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2024 FanGraphs Prospect Week Chat
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Eric A Longenhagen
I was a few months shy of turning 22
Matt
1:12
What are you feelings on Brandon Crawford?  Most people have him ranked but you did not.  

Overall, do you see the Phillies as having an organization that is trending in the right direction?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:13
Justin Crawford (no worries, we all brainfart) has a full report on the Phils list. Just not enough power, no current MLB hitter hits the ball on the ground as much as he does. needs adjustment pretty badly, imo.
Sanford
1:13
Mets prospects are short (Gilbert 5'9", Jett 5'6", Acuña 5'8"). Just a coincidence or is this reflective of some organizational philosophy (obviously not re: height specifically, but perhaps re: tools/profile/floor/ceiling that shorter prospects tend to have, if such stuff can even be generalized across height)
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
good catch. I do think lever length is a trait teams care about and might have to do with stability of the hit tool. The Grizzlies seem to take guys undervalued due to lack of length in the NBA, too. Bane, Tillman, Roddy, Brooks, etc.
Kate
1:14
Was a little surprised to see Luis Morales jump into the Top 100 so early.  Do you think he's a fast mover from here to the majors?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:14
Definitely not. Prototype pitcher's body and elite arm speed, purely a ceiling-driven include.
Tacoby Bellsbury
1:15
What's the most surprising industry feedback you received on your top 101 this season?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:15
had too few inside jokes
ram
1:15
Has there ever been a disparity between your list and the ZIPs list that has caused you to go back and reevaluate a prospect?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
Yes, Danny sends me zips a few days ahead so i can double check some guys. This year it was Danny de Andrade, who I felt comfortable moving on from quickly from a top 100 standpoint, still a fair prospect who'll be on their team list
Pirates Hurdles
1:17
Curious about Termarr's path, what do you need to see from him in 2024 to move him back up the lists?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:17
Tess-driven stuff job there. Mucho power and lift, will have rare 2B pop despite flawed hit tool. Gonna K a ton.
Deputy
1:17
Who is the next unheralded Yankee arm that becomes a stud reliever for them in 24?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
Take your pick of the DSL arms on their list, Arias, etc.
RoadWarriorShaq
1:18
What does Chandler Simpson have to do this year to start making his way onto prospect lists.  .330 OBP, 50 SB, good CF defense looks more like a certainty than a possibility.
Eric A Longenhagen
1:18
Def a team list guy already. Top 100? IDK, is Myles Straw working out gangbusters?
Walton Dilcox
1:18
I'm crazy about this Wyatt Langford, some freaky dominant numbers here. What keeps him out of the #1 spots?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
Might be a DH
Too Many Mooks
1:19
To what percentage of these questions could you just reply “Read the article, dingus”?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:19
The percentage has lowered since we started chatting
honestly this year it's probably only like 10%
Spencer
1:19
Of the guys on the top 100 who have yet to play in the MLB yet, who is most likely to open up on the MLB roster and have a successful season?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:20
I won't count Chourio, either (but it's probably him)...
1:21
saying Colt Keith is also kinda cheating...
How about Jairo Iriarte?
J
1:21
This is both a real-life and fantasy-driven question. With the evolution of the SP role, I find it increasingly difficult to gauge value.  Just in terms of how you approach rankings, both value/slotting, has it affected you and Tess' valuations? If so, what has it modified?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:24
For sure. I've flattened their curve, so to speak. Fewer workhorse SPs generating WAR value via innings volume, more innings to go around means more 40/40+ types who work in bulk relief, or who you need to get key outs in the middle innings. For fantasy I do not envy you because it's more about counting stats than talent and you're also gauging team situation. In the one league I'm in (dynasty sim) I really only draft sexy arms when the value feels too good to pass up, I'm more on stable performers and paths to opportunity than upside most of the time
great question btw
Your Name
1:25
Have you heard of or seen Kevin Watson Jr.? Lesser known outfield/catching prospect in the low minors of the Angels org. If so, would love any notes you have
Eric A Longenhagen
1:26
Of course, that guy's like the mayor of the IE. Had a bobblehead night last year, didn't he? Lefty-hitting org guy with fun defensive versatility.
Billy G
1:26
In addition to all the relocation stuff for the A's, they've really gotten screwed a bit with the draft lottery. Sixth pick in a draft that had five "first overall" types in most years. Now fourth in a weak draft. And if I'm reading the CBA correctly, they can't pick top 10 next year regardless of how bad they are. Even if I stick with them to Vegas, is there any hope?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:28
Bro, it's a sad situation. The people who work for that org in the front office, dev and scouting, as well as the players themselves, all deserve better. What must it be like to be Tyler Soderstrom or Gelof right now and know you're going to spend the next couple of years grinding for its own sake. It could be career-altering for their young players to be in such a weird, awkward bind like that and attempt to motivate eacother just because.
prospect month
1:28
Graham Pauley getting reps at 1B and LF--how passable would the glove have to be in those spots for the bat to play as an average starter?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:28
Maybe not an average starter (you're talking like 15th best guy at LF/1B, that's a really good player) but definitely better than their alternatives.
Manny
1:29
You’re an expansion team and you can steal all the Yankees in the top 100 or all the RedSox. Which group are you taking?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:29
hmmmmmmm BoSox
romorr
1:30
Speaking of ZiPS, Fabian was pretty high there, but the K% was pretty horrid once he got to AA. How many prospects K that much, that figure it out at that level? Steep hill to climb, no?
Eric A Longenhagen
1:30
Yes and did film work on his defense, which isn't CF fit for me
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