the Angels or Mariners. I don't think he makes either team better than HOU, but no need to tempt fate. I'd prefer to win the division by a million games and cruise into the playoffs...

Silly Beane

5:37

Does landing Stanton and signing Arrieta make the Cardinals contenders for the NL central?

Magic 8 Ball

5:37

Any idea who which MLB team has the biggest following in Japan? Could that be a factor in maximizing Ohtani's marketing?

3 Stooges

5:38

Who are these rumored 3 teams that didn't make an attempt to sign Ohtani? Obviously the Marlins seem most likely but the other two? KC? BAL?

Sam

5:39

Is Maitan now signed the first days he's available thanks to Ohtani telling so many teams they're already out of contention?

HappyFunBall

5:39

Is Rusney Castillo tradable? He's never going to play for BOS because of the tax. But can't they trade him w/o penalty as long as they don't pay down any of his salary? I feel like JBJ + Castillo is a pretty value-neutral set of players that someone could ask Boston for. Or does BOS just not care about untaxed salary on their books?

Lance Biggerstaff

5:39

Ohtani could go wherever Jayson Werth signs and he moves from earthquake to Werthquake

Sonny

5:39

Roster wise is there a worse fit than Texas for Ohtani? Seem to be a year or two from going full Detroit. Kind of almost say the same about Seattle?

CamdenWarehouse

5:40

you can blame Jeff for the earthquake questions

Pedantic A-hole

5:41

Does Josh Harrison make sense for the Red Sox? Versatile player who could man second while Pedroia is out and then fill in around the diamond over the course of the year. What would it take to pry him away from the Pirates?

Aspergillus

5:42

Re. trading Ohtani

Doug

5:42

If the Padres do land Ohtani do you think they would then aggressively go after Hosmer and try to start contending next year?

Aspergillus

5:42

Re. trading Ohtani... You have to think he wouldn't sign with a team that had the intention of trading him in the near future

Kosch

5:44

There is no way Ohtani hits enough to justify his desire to be a two-way player on a playoff caliber team. Maybe that's why he's picking crappy teams...so he can dictate his usage.

I am the Walrus

5:48

Would a deal built around Benintendi for Sano work? Which party would have to add?

DC-based

5:48

Joe Ross for Delin Betances. Who says no?

STL Dave

5:49

What did you make of the Aledmys Diaz trade? Seemed to me like the Cardinals traded a useful ML depth piece for a lotto ticket.

5:49

Caught up in all the The Ohtani stuff, the jays traded for Aledmys Diaz. Thoughts one of the only trades of note so far?

Matt

5:49

If Ohtani goes to SD, does the fact that they're not expected to be competitive help him? Less pressure to win means they can live through adjustments and try different things out.

Stumped in Texas

5:49

Any chance the Triebe resigns Santana? And if not who--Cardinals maybe?

Wes

5:49

$300k doesn't even buy a house in LA or SF. Cut the Dodgers and Giants.

Will

5:49

If Ohtani goes to an NL team, is the expectation that he would play in the OF, or does he have experience at other positions? Would think you'd want him in left to help preserve his arm a little

Babe Lincoln

5:49

if Ohtani is hitting ~.200 after ______ PAs, we can legitimately begin to worry if he's an MLB-caliber hitter

a different matt

5:49

Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim. You have to add population of LA and Anaheim together.

Sandy Ravage

5:49

Maybe it's because I hate the Angels, but they don't make much sense IMO. Pujols in the DH slot, Upton, Trout, Calhoun in the OF. Handling of Josh Hamilton situation could be difficult to explain?

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