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Ben Clemens FanGraphs Chat - 1/13/25

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Ben Clemens

2:45

that seems feasible

Mr. E

2:45

Is it better news that the Jays signed somebody or worse news that no one else liked his physical apparently?

Ben Clemens

2:46

better news imo

Brad Towner

2:46

Hey Ben, kind of a specific question here. I was recently reading your top 50 players in terms of trade value, I was curious why a guy like Pablo Lopez wouldn't at least get an honorable mention. 18 MM AAV for the next 3 years. He is only 28, and projects to be nearly a 4 win player next season.

Ben Clemens

2:46

becuase there are just so many players

he's been an HM before

I think there were like... 85 players or something in my top 50 counting honorable mentions

Bart

2:46

I daydream of Sasaki going to KC or DC and shaking up the entire baseball US world.

Ben Clemens

2:46

hell yeah, that'd be fun

Matt

2:46

Do you see any more moves from the DBacks this offseason? Maybe dealing an arm like Gallen or Montgomery?

Ben Clemens

2:47

I mean, definitely not dealing Gallen

you don't sign Corbin Burnes and then trade Gallen

2:50

trading Montgomery, yeah, they'd do that

Rayy

2:50

Would you trade Jackson Holliday for a Roman Anthony/Walker Jenkins type top prospect who has not yet debuted? Wondering what your thoughts are on the effect a disappointing debut can have on top prospect's overall value.

Ben Clemens

2:50

I don't think I would, but I feel like this is a classic case of paralysis around other players

like non-org players

I think I'd be too afraid of what red flags the other guy had

2:51

though look, I'm very low on Holliday relative to consensus and have been for a while

Steve O

2:51

Do you think the Yankees are cheap? Relatively. They make the most revenue in MLB yet they are rarely ever 1st in payroll for the last several years. Typically 3rdish. Now they need to offload Marcus Stroman's contract to add an infielder? If they aren't going to compete with the Mets and Dodgers, they should just sell for billions and count their money. Wishful thinking I know, but it's frustrating as a fan.

Ben Clemens

2:51

I mean, I generally agree with this

but not to an extreme

like, Stroman is relatively unimportant to their goals this year and if it's going to keep them flexible to move him for a star, do it

Guest

2:51

Speaking of Sasaki, you mentioned him choosing a team to develop with. Do you still believe player dev. is ahead in MLB vs NPB? And do you think talent out of Japan is higher or lower than the US especially with other sports crowding the US prospect market?

Ben Clemens

2:51

I definitely do not have a strong view on this

2:52

I think that picking where you go for development is a huge deal, though. I have no particular view on the Marines development group (my only views on the Marines are that I went to a game there when I was in Tokyo and absolutely loved it, 10/10 experience)

but they drafted him, he didn't pick them

Chip

2:52

So, is Hoffman the Jays closer?

Ben Clemens

2:52

mmmm.... we have him there on our depth chart

2:53

I think it makes sense, with some consideration to Garcia as well. Maybe they'll both get opportunities

Brad Towner

2:54

do you see the reds possibly trading Nick Martinez after trading for Singer?

Ben Clemens

2:54

I could see that

2:56

They seem to be pretty focused on maximizing their payroll and roster

and I get the sense that they were a little surprised and delighted he accepted the offer

Justin

2:57

Are you surprised about the lack of buzz around Ha-Seong Kim's free agency? He seems like a $100 million guy if it weren't for the injury

Ben Clemens

2:57

I mean, I shoved him very high up the free agency list

I definitely agree with you

Guest

2:58

Bo bichette had a really bad year even considering he missed half the season. Do you think the bounce back is likely?

Ben Clemens

2:58

I think that a bounceback is reasonable

I'd bet on it?

2:59

Bichette is just an incredibly streaky player and I don't really think his core skills have changed

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